Tuesday, September 30, 2008

DOWn and Up

After this scene from yesterday:



...there's some relief at seeing today's partial rebound that helped make up more than half that lost ground. Unfortunately this seems to be more taking advantage of lower prices and betting on Bailout 3.0 later in the week.

So far the politicians on the Hill seem far more interested in politicizing the issue than coming up with a better plan that could or should pass.

Given the track record so far it doesn't seem unlikely we're heading towards another end of the week crash in spite of the speculative bump today. Just painful to watch.

Sunday School for Cults



Cult of personality that is.

Creepy...

Monday, September 29, 2008

THUD

Dow Jones drops to a record -777 on bailout failure news:



Oof!!!

Same story with the S&P 500... hosed.

About the only good investment right now is in manure... because politicians are going to be using BS like it's going out of style. Let the blame game begin...

Sunday, September 28, 2008

Comic Relief: Campaign Fundraising

Campaign fundraising managers as children:



Hot prospect for campaign fundraising manager as we get closer to November:



and...

Saturday, September 27, 2008

Candidate X Wins!

As expected, both campaigns have declared victory:



Humorously the McCain ad on the left ended up released in the morning before the debates even happened due to a "clerical error" by the Wall Street Journal Online edition. The excuse is apparently a mix up over AM/PM and a 5 day lead time.

The general polling and focus groups seem to have initially favored Obama, who supposedly "held his own" even though he came off as the same inexperienced and naive yahoo to me. But I doubt many viewers would have been swearing at their television sets when Obama blatantly misrepresented Kissinger... though Kissinger may have been. Apparently he's a bit peeved:

"Senator McCain is right. I would not recommend the next President of the United States engage in talks with Iran at the Presidential level. My views on this issue are entirely compatible with the views of my friend Senator John McCain. We do not agree on everything, but we do agree that any negotiations with Iran must be geared to reality."

Speaking of McCain being right... this seemed to be Obama's most repeated line. The McCain camp released a web ad mid-debate jumping all over it:



Obama seems to have gotten the favorable initial impression, but it'll be interesting to see how that translates to actual support when people actually reflect on it and get polled in the next week. The most memorable moments seem to have been "me too," which may end up being a long run negative in spite defying expectations initially.

Friday, September 26, 2008

Debate Verdict:

Debate Flashbacks

2004: Need some wood?



2000: Uh... hi? (last half of this video)



As obnoxious and dumbed down as these things are, they do have their moments.

A list of other memorable debate moments: here.

Politics

A general summary of the last few days:

According to his detractors, McCain's a chicken for saying he was going to work with the Obama campaign to delay the debates since the financial crisis debates appeared to have stalled. But somehow Obama isn't after turning down debates over and over and over and over again since June.

McCain detractors seem to share the view that McCain is flailing wildly on the subject, while McCain supporters see the Democratic leadership go to the national media to warn that without McCain's support no deal will pass... and then when he says he's on his way they go to the national media to announce a deal (that never existed)... and then they blame him for that deal falling apart... shortly before demanding yet again he get his party on board... and then going to the national media to announce that everything went to hell because McCain injected presidential politics, and then list all the ways Obama helped and McCain screwed it up.

The Obama campaign and its surrogates seem to be all about championing the non-existant deal that McCain screwed up by coming to Washington per their party's leadership's request, and now they're announcing they'll have it ready by midnight tonight.

So we're left with the people who thought McCain sucked still thinking McCain sucked, and the people who thought the Dems were playing politics with a crisis still think they're playing politics with a crisis. The economy is still the big subject in the spotlight and McCain is still trending down in the tracking polls while Obama is still trending up (both Rasmussen and Gallup). And the canned debate that was never canceled is still on as scheduled.

Meanwhile banks continue to fail, the markets are teetering on every sign that the bailout is/isn't looking promising... the value of American's retirements, pensions, and savings left in doubt while the credit gears have ground economic mechanisms to a halt. But what the American people really need is some prime-time coverage of the same old talking points and bs you can get from the campaigns' website anytime you want.

Ain't politics grand?

The question comes down to who you believe. The guys who are blatantly trying to cover their political hides by making sure the Republicans can't beat them over the head with the unpopular but necessary bailout that they could easily pass without them (since they're the majority party and have the president's backing)... those same guys who called a closed door meeting with the president, heads of congress and relevant offices that lasted for over an hour a "photo op" to bash the guy they demanded assist them.

Or are you going to believe the guy with a strong track record on putting country first and putting his reputation on the line in striking bipartisan deals?

If you have your doubts, don't worry. The alternative helps make those doubts seem minimal.

Barack Obama: Not a real leader, but he's played one on tv



LOLitics!!1!!!

Thursday, September 25, 2008

Polling Snapshot

This is a technical wonky moment. For my political ranting on McCain's move to suspend his campaign see my post from yesterday evening: Senate Reidership. This is an analysis of the snapshot of the tracking and averages in the polling as of yesterday (prior to McCain's campaign announcement):

Rasmussen Trends as of yesterday:

(click for larger image)

Gallup Trends as of yesterday:


(click for larger image)

And as the RCP averages show, we're back into the pre-convention territory (the McCain post-convention bounce is marked here - also keep in mind the RCP polls are over a much longer time frame than both graphs above):


(click for larger image)

It's my observation that Rasmussen tracking has generally been lagging the averages, while Gallup tracking has been generally more reactive. This seems to mainly come down to the way they calculate their weighting over time, but also may have a great deal to do with the fact that we've been operating within or near the margin of error for quite a while now.

One thing I've noticed with RCP averages are they are far more dramatic than the tracking polls whenever a major event or media push for more polling due to some demand occurs. It'll be interesting to see how the trends shift, continue, or are magnified by the current move and how it is perceived.

I try not to predict the future since it usually results in a realization that there are far too many variables at work than I could possibly factor in to far more unknown psychological and social mechanisms than I'm probably even am aware of. But just for future examination I figured I'd bookmark this moment in time to have a better picture of what happens from here.

As a McCain supporter I'm probably obligated to say this was a "bold" or "genius" move whereas if I was an Obama supporter I should probably label it "desperation" or "dumb" given the partisan reaction throughout the interwebs. The reality is that this move fits with McCain's campaign message, but has plenty of backfiring possibilities. The political advantages and disadvantages were probably heavily weighed and disputed and the McCain camp is betting on a favorable outcome. It's now up to the voters who are either undecided or leaning but uncommitted to let us know how they interpret the actions and motivations.

Ah politics!

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Senate Reidership

A quick flashback to a week ago and the infamous words of Senate Majority Leader, Harry Reid with this headlining gem:

Reid Says Congress Won't Act Because `No One Knows What to Do'
By James Rowley

Sept. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Congress is unlikely to pass new legislation to overhaul financial regulations this year ``because no one knows what to do,'' Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid told reporters today.

As I noted then, it was great way to inspire confidence in Democratic leadership.

Now a more recent flashback to the Senate Reidership:



That's right... Democratic leadership, including Harry Reid, were informing the White House and McCain that the needed McCain's nod, going as far as holding a press conference demanding he tell them where he stands on what they should do.

As of today Reid has completely reversed course and chastised McCain for suspending his campaign in hopes of smoothing out a bipartisan deal to resolve this crisis quickly. According to the latest Reid-irection: "it would not be helpful at this time to have them come back during these negotiations and risk injecting presidential politics into this process or distract important talks about the future of our nation’s economy. If that changes, we will call upon them. We need leadership; not a campaign photo op."

...

Obama for his part decided to make absolutely no sense whatsoever:

I wanted to have a chance to talk to you, because obviously this is a moment of great uncertainty in America. As I mentioned at the rally today, the era of greed and irresponsibility on Wall Street and in Washington has led us to a financial crisis as serious as any we’ve faced since the Great Depression.

And there’s much blame to go around for causing this crisis, but we’re now here.

Every American has a stake in solving this crisis and saving our financial system from collapse, because if we don’t act soon, then people’s jobs, people’s savings, the economic security of millions of Americans will be put at risk.

So the clock is ticking. We have to act swiftly, but we have to also get it right. And that means everyone, Republicans and Democrats, the White House and Congress, need to work together to come up with a solution that protects American taxpayers and our economy without rewarding those whose greed helped bring us to this point.


Worst crisis since the Great Depression and the clock is ticking... demanding everyone come together to come up with a proper and swift resolution.

And Obama's idea of leadership? Keep me up to date, and call if you need me:

You know, what I’m going to do is I’m going to -- what I’ve told the leadership in Congress is that, if I can be helpful, then I am prepared to be anywhere, anytime.

What I think is important, though, is that we don’t suddenly infuse Capitol Hill with presidential politics at a time when we’re in the middle of some very delicate and difficult negotiations.

So, you know, I think the message is, if you need us, if I can be helpful, I’m prepared to be there at any point.

I can't really tell which type of Reidership this is... if he can be helpful? That sounds like Reid's 'nobody knows what to do' idiocy. Yet at the same time he's following Reid's 180 on needing McCain's approval of course of action since yesterday... that it'd just be a distraction.

The Obamedia seems to pushing the Obama camps line that they called McCain's bluff. From my perspective it seems to be that McCain called them out on theirs. Yesterday the Democratic leadership was trying to frame the resolution as falling upon McCain's shoulders on its success or failure. Obama was continuing his bipartisan rhetoric calling on McCain to join him in bipartisan leadership, something otherwise devoid of Obama's record on any controversial issue in his short party-line toeing career.

McCain called them both out and made it clear he has no problem leading the way. Now both the Democratic leadership and Obama are whining that this interferes with their political goals for November and making hollow appeals that what the people really need is another canned debate while the economy teeters on the edge of further collapse... and also while congressional action to deal with it grinds to a halt over political and partisan posturing. Yeah, that's what Americans need.

(Photos: AP, video: ABC via YouTube)

Country First

Classic John McCain... rather lose an election than lose a war... or in this case, an economy:

NEW YORK (CNN) -- Republican presidential candidate John McCain announced Wednesday that he is suspending his campaign to return to Washington and focus on the "historic" crisis facing the U.S. economy.
McCain said it was time for both parties to come together to solve economic crisis.

McCain said it was time for both parties to come together to solve economic crisis.

The Arizona senator called on his Democratic rival, Barack Obama, to do the same. He also urged organizers of Friday's presidential debate at the University of Mississippi to postpone the event.

"I am calling on the president to convene a meeting with the leadership from both houses of Congress, including Senator Obama and myself," McCain told reporters in New York. "It is time for both parties to come together to solve this problem."

There was no immediate response from the Obama campaign.

Full story here at CNN.com or FoxNews.com.

Friday, September 19, 2008

Bring it On!!!

McCain's hitting back on the economic front something fierce since Obama decided to take the financial crisis and use it as opportunity to highlight an out of context comment and then blame McCain for voting for a Democratic supported bill signed into law by Clinton (and amazingly enough also voted for by his own VP candidate, Joe Biden... but I'm sure that wasn't the Joe Biden he knew!).

The first ad hits at one of the ties Obama has to the central SNAFU on the current crisis: Fannie Mae/Fannie Mac:


(h/t: RedState.com and HotAir.com for the video and other links)

This of course was RACIST. "Why?" you might ask?

Two black men and a white woman in the same ad is RACIST!

I swear you can't make this shit up.

He followed this with the next ad further tying him to their CEOs. (This one isn't racist... it has a black guy and two white dudes):



He also released an ad that was ALMOST RACIST. (It had a black dude and a white dude and a white lady... but then had a mixed group shot at the end):



Some might even think these ads are about something other than skin color. Naaah... couldn't be, Obama told us what "they" would do... this MUST be "them" doing it subtly.

Perhaps McCain's own words will sum this up better for those who can't see beyond skin color:

Senator Obama talks a tough game on the financial markets but the facts tell a different story. He took more money from Fannie and Freddie than any Senator but the Democratic chairman of the committee that regulates them. He put Fannie Mae’s CEO who helped create this disaster in charge of finding his Vice President. Fannie’s former General Counsel is a senior advisor to his campaign. Whose side do you think he is on? When I pushed legislation to reform Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Senator Obama was silent. He didn’t lift a hand to avert this crisis. While the leaders of Fannie and Freddie were lining the pockets of his campaign, they were sowing the seeds of the financial crisis we see today and enriching themselves with millions of dollars in payments. That’s not change, that’s what’s broken in Washington.

...

Senator Obama has never made the kind tough reform we need today. His idea of reform is what his party leaders in Congress order him to do. We tried for bipartisan ethics reform and he walked away from it because his bosses didn’t want real change. I know how to make the change that Senator Obama and this Congress is afraid of. I’ve fought both parties to shake up up Washington and I’m going to do it as President.

Those same Congressional leaders who give Senator Obama his marching orders are now saying that this mess isn’t their fault and they aren’t going to take any action on this crisis until after the election. Senator Obama’s own advisers are saying that crisis will benefit him politically. My friends, that is the kind of me-first, country-second politics that are broken in Washington. My opponent sees an economic crisis as a political opportunity instead of a time to lead. Senator Obama isn’t change, he’s part of the problem with Washington.

When AIG was bailed out, I didn’t like it, but I understood it needed to be done to protect hard working Americans with insurance policies and annuities. Senator Obama didn’t take a position. On the biggest issue of the day, he didn’t know what to think. He may not realize it, but you don’t get to vote present as President of the United States.

While Senator Obama and Congressional leaders don’t know what to think about the current crisis, we know what their plans are for the economy. Today Senator Obama’s running mate said that raising taxes is patriotic. Raising taxes in a tough economy isn’t patriotic. It’s not a badge of honor. It’s just dumb policy. The billions in tax increases that Senator Obama is proposing would kill even more jobs during tough economic times. I’m not going to let that happen.

I have seen tough times before. I know how to shake-up Wall Street and Washington. I will get this economy moving. I will lead us through this crisis by fighting for you, and when I am President we will be stronger than ever before.

Did y'all get that? No subtle "racism" to distract you? What? He didn't call Obama dumb. He used dumb in the same paragraph as a black guy to play the race card?

...

Those damn distractions...


-- UPDATE 6:39 PM --

Obama is denying that this particular former CEO ever advised him in spite of a Washington Post article saying otherwise, and him never making an issue of it until two months later:

On the Outside Now, Watching Fannie Falter
By Anita Huslin
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, July 16, 2008; Page D01

In the four years since he stepped down as Fannie Mae's chief executive under the shadow of a $6.3 billion accounting scandal, Franklin D. Raines has been quietly constructing a new life for himself. He has shaved eight points off his golf handicap, taken a corner office in Steve Case's D.C. conglomeration of finance, entertainment and health-care companies and more recently, taken calls from Barack Obama's presidential campaign seeking his advice on mortgage and housing policy matters.

Obviously more McCain "lies" and "distractions" or something...

Perhaps soon we'll learn how the guy who picked his VP didn't really pick his VP... might be a great setup for a shocking revelation that Bill Clinton picked the VP in a secret meeting and here she is: Hillary!!! [crowd goes wild(ly befuddled)]

On the tax ad, Obama claims, as usual, that his stated plan only raises taxes on the rich, and McCain as usual points out that his higher taxes on everything from small business owners, big business, investors, etc will get passed on to the consumer through higher prices and lost jobs. A fact not lost on Obama since he himself has talked about delaying his tax hike plans since they'd hurt the economy too much if we're in a recession. No word yet on how hurting the economy outside of a recession would be a good idea. But I'm sure the explanation will be that he's for a "responsible tax overhaul" to match his Iraq withdraw now, later, soon, but not too soon since it could go really bad, so what I mean is a "responsible withdrawal" which means I don't have to do anything I say necessarily.

(AP / WASHINGTON) — Democrat Barack Obama says he would delay rescinding President Bush's tax cuts on wealthy Americans if he becomes the next president and the economy is in a recession, suggesting such an increase would further hurt the economy.

Nevertheless, Obama has no plans to extend the Bush tax cuts beyond their expiration date, as Republican John McCain advocates. Instead, Obama wants to push for his promised tax cuts for the middle class, he said in a broadcast interview aired Sunday.

"Even if we're still in a recession, I'm going to go through with my tax cuts," Obama said. "That's my priority."

What about increasing taxes on the wealthy?

"I think we've got to take a look and see where the economy is. I mean, the economy is weak right now," Obama said on "This Week" on ABC. "The news with Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, I think, along with the unemployment numbers, indicates that we're fragile."

Distractions bad. Nuance good.

Doing irresponsible things in responsible ways that means not doing those irresponsible things until he does.

Change we can be confused by!

Thursday, September 18, 2008

Comic Disbelief: Obama for Shitty Loans

The right-wing blogosphere is already putting up damning Obama/Fannies youtubes. From a recent RedState.com post:



A summary:

  • At the VERY beginning of his US Senate career Obama was made aware of the problems with the Fannies

  • In the short time Obama was in Office he managed to get to the number two spot of donations from the Fannies... between two other career Democrats that took years longer to rack up that cash.

  • Meanwhile McCain was on the record supporting more regulation on the Fannies and warning of a looming crisis.

  • The Democratic Party was in bed with the Fannies so deeply that the only person who got more donations than Obama was the Democrat chairman tasked with their oversight.

  • Obama didn't say a word about it until it fell apart... years after he knew it was in trouble.


Moral of the story: the Fannies paid off the Democrats, Barack Obama more than any in recent history, to look the other way. And he did.

When he was hurting in the polls he liked to remind people he was 'skinny but tough' and pointed to his old days in the corrupt Chicago political machine that he'd pull through. I guess he figured a direct example of how corrupt Chicago politics works would help even more? Pay to play.

No thanks.

Comic Relief: Obama for Shitty Jobs


Obama Promises To Stop America�s Shitty Jobs From Going Overseas

The best comedy is based on underlying truth.

McCain Fought, Obama Looked the Other Way

From Hot Air:

With the financial sector in turmoil today, the media and the politicians have started throwing around blame with the same recklessness as lenders threw around credit to create the problem. Politically, the pertinent question is this: Which candidate foresaw the credit crisis and tried to do something about it? As it turns out, John McCain did — and partnered with three other Senate Republicans to reform the government’s involvement in lending three years ago, after an attempt by the Bush administration died in Congress two years earlier. McCain spoke forcefully on May 25, 2006, on behalf of the Federal Housing Enterprise Regulatory Reform Act of 2005 (via Beltway Snark):

Mr. President, this week Fannie Mae’s regulator reported that the company’s quarterly reports of profit growth over the past few years were “illusions deliberately and systematically created” by the company’s senior management, which resulted in a $10.6 billion accounting scandal.

...

I join as a cosponsor of the Federal Housing Enterprise Regulatory Reform Act of 2005, S. 190, to underscore my support for quick passage of GSE regulatory reform legislation. If Congress does not act, American taxpayers will continue to be exposed to the enormous risk that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac pose to the housing market, the overall financial system, and the economy as a whole.

I urge my colleagues to support swift action on this GSE reform legislation.

Obama is trying to pin the blame on the current financial problems on McCain, but while McCain was warning the country of the disaster on the horizon, Obama was taking their donations and looking the other way. So much he's already achieved the #2 career donations from them amongst many democrats with far longer careers.

It's worth noting that the only person who beat Obama out from donations from these corrupt financials was the Democrat running the Senate committee responsible for their oversight.

And what were Obama's dire warnings on this situation?

"Thank you for your donation."

Not that this is unexpected from the prodigy of the corrupt Chicago political machine who already has one fundraiser and "friend" on his way to prison, and likely to drag the IL Governor along with him.

All talk... no change.

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

McCain Jabs Back

After yesterday's media love fest with taking McCain's "fundamentals" line out of context and disparaging it as being out of touch when it is in fact an accurate statement... McCain has hit back on the trail:



And in short and probably effective ads:



Probably the best dig out of all of this:

He talks a tough game on the financial crisis, but the facts tell a different story. Senator Obama took more money from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac than anyone but the chairman of the committee they answer to. And he put Fannie Mae’s CEO, who helped create this problem in charge of finding his Vice President.

Not to mention the dig at Obama for continuing with an exclusive celebrity high-dollar fundraiser in Hollywood while regular Americans are worried about their economic future.

Obama for his part has released a two minute long ad that has Obama staring into the camera rambling through some generalities and some talking points. It garnered more attention due to its length than any message in it, which was all over the map with his concerns, an awkward listing of some proposals, and for good measure an anti-war statement and an attack on negative campaigning... most of it long after the average viewer would have stopped paying attention with a structure that keeps going past the natural ending point repeatedly. Probably would have been more effective as three shorter and more concise ads.

But hey, I'm not complaining. Wasting his treasure chest on extremely expensive, extremely ineffective, and otherwise boring ads that get little media attention beyond a description is only helpful to McCain.

Meanwhile Democratic leadership is eliciting headlines like this with their foot-in-mouth disease:

Reid Says Congress Won't Act Because `No One Knows What to Do'
By James Rowley

Sept. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Congress is unlikely to pass new legislation to overhaul financial regulations this year ``because no one knows what to do,'' Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid told reporters today.

A great way to inspire confidence in your side during an election.

Obaminions, Pay Attention

Now THIS is an effective 527 ad:



'Obama, stop supporting killing people like me.'

It's worth noting that factcheck.org took Obama to task on the 'infanticide' bills that the right-wing have been screaming about for months, though they noted, "Whether opposing 'born alive' legislation is the same as supporting 'infanticide,' however, is entirely a matter of interpretation."

More damning is that Obama was caught lying about his prior reasons for opposing such bills and has had to modify his story on multiple occasions to make it sound like he was merely trying to protected abortion rights, even if that meant leaving surviving fetuses to die after a botched abortion.

A look at the exit polls from 2004 show that the overwhelming majority of voters support at least some restrictions on abortion. I'd say that the most barbaric and horrifying abortion issue I've ever seen come up ever, that could even compete with partial-birth abortion, would be considered reasonable to restrict by most voters. His opposition to such protections invites attacks like these and worse.

And compared to the wolf hunting ad or the POW Democrat ad... this ad will impact more than hippies and others already in the tank for Obama.

This anti-Palin ad is probably more effective:



Yeah, I'm pretty sure it's a spoof. If not, it'd be even more hilarious.

Tuesday, September 16, 2008

Rest Easy Gun Owners!

In spite years of supporting bans on everything from hand guns, to so-called "assault weapons," to supporting a ban on all semi-automatic firearms (most currently legal guns), to supporting a ban on concealed carry, to arguing the constitutionality of local and State gun bans... rest easy, gun owners: Obama has no intention of banning your guns.

"And by the way, here’s another thing you’ve got to understand. Even if I wanted to take it away, I couldn’t get it done. I don’t have the votes in Congress."

- Barack Obama, Monday September 15th, 2008 (yesterday) in Colorado

Oh I feel MUCH better now. At least you're not running with a VP pick that bragged about authoring gun ban bills during the debates or anything and long track record of supporting gun bans himself. Oh wait...

Well at least you won't have a Democratic controlled Congress, in both houses, still full of members who supported prior gun bans. Oh wait...

Well at least you'd never want to take them away... except your entire career.

Another Misguided 527

She's so bad she's BAD ASS!



"Do we really want a Vice President who champions such savagery?"

Fuck yeah we do.

(it's worth noting that these actions were pro-conservation and this group has got its facts ass-backwards on why the wolf population needed to be reduced. It wasn't for shits and giggles. But zomg it makes us feel bad! Whatever hippies.)

Obama Campaign Admits Delay Attempt

...while denying that they attempted to delay anything.

I'll wait for your head to stop spinning for a second... alright. Alright, strap in this time:

PUEBLO, Colorado (AFP) — Barack Obama's White House campaign angrily denied Monday a report that he had secretly urged the Iraqis to postpone a deal to withdraw US troops until after November's election.

In the New York Post, conservative Iranian-born columnist Amir Taheri quoted Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari as saying the Democrat made the demand when he visited Baghdad in July, while publicly demanding an early withdrawal.

"He asked why we were not prepared to delay an agreement until after the US elections and the formation of a new administration in Washington," Zebari said in an interview, according to Taheri.

"However, as an Iraqi, I prefer to have a security agreement that regulates the activities of foreign troops, rather than keeping the matter open," Zebari reportedly said.

The Republican campaign of John McCain seized on the report to accuse Obama of double-speak on Iraq, calling it an "egregious act of political interference by a presidential candidate seeking political advantage overseas."

But Obama's national security spokeswoman Wendy Morigi said Taheri's article bore "as much resemblance to the truth as a McCain campaign commercial."

In fact, Obama had told the Iraqis that they should not rush through a "Strategic Framework Agreement" governing the future of US forces until after President George W. Bush leaves office, she said. [emphasis added]

So they deny urged delaying the agreement until after the election and what they actually did was urge delaying the specific agreement until after the election.

All apologies for repeating myself, but they actually confessed in the middle of a denial. That's brilliant!

It should be interesting to see who, if anybody, runs with this. Given the focus on the economy I'm expecting attacks along the lines of Obama attempting to incite panic for political gain with his 'great depression' comments instead of doing what a leader should be doing and inspiring confidence while facing the challenges that exist. But this topic needs to be revisited during the debates. The story originally had a credibility problem due to the author's known biases. With the Obama campaign confirming it, that's no longer an issue.

The anti-war candidate's campaign has just admitted that it's anti-war candidate tried to delay the process for troop withdrawals until after the election.

That's messed up.

Comic Relief: Obama on Debating

What Obama says: He'll debate John McCain anytime and anywhere.

What Obama and his supporters sound like when McCain offers:




-- UPDATE 6:30 AM --

This other muppet video made me think of the MSDNC view of the RNC convention:



Complete with Olbermann and Matthews impersonations at the end!

Monday, September 15, 2008

Shocker: Some POWs are Democrats

A fellow Academy and cell mate of John McCain's is putting the word out: he's a liberal democrat. Oh, and he's not supporting John McCain. His arguments include the old temper meme and policy disagreements... and a strong respect for him in spite of that. Okey doke.

I'm not sure why a 527 for Obama thinks this is somehow relevant or damaging by leaving out his political ideology. I suppose I should be thankful they're wasting their money on this instead of something else.

From his military.com bio:

About Phillip Butler

Doctor Phillip Butler is a 1961 graduate of the United States Naval Academy and a former light-attack carrier pilot. In 1965 he was shot down over North Vietnam where he spent eight years as a prisoner of war. He is a highly decorated combat veteran who was awarded two Silver Stars, two Legion of Merits, two Bronze Stars and two Purple Heart medals.

After his repatriation in 1973 he earned a Ph.D. in sociology from the University of California at San Diego and became a Navy Organizational Effectiveness consultant. He completed his Navy career in 1981 as a professor of management at the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, California. He is now a peace and justice activist with Veterans for Peace.


You can learn the political leanings and views of that group at their website.

Many of McCain's fellow POWs are supporting him, including the most decorated living veteran, Bud Day, a legend in his own right. I'd imagine that the McCain supporting POWs are mainly Republicans or at least don't have strong left-wing ideological leanings as some of their fellow POWs such as Dr. Butler.

While Butler correctly points out that being a POW doesn't automatically qualify one to be president, the only people who think McCain is claiming that are the far-left who resent his frequent mentioning of the experience. Similarly Republicans hypocritically criticized Kerry for mentioning his own service frequently. Just more of the usual partisan hypocrisy.

So does this hurt McCain? I don't see how these arguments, even by someone with similar experiences, will really appeal to anyone that didn't already agree with him. Being a POW doesn't automatically make one an authoritative political philosopher any more than it would automatically make one qualified to be president. Here's to having differing opinions.

I guess there's just one question for Obama supporters, "What else ya got?"

Deer in Headlights



As noted in 2000:

If McCain survives South Carolina and goes on to defeat George W. Bush for the Republican nomination—still a very big if—the Internet may eventually be judged not just a contributing factor, but an essential, enabling condition of his victory.

Six months ago, no one would have pegged McCain as the most cybersavvy of this year's crop of candidates. At 63, he is the oldest of the bunch and because of his war injuries, he is limited in his ability to wield a keyboard. But McCain's job as chairman of the Senate commerce committee forced him to learn about the Internet early on, and young Web entrepreneurs such as Jerry Yang and Jeff Bezos fascinate him. Well before he announced his exploratory committee, McCain had assimilated the notion that the Web could be vital to the kind of insurgent, anti-establishment campaign he wanted to run.

McCain has been dealing with both the regulatory issues of the internet and technology as part of his duties on the tech subcommittee of the Senate Commerce Committee... but also the economic implications for a damn long time. As the article notes he's been putting that technology to use for nearly a decade.

This cheapshot, being defended by ignorant campaign staff (or perhaps campaign staff actively trying to deceive the public) is based on a fact that has been well known since 2000, as the Globe noted both then and now:

McCain suffered broken bones that still prevent him from fully lifting his arms and has lost mobility as a result of fractured fingers.

Calls to the Obama campaign weren't returned yesterday. On Friday, before the latest round of criticism from the bloggers, Obama's campaign defended the ads.

...

The Globe story cited by Obama critics yesterday, published during McCain's first run of the presidency in 2000, said in part that "McCain's severe war injuries prevent him from combing his hair, typing on a keyboard, or tying his shoes."

Great joke, Obama. Great campaign tactics while whining about negative ads. And a great way to cap off a campaign where you've been disparaging a decorated war veteran for months as not compassionate enough for the troops or veterans. Because this bullshit really shows compassion for the troubles they face when they come home.

I'm sure people will feel real bad for you that some took your pig/lipstick comment the wrong way now. I bet they're all torn up about it. I'm sure they'll have to fight back the tears over someone taking your bill to teach kindergartners STD prevention as inappropriate. Now that is low! *cough*

[/End of Rant]

Biden Needs to Kiss My Ass

For the record, Obama still needs to as well.

Of all the pathetic and mind boggling whining about McCain's negative mudslinging ads coming from the Obama camp... he and his supporters still have absolutely no problem with absolute bullshit they've been slinging for months.

Case in point, today, Senator Biden, at a campaign event slipped into his rip-roaring anti-McCain fest an oldy but goody accusation that McCain doesn't care enough about veterans. If this sounds familiar, it's because Obama used it months ago... right on the Senate floor.

But hey, Obama supporters tell me I'm supposed to care about lipstick/pig ads that were panned by factcheckers. Using a long debunked attack on McCain's commitment to veterans has been okay with them all the way through and even prior to the beginning of the general election.

No surprise. They still believe wholeheartedly in the immediately debunked claim that McCain cares so little about our troops he wants them to keep fighting a war for a 100 years. A claim debunked by factcheckers repeatedly back in February when the DNC and Obama personally began using it (though he denied he said it later when called on it... youtube, Senator, youtube, you lying sack of shit.)

Two non-veterans using long debunked attacks to disparage a decorated war veterans commitment to both troops and veterans alike is a-ok.

McCain pointing out a comment that could have been interpreted as a slight, or pointing out a bill that Obama supported that would have required STD prevention lessons to kindergartners is 'the most dishonest campaign in history.'

It'd be laughable if his devout cult didn't buy it hook, line, and sinker. This disrespectful scumbag is a heartbeat away from the presidency. America should send him back to the corrupt political machine that groomed him.

[/End of Rant]

Sunday, September 14, 2008

Save us!

Since I'm in a ranting mood... I'm going to throw out this absurd nonsense too:



An ad demanding that the government save us?

There seems to be an increasing awareness of something we Americans have known for some time: that the 10 most dangerous words in the English language are, "Hi, I'm from the Government, and I'm here to help." - Ronald Reagan

Oh how far we've come. Ask not what your country can do for you... DEMAND IT!

If you feel rumblings near cemeteries at least you'll know why.

Ugh.

Doctrine and Deceptions

'Much ado about nothing' is the best way to describe the cries of incompetence flying from the anti-Palin blogosphere and Obama supporters generally over Palin's "Bush Doctrine" response with Charlie Gibson.

While they "know" what the term means definitively... as one can learn by doing a quick google search and finding it is practically synonymous with 'pre-emptive war' to them, there are few without strong ideological biases who can say the same.

Most importantly the Pulitzer prize winning commentator who coined the term:

Charlie Gibson's Gaffe
By Charles Krauthammer
Saturday, September 13, 2008; A17


"At times visibly nervous . . . Ms. Palin most visibly stumbled when she was asked by Mr. Gibson if she agreed with the Bush doctrine. Ms. Palin did not seem to know what he was talking about. Mr. Gibson, sounding like an impatient teacher, informed her that it meant the right of 'anticipatory self-defense.' "

-- New York Times, Sept. 12

Informed her? Rubbish.

The New York Times got it wrong. And Charlie Gibson got it wrong.

There is no single meaning of the Bush doctrine. In fact, there have been four distinct meanings, each one succeeding another over the eight years of this administration -- and the one Charlie Gibson cited is not the one in common usage today. It is utterly different.

He asked Palin, "Do you agree with the Bush doctrine?"

She responded, quite sensibly to a question that is ambiguous, "In what respect, Charlie?"

Sensing his "gotcha" moment, Gibson refused to tell her. After making her fish for the answer, Gibson grudgingly explained to the moose-hunting rube that the Bush doctrine "is that we have the right of anticipatory self-defense."

Wrong.

While left-wingers will certainly cry foul, as they've long known what the term means because, frankly, that's how they've used it for years and prefer it that way because it allows them to use it as a pejorative amongst their left-wing pals. The problem is that Bush's foreign policy could hardly be summed up with such a one-sided over-simplification, unless distorting it for a partisan agenda is your goal, of course.

Even if you can get Palin's opponents to admit such a thing (unlikely at best) they'll still cry out that she looked like 'a deer in headlights' and obviously had no idea whatsoever by asking for a clarification. But as even the person who coined the term notes:

Presidential doctrines are inherently malleable and difficult to define. The only fixed "doctrines" in American history are the Monroe and the Truman doctrines which come out of single presidential statements during administrations where there were few other contradictory or conflicting foreign policy crosscurrents.

Such is not the case with the Bush doctrine.

Yes, Sarah Palin didn't know what it is. But neither does Charlie Gibson. And at least she didn't pretend to know -- while he looked down his nose and over his glasses with weary disdain, sighing and "sounding like an impatient teacher," as the Times noted. In doing so, he captured perfectly the establishment snobbery and intellectual condescension that has characterized the chattering classes' reaction to the mother of five who presumes to play on their stage.

Could she have responded more forcibly similar to this? Yes, and it would have been impressive as hell. But to presume that she'd assume a left-wing over-simplification of a co-opted term with no specific or generally agreed upon meaning beyond their clique is absurd at best. A manufactured issue at worst.

Meanwhile...

The Obama campaign and supporters are beside themselves that the McCain camp would dare use out of context quotes to paint a distorted picture of their candidate. A tactic that both the DNC and the Obama campaign has been using since long before their nomination battles ended to attack McCain.

Most recently is a less than subtle jab at McCain's age and implying that he's somehow unaware of e-commerce or the importance of computers in our economy generally.

And how do they try to paint a guy who has been dealing with e-commerce, internet, computer, etc issues with the economy as a member of the tech subcommittee of the Senate Commerce Committee since long before Obama was even a blip on the radar of big league politics?

A couple out of context quotes... being his usual self-deprecating way while on the campaign trail. Humor is obviously not off limits as we've seen numerous times before with the Obama attacks.

Obama has reminded us time and time again of McCain's notorious comment on not knowing enough about the economy. And while Obama and his supporters whine about deception, this self-deprecating comment is far better known than McCain's years upon years upon years sitting on an economic focused committee with a strong record to show for it... a fact that factcheck.org pointed out when the DNC was using it to paint him as an economic ignoramus... while also noting that neither Dem candidate at the time had any comparable economic experience.

Even though this issue, as were many others, debunked months and months ago, the Obama campaign and his supporters champion them while whining that McCain's ads are misleading and point to recent factcheck.org articles to cry the 'most dishonorable campaign in history.'

What a fucking joke. Honestly.

Meanwhile the partisan hypocrisy hasn't taken a break on either side.

This computer ad is yet another example where McCain's loose talk express derailed some of his strongest selling points. And the left-wingers are already whining that his supporters have noted his injuries are part of the reason for his limited use of computers (something known for years upon years). But as far as their 'noun, verb, POW' criticisms, they're eerily similar to the GOP complaints about Kerry always mentioning his service. Yet another hypocritical part of this year's campaign.

While considered one of the more cyber-savvy candidates of 2000, with a strong record to show on such issues... the attempt to paint him as some ol' fogey with no understanding of these issues is just more deception from the people whining about deception.

If the left-wingers want McCain to start pulling punches they should stop saying Obama will debate McCain 'anytime, anywhere' and actually stop hiding from every opportunity offered to do so.

If they want a stand up debate... get Obama to STAND THE FUCK UP instead of cowering from the big dog.

If they want McCain to stop going negative, perhaps they should get Obama to apologize for running his entire campaign that way from start to finish. If I hear he's "going to take the gloves off" one more time I might get physically ill.

Right off the bat his party and campaign smeared McCain, a decorated veteran, as a warmonger with blatant lies taking comments out of context and corrected by factcheckers and even denied by Obama himself when called on it... with no apologies. Obama stood on the Senate floor and accused McCain of not caring enough about veterans because he supported a different version of a bill for veterans benefits.

If Obama wants a fair fight, he should have taken his own advice months ago. A call for a fair fight is only sincere if you don't start off dirty yourself. Otherwise nobody in their right mind is going to fight fair while the other has a record and is currently fighting dirty.

If Obama wants to make amends... the onus is on him to apologize. Until then he can fucking deal.

[/end of rant]

Saturday, September 13, 2008

Eye Over Galveston



Criminey...

Friday, September 12, 2008

Hurricane Ike Relief

Ike is looking worse than Gustav and the Red Cross's Disaster Relief Fund is still running with the help of loans due to donations not keeping up with demand.

Every little bit helps to combine to real help to those stranded.

Here's a link to the RedCross website for disaster relief fund donations.

Blago: Palin's Experience Better than Barack's?

Some hilarity coming from an Obama supporter and the governor of his home State of Illinois:

"The reality is, governors every day have to make decisions for better or for worse. That's part of the job. It's an executive position. And it's a position that is like what you’re going to do when you're president. Legislators, they do different things. They debate and they pass their bills back and forth," he said.

"But governors make decisions, and I think it's a tactical mistake for the Democrats to question Gov. Palin's experience when she's been a governor of a state," he said. "I don't think the size of the state is relevant. It's the kinds of decisions you have to make as governor. They (Democrats) should focus on the issues and why the policies of President Bush ought to be changed and I think that's what will help Obama win."

The IL governor already has a popularity problem, even among his own party, so it'd be interesting to see if this is the final straw in their support of him. The irony, of course, would be that what finally destroys his career is one of the few honest things he's ever uttered.

Palin Interview

Overall I thought she did quite well in spite being grilled on a topic that, quite frankly, is her weakest area. Charlie Gibson calmly and coolly threw out one question after another with some curveballs... and Palin fielded them like a pro. Definitely worth catching once it starts floating around the web.

A quick response to early criticism I've heard so far:


Suggestions that Palin wants to start a war with Russia if the invade any other country:

This bit seemed to have come from ABC's own teaser for the interview which went beyond what she actually stated (probably in hopes more people would tune in to see a big gaffe). What she actually pointed out that she, like John McCain, would like to see more nations join NATO, which she also correctly pointed out would entail the collective security obligations that go with NATO membership. Now people who disagree with McCain's support of adding some of these nations will certainly disagree with her statements tonight, but they were hardly some warmongering gaffe as I've seen some try to make out.

From the NY Times:

The network teased the interview on its Web site this afternoon with this eye-popping bulletin: “Exclusive: Gov. Sarah Palin warns war may be necessary if Russia invades another country.”

But the transcript showed that she was merely repeating Mr. McCain’s position and had not used provocative language. And we’re wondering if the McCain camp is reconsidering its selection of ABC, since it hyped the teaser to sound like Ms. Palin was ready to press the button.

The spin on this seems to jump far beyond her mere statement of what NATO obligations are. It's hard to deny a statement of fact from the treaty itself.


Suggestions that she backtracked on her prior statements that Iraq was God's task:

In the interview Charlie Gibson's "exact quote" on one of her prior statements was actually a misquote from the Associated Press. Her actual comment was along the lines of praying that our actions were God's will... as Christians tend to do for any decision, and she rightly noted that other Christian presidents have made similar statements.


Suggestions that she was oblivious to what our current foreign policy is over the "Bush Doctrine" question:

This one threw me for a loop when I first heard it and when someone quoted the text to me I noticed why I didn't take it like they did when I heard her ask for a clarification. Charlie Gibson asked her if she agreed with the Bush doctrine... a phrase that is commonly used by left-wing groups almost interchangeably with 'pre-emptive war.' But when most people heard him ask, it appears they didn't think it unreasonable to question which specific policies he was referring to, as few others feel any of Bush's policies have been elevated to the status of the Monroe Doctrine or the Roosevelt Collorary, etc. In fact the first usage of the term appears to have pre-dated 9/11 and the policies Gibson was spcifically interested in.

I'm sure this won't deter her detractors from using this as a gotcha, but it's sure to fall on deaf ears to right-wingers and, most relevant to this election, the undecided and generally non-wonkish viewers who were watching to get an impression of her... since neither is as likely as her detractors to view the term so definitively and negatively.


Criticism she mainly repeated and rephrased similar themes:

In politics, that's called "staying on message" and is generally a good sign that she did well in an interview, especially considering the gaffes-that-weren't that make up the rest of the criticisms, which seem to be almost entirely held by her opposition alone. If that was her target audience, she might be in trouble, but I think we all know better.

I'm biased, but I think she did well... and it'd be hard to argue she was thrown softballs.

Thursday, September 11, 2008

Still Pissed... again...



Dirty Pool

The McCain campaign has flung some serious mud on the eve of 9/11 and the non-partisan events that both campaigns have scheduled tomorrow.

Unless you were living in a cave almost everyone has already heard both sides of the "lipstick on a pig" comment. While it's plausible that Obama used the term as a stealth jab, in the context of his speech it was an appropriate usage. Republicans have pointed to the crowd reaction and Palin's now infamous joke comparing herself to a pitbull with lipstick in recent media history to base their accusations it was intentional. But that's flimsy proof that isn't convincing unless you already want to believe it. It might have made a small sidenote... but the huge deal made out of it made it appear that the McCain camp was reaching. I'm not sure if it hurt them, but it certainly seems unlikely to help. If anything it just got both sides digging in a bit more.

The other issue is even more wobbly, though a bit less absurd. In a recent ad the McCain camp has accused Obama of supporting sex-ed for kindergartners. Factcheck.org has already released an article condemning it as untrue. And they make some good points about how the issue is exaggerated... but they took a much harder line on this accusation than last time (this attack on Obama started in 2004 and was rehashed again in 2007.

Last time they noted and even posted the video link of Obama dismissing the 2004 attack but then going on to say that sex-ed for kindergartners was necessary. The problem is that the bill was geared towards protecting children from predators, and supposedly it was intended to give younger children enough information to avoid and/or report such situations. Sounds reasonable, right?

The problem is that the actual legislation went far more "explicit" as Obama used the term. Everything from explaining masturbation to explicit identification of body parts and even lessons on homosexuality, which of course would rile right-wing voters to no end. It's true that this can hardly be considered an "accomplishment" of Obama's since the bill failed for obvious reasons, but it's a stretch to dismiss this as an issue not important to conservatives or others who'd prefer that birds/bees explanations be done by parents, not government employees, at that age.

In response the Obama camp has directly, and through surrogates, attacked John McCain on his honor. Something they had already done indirectly by implying he was a warmonger with out of context quotes and accusing him of not caring enough about veterans.

I've found that Obama supporters are under the delusion that Obama is just now taking the gloves off in attacking McCain in response to his attacks. But the facts show that McCain didn't start really going dirty until long after the DNC and Obama himself began disparaging his honor. Doing so directly now isn't going to get the attacks to stop, but it's sure to invite more Rovian style attacks.

If Obama or his supporters thought that painting a decorated war hero as unconcerned with the well being of our troops and veterans wasn't an invitation for a mud-slinging smackdown, they were sorely mistaken. These current disparaging remarks on honor, by a man who previously proved he has none, falls on deaf ears.

Tomorrow as the camps pretend to be friendly for the sake of the nation, any and all compliments of Obama will certainly be through gritted teeth, especially as we remember that he defended a man for years who he was fully aware believed the event was some sort of righteous retaliation against the white man. Puh-lease.

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Comic Relief: Unintentional

Tuesday, September 09, 2008

Comic Relief: Obama and Universal Healthcare



I nearly hurt myself laughing at this one... but I've been in that line. And the expansion of our current inefficient and insanely expensive system and slapping a "universal" tag on it is so absurd to me... perhaps I just can't jump on board.

Hypocrisy on Hypocrisy

Already some Obama supporters are attempting to claim unfairness in criticism between Palin and Wright. Here is one response to such hypocritical claims of hypocrisy by a local representative:

It's one thing to rake someone over the coals over a relationship of twenty years described as a friendship, being an uncle, being a spiritual adviser, noting day to day political advice, a mentor, and someone added to the campaign who wasn't merely some visiting preacher, but the head honcho of a church whose members, when interviewed, described his comments about genocidal conspiracies, extreme anti-american sentiment, and bigoted remarks as "the truth" with no signs of shock or amazement that he'd utter such thing...

...versus the comments of a visiting pastor at a church she's been attending for the last few years who said something that contradicted with her well known views. For crying out loud the woman has the Israeli flag on the wall of her office given to her by friends.

The left wing rumor mills can't decide whether she's so pro-Israel that she's a danger to our national interests or so anti-Israel that she can be depicted as against American Jewish concerns here.

The revisionism required to believe that Wright was some innocuous association after Obama had described him as being far more involved with his way of thinking for so long is downright stunning.

If you want hypocrisy, how about attempting to apply tougher standards to Palin than you do your obvious preferred candidate. Just like the Hagee endorsement, defenders of Obama have jumped head first onto the hypocrisy train by attempting to ridicule their opponents with examples that amount to a molehill compared to the mountain of problems the same issues pose for their own candidate.

Granted neither side has a copyright on hypocrisy... whether it be the value of military experience shifting with nearly every or every other election... or dismissing/highlighting gaffes... or what experience levels and type are best or irrelevant... both sides are hypocrites on a level beyond measure.

I'd welcome you to their ranks but I imagine such a welcome would be seriously belated. Instead I'll thank you for reminding me why I'm a proud independent and liberal constitutionalist. I can no sooner defend McCain for his submission to the religious right over the years than defend Obama for having his own strong ties to religious whackjobs that make Falwell seem almost tame in comparison (an impressive feat).

All of this is a nice reminder of the Hagee vs Wright issue earlier this year. It's hard to imagine that Obama supporters would be so boneheaded to bring that subject back up in a spurious and inherently hypocritical attack themselves... but partisan hypocrisy knows no bounds. The attacks on Palin's experience have proven that no argument, even if it is immediately hypocritical as opposed to merely being a switch from an election four years prior, is out of bounds.

To McCain's credit, he picked a VP whose biggest political faults boomerang quite effectively back at the top of the Democratic ticket. Whether it be experience, corruption, or religious nutjobbery. So far, on all counts Palin comes out looking far better than Obama. Sad, since she's the VP pick... not the headliner on the Democratic ticket.

Palin Myths, Rumors, and Smears

Here's a couple handy links to bookmark for the various rumors floating around on the internet about Sarah Palin. The first is from factcheck.org that covers some of the more persistent ones and the other is a long detailed list with links to sources debunking or, in rare cases, confirming them.

Here's the factcheck.org article's summary:

We’ve been flooded for the past few days with queries about dubious Internet postings and mass e-mail messages making claims about McCain’s running mate, Gov. Palin. We find that many are completely false, or misleading.
  • Palin did not cut funding for special needs education in Alaska by 62 percent. She didn’t cut it at all. In fact, she tripled per-pupil funding over just three years.
  • She did not demand that books be banned from the Wasilla library. Some of the books on a widely circulated list were not even in print at the time. The librarian has said Palin asked a "What if?" question, but the librarian continued in her job through most of Palin's first term.
  • She was never a member of the Alaskan Independence Party, a group that wants Alaskans to vote on whether they wish to secede from the United States. She’s been registered as a Republican since May 1982.

  • Palin never endorsed or supported Pat Buchanan for president. She once wore a Buchanan button as a "courtesty" when he visited Wasilla, but shortly afterward she was appointed to co-chair of the campaign of Steve Forbes in the state.

  • Palin has not pushed for teaching creationism in Alaska's schools. She has said that students should be allowed to "debate both sides" of the evolution question, but she also said creationism "doesn't have to be part of the curriculum."
A few of these claims were included in a chain e-mail by a woman named Anne Kilkenny. We'll be looking into other charges in that e-mail for a future story. For more explanation of the bullet points above, please read the Analysis.

And some examples from the Explorations blog (as of 9/9/2008) with plenty of links that generally seem credible or at least lead one more step to a credible source:

Here's one rumor I heard several times just today about speaking in tongues/membership to an extremist church:

45. yes, she’s an was an Assembly of God Holy Roller. No, she doesn’t attend an AoG church now. Yes, she did leave the AoG because they were getting too weird for her.

It's worth noting that the links will eventually take you to both Fox News and the NY Times debunking this silliness. Another one pointing out the misinterpretation by some secularists of an Iraq war comment:

23. No, she’s doesn’t believe that the Iraq War was directed by God. Yes, she did pray that proceeding with the war was God’s will: “they should pray ‘that our national leaders are sending them out on a task that is from God, that’s what we have to make sure we are praying for, that there is a plan, and that plan is God’s plan.’” (Ever hear the phrase “Not my will, but Thine, be done”?) Yes, this apparently freaks some people right out.

And of course some more irrelevant but humorous lines:

64. Yes, she did put the Governors plane on eBay. No, that’s not how it was finally sold. Yes, McCain did say it wrong. Bad McCain.

Obviously not all are as serious as others, and some are mere commentary. But it's still a handy link if someone starts rambling about Palin with stories that sound far too crazy to be true. A quick search of the list and you'll likely find that it's either misleading or downright false.

As you can tell they're really damaging the McCain campaign's popularity (he's up to 60% favorable now):


(photo from the rocky mountain news)

Monday, September 08, 2008

In the Red

Some hopeful signs post convention for McCain:



I've been mainly following Rasmussen myself which today noted Obama's lead with women dropped from 14% to 3% and McCain's favorable rating has jumped to 60%. As much as Obama may want to run against an imaginary 3rd term... McCain has zero interest in running for one, and the voters have noticed.

Other mentionables aka "Who said it?" time:

  • The surge has been a wild success.

  • The surge has made withdrawal from Iraq possible.

  • Raising taxes on the rich will make a recession worse so I won't do it.


Answers:

  • Obama

  • Biden

  • Obama


Has the McCain campaign taken over their campaign? Or are they really that desperate?

Nah... if they were desperate they'd be crawling back to Hillary on their hands and knees for help...

...oh wait...


-- UPDATE 12:16 PM --

Added a more up-to-date snapshot of today's polls.

Hillary Flashbacks

Obama suddenly remembers he considered joining the military:

You know, I actually did. I had to sign up for Selective Service when I graduated from high school.

And I was growing up in Hawaii. And I have friends whose parents were in the military. There are a lot of Army, military bases there.

And I actually always thought of the military as an ennobling and, you know, honorable option. But keep in mind that I graduated in 1979. The Vietnam War had come to an end. We weren't engaged in an active military conflict at that point. And so, it's not an option that I ever decided to pursue.


This may be somewhat believable, but as a poster on RedState.com has noted:

Now, there is technically no overt, provable lie in the above statement. Instead, all we have to go on is circumstantial and historical evidence -- such as the fact that this supposed desire to serve his country never made it into either of his lengthy memoirs, and the fact that the Selective Service registration requirement was suspended at the time he is speaking of in the above quote.

An implausible story about a desire to join the military that seems to contradict reality? Where have I heard this story before...

If this sounds eerily familiar, this is why:

The First Lady has offered a kaleidoscope of images to the public, but today she added the most curious one yet: Private Hillary.

Speaking at a lunch on Capitol Hill honoring military women, Hillary Rodham Clinton said that she once visited a recruiting office in Arkansas to inquire about joining the Marines.

She told the group gathered for lunch in the Dirksen Office Building, according to The Associated Press, that she became interested in the military in 1975, the year she married Bill Clinton and the year she was teaching at the University of Arkansas law school in Fayetteville.

Now that he's crawled back on his hands and knees to get her to help him win back the female vote, he's going to resort to her tactics too?

Interesting. Despicable. But interesting.

Comic Relief: RNC's Most Embarrassing Moment



McCain gets Barack Rolled.

Sunday, September 07, 2008

Tied Up: 48-48%

In the first tracking poll that has all data from after Palin's debut speech to the RNC... here's the highlights:

In the first national polling results based entirely on interviews conducted after Sarah Palin’s acceptance speech, Barack Obama gets 46% of the vote and so does John McCain. When "leaners" are included, it’s all even at 48%. Tracking Poll results are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day and a FREE daily e-mail update is available.

This past Tuesday, Obama’s bounce peaked with the Democrat enjoying a six-percentage point advantage. Before the two conventions were held, Obama had consistently held a one or two point lead over McCain for most of August (see recent daily results).

...

McCain earns the vote from 89% of Republicans while Obama is supported by 81% of Democrats. McCain also manages to attract 15% of Democrats while Obama gets 9% of the Republican vote. Voters not affiliated with either major party remain fairly evenly divided between the two men.

McCain leads by seven points among men while Obama leads by six among women. On Tuesday, when Obama’s lead peaked, he had a fourteen point advantage among women


From the last few days of polling it appears that McCain has:

  • Effectively removed Obama's convention bounce.

  • Tied up the national polling again.

  • Cut Obama's lead among women more than half.

  • Successfully put Obama on par among voters with McCain's VP pick, most importantly among unaffiliated voters.

  • McCain/Palin both have favorable/unfavorable ratings better than Obama, and far better than his VP pick.

  • Left the impression among many on both sides of the aisle that McCain is out-maneuvering Obama's campaign.

  • Reduced Obama to desperation moves: claiming his campaign should be counted as relevant experience to be president... and more recently, having to crawl back to Hillary to stump for him to help bring back the woman vote.


Meanwhile the generic party ballot, who Obama should otherwise be exceeding given the political environment this year with unpopular incumbent and incumbent party continues to blow him out of the water. But even that has shrunk from the double digit averages.

The Electoral patterns and overall environment still have the odds on an Obama victory in November... but the odds have shrunk according to almost all trading bets. And though being tied up isn't any assurance of victory for McCain by a long shot, it certainly provides hope in what was almost certainly a hopeless situation.

The battle over the economic voters will rage on, and McCain's attempts to make energy the strongest focus will be an uphill battle on that front as Obama holds a commanding lead with lousy economic news surely on the horizon.

Saturday, September 06, 2008

Palin CnC Credentials

While, I think almost everyone is fully aware that both the Democratic Presidential candidate and Republican Vice Presidential candidate have some problems with relevant experience. Voters polled are nearly evenly split on which one has more experience:

However, following the Wednesday night speech, voters are fairly evenly divided as to whether Palin or Obama has the better experience to be President. Forty-four percent (44%) of voters say Palin has the better experience while 48% say Obama has the edge. Among unaffiliated voters, 45% say Obama has better experience while 42% say Palin. [Emphasis Mine]

When most people think of their governor they're generally unaware of what, if anything, they may do with their Commander in Chief duties over the militia/National Guard in their State. This clip interviewing someone familiar with Palin's duties and activities in that regard explains it below:



I'd seen people mention the CnC credential before but this was probably the most clear as to what she did with that authority.


On a totally unrelated note:

I noticed on the Daily Show last night they helped further propagate the e-mail smear about John McCain crashing five planes, with the obligatory remarks of how lousy a pilot he must have been. Of all the trashing, this one struck me as being over the line as opposed to pointing out the usual hypocrisy and absurdities in convention politics.

As factcheck.org notes on this particular smear, this is a wholly inaccurate depiction. First off, he was decorated and commended for his flying skills. Second off, engine failure was the confirmed cause of two crashes. Another "crash" wasn't even a crash, as his plane was hit by a misfired missile from across the aircraft carrier he was on (and no, not one behind him). Lastly there was only one more crash, when he was shot down over Vietnam. So three crashes, all due to unfortunate circumstances beyond his control. And a tragic carrier deck accident not during flight.

Friday, September 05, 2008

News and Pure Idiocy

First some news, and in a rare moment, Fox has it instead of missing white women:

“I think that the surge has succeeded in ways that nobody anticipated,” Obama said while refusing to retract his initial opposition to the surge. “I’ve already said it’s succeeded beyond our wildest dreams.”

This is a fairly big admission at a fairly interesting time. I'm actually a bit surprised the Republican speakers didn't update their speeches to reflect this statement. But by the time this portion of the interview aired tonight, it may have been too late to do any last minute speech adjustments.

The matching idiocy on this one: having to watch O'Reilly to hear a minute piece of his Obama interview and all the crap that is his show and pompous assery.

For some more news: 37 MILLION VIEWERS for Palin speech... almost as much as Obama himself:

LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - More than 37 million U.S. TV viewers tuned in to watch Sarah Palin accept the Republican nomination for vice president on Wednesday, just shy of the record set last week by Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama, Nielsen Media Research reported.

Nielsen has said the 38.4 million viewers averaged by Obama's address last Thursday are believed to be the biggest television audience ever for a U.S. political convention speech, and Palin's tally of 37.2 million came close to that.

But she easily surpassed the 27.6 million viewers drawn by President George W. Bush at the end of the Republican National Convention in 2004, when he was nominated for a second term.

Impressive!

And for some pure unadulterated idiocy posing as news: I give you Keith Olbermann disgusted that Republicans would have a tribute video to 9/11 at their convention the week before the anniversary:



Certainly earning it's nickname of MSDNC there Obamamann. Criminey.

And let's finish on some real news that's quite relevant: From Rasmussen Reports:

Over half of U.S. voters (51%) think reporters are trying to hurt Sarah Palin with their news coverage, and 24% say those stories make them more likely to vote for Republican presidential candidate John McCain in November.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) also believe the GOP vice presidential nominee has better experience to be president of the United States than Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama.

This polling was prior to her big speech yesterday night where almost every pundit argued she hit it out of the park, stunning them in her debut speech to millions better than many pros (most notably her own running mate).

Can't imagine why anyone might think the media is out to get her though... especially those who understand lightning bolt shaped 'S' symbolism when matched with black and red color schemes