Monday, July 06, 2009

The Afghan Offensive and Michael Jackson

In case you haven't heard (the media is a little busy with other serious matters at the moment) there is a major offensive going on in Afghanistan right now and we have been suffering some limited casualties in the process. Obviously the media would be reporting on this if there wasn't something far more critical to the American people going on:


(Click on the image to enlarge it enough to see that they do at least mention something happening in Afghanistan.)

TIME magazine on-line had an interesting article describing the different approach being implemented in our current offensive:

So far, so good in the first major offensive of President Barack Obama's war in Afghanistan. For the past four days, 4,000 U.S. Marines and 650 Afghan soldiers have been fighting their way into the southern reaches of Afghanistan's Helmand River valley, hoping to clear out insurgents there. But other than in one limited area of fierce resistance, the fighting has generally been restricted to small-scale skirmishes in which few Taliban have been killed because most of the insurgents appear to have slipped away — as guerrillas tend to do when confronted by overwhelming firepower. More important to U.S. goals, however, is that no civilians have been hurt, since the purpose of the operation is to secure the local population against the Taliban.

...

Aware of the danger, McChrystal has made the protection of civilians the central tenet of his new approach to fighting the Taliban, even going so far as to limit the use of aerial bombardment to the most extreme circumstances — a turnabout for U.S. ground forces that have grown dependent on air support. McChrystal has also declared — in a soon-to-be-released tactical directive — that soldiers should hold their fire if there is even the slightest risk of a civilian presence in the target zone. "Suppose the insurgent occupies an enemy home or village and engages you from there with the clear idea that when you respond, you are going to create collateral damage," explains McChrystal. "He's going to blame that on you. Even if you kill the insurgents, what happens is you have made the insurgency wider. You are going to run into more IEDs. You are going to run into more insurgents, [and] at the end of the day, you are going to suffer more casualties."

As of today CNN is reporting some of the results of this new strategy of avoiding bad PR as part of the military strategy and tactics:

After the Marines began taking fire from insurgents in the town of Khan Neshin, in south Afghanistan near the Helmand River, the militants ran into a multiple-room compound, the U.S. military said.

Unsure of whether civilians were inside the compound, the Marines had an interpreter talk to the insurgents, said an official who asked not to be named because he was not authorized to speak publicly. After some time, a number of women and children left the compound, the military official said.

The released hostages told the Marines that there were no more civilians inside the compound, Pelletier said. But the Marines held their fire anyway, the official said. About 4 p.m. (7:30 a.m. ET), in the midst of the standoff, another group of women and children emerged from the compound, the official said. The Marines continued to hold their fire and wait out the insurgents, the official said.

Finally, a screaming woman emerged from the compound with a bullet wound to her hand, Pelletier said. Then, another group of women came out, covered from head to toe according to custom, he said, with a couple of children in tow. The Marines attended to the wounded woman while the others walked away.
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When the Marines went into the compound, they discovered that it empty, Pelletier said. That's when they realized the fighters had dressed up as women to escape, he said.

Hopefully this embarrassing example will not end up typifying our newly sculpted efforts there. Taliban and al Qaeda elements sending out the women and children only for it to turn out those women and children are helping the enemy gain more collateral damage by leaving some "martyrs" behind to hurt American PR. Or Taliban sneaking out of harms way by pretending to be innocent bystanders.

This new strategy has accepted as fact, even though begrudgingly, that the onus is now on us to ensure the safety of civilians that the Taliban and al Qaeda elements intentionally put in harms way... instead of the blame logically and realistically going the other way around.

The policy seems well intentioned, but in the end appears to play right into the enemy's hands in their attempts to build international pressure on us to restrain our forces and give their fighters an advantage in their asymmetrical warfare.

The whole mess has me very damn worried for our men out there who should be the tip of the spear, not the diplomatic pen. Leave the PR to the bureaucrats.

6 comments:

Astrodog said...

I'm gonna dig through this one paragraph at a time.

"This new strategy has accepted as fact, even though begrudgingly, that the onus is now on us to ensure the safety of civilians that the Taliban and al Qaeda elements intentionally put in harms way... instead of the blame logically and realistically going the other way around."

The onus is on us, simply because we know the Taliban won't ensure the safety of those people. That being said, I don't think trying to reduce civilian casualties is somehow claiming that those casualties are our fault when insurgents hide among the civilian population.

"The policy seems well intentioned, but in the end appears to play right into the enemy's hands in their attempts to build international pressure on us to restrain our forces and give their fighters an advantage in their asymmetrical warfare."

The policy is certainly well intentioned. The question becomes, "Is it possible to win the conflict there with these constraints in effect". I happen to agree with McChrystal here. While this makes it much more difficult to go after the Taliban, it should also reduce the effectiveness of their recruiting efforts. In as far as international pressure goes... I've seen very little of it from reputable sources. I don't see this change in policy as being driven by that kind of motivation.

"The whole mess has me very damn worried for our men out there who should be the tip of the spear, not the diplomatic pen. Leave the PR to the bureaucrats."

Oh, piss off. You know that the level of force that our armed forces can use will always be on a gradiant. Being purely the tip of the spear would basically involve just using nukes and bombing the crap out of the whole country... whereas the pen would involve not going there at all. I think its insulting to the troops to act as though its impossible for them to operate effectively without going full bore. The PR situation can greatly impact the strategic, and tactical situations that the troops will find themselves in, and they know it. There's a reason beyond simply being nice that we don't torture people, or slaughter civilians. Such actions drive *more* people to sign up with the Taliban.

Glock21 said...

I'll try to respond to your comments in the same order.

You say that the onus is on us because of the Taliban's actions... but realistically/logically it is pretty clear that they are the ones who are intentionally putting them in harms way... not merely refusing to ensure their safety. And while I agree that attempting to reduce civilian casualties is not in itself an admission that it is our fault when they're killed, the policy seems to go way beyond that and assumes that we should take responsibility (or assume we will be blamed) even when the enemy deliberately uses willing and unwilling martyrs against us.

I think the government and the diplomats should be making a better case for our troops in these situations instead of putting troops in the lose-lose situation of having to compromise their ability to fight battles where the enemy is clearly the ones throwing civilians into the line of fire.

In other words I think we've crossed that happy equilibrium where we're attempting to limit or totally avoid innocent civilian losses that hurt our strategy in other ways, into the realm of helping the enemy more effectively use faux innocents to hurt our strategy anyways.

On your comment about the policy eventually succeeding by reducing civilian casualties to the point that the recruitment of and local cooperation with enemy forces diminishes to compensate for the military setbacks it may cause... it depends on whether my worries are founded. If the enemy can force greater military problems for us while still successfully blaming real or fake civilian losses on us... then it won't be an improvement.

And as far as the tip of the spear/tip of the diplomatic pen business, you're absolutely correct that the rules of engagement are always on a gradient, but what I'm arguing is that the new strategy is to close to the diplomatic extreme for what may turn out to be little strategic gain.

Hopefully my worries will prove to be unfounded. I'd rather everything go smoothly and any further embarrassing incidents like in the CNN article above be avoided entirely.

I absolutely agree that our strategy there needed to be finessed in this direction, but they took it beyond what I'd envisioned. And regardless of whether they decide to finesse it back a notch closer to what I'd consider an equilibrium, I'd still like to see far more support from the government/diplomats in raising awareness of what our men are dealing with to cut the legs out from under those who try to push the idea we're just uncaring cold-blooded murderers of civilians.

So essentially I don't entirely disagree with you. I just have some serious concerns about where to draw the line on some of these issues.

Diary of a Gay Soldier's Husband said...

I'm glad you found me again, and I appreciate (more than you can imagine) the support from straight allies, such as yourself. Thank you for you intelligent and logical analysis.

Glock21 said...

DGSH... I'm humbled by the compliment. I want to throw out some profound quote from some great thinker, but my mind is stuck on a cheesy movie line, so you'll have to forgive me. While the movie was a work of fiction, the sentiment put forth by one of the characters, a victim of discrimination and oppression for daring to love as their heart took them, always came across so very real to me:

"It seems strange that my life should end in such a terrible place, but for three years I had roses and apologized to no one. I shall die here. Every inch of me shall perish. Every inch, but one. An inch. It is small and it is fragile and it is the only thing in the world worth having. We must never lose it or give it away. We must NEVER let them take it from us. I hope that whoever you are, you escape this place. I hope that the worlds turns, and that things get better. But what I hope most of all is that you understand what I mean when I tell you that, even though I do not know you, and even though I may never meet you, laugh with you, cry with you, or kiss you, I love you. With all my heart, I love you.

- Valerie."


From V for Vendetta

Anonymous said...

Why do you hate America?

Glock21 said...

Anon... it makes the baby jesus cry... and I need his tears to help polish my jackboots.

Is that so wrong?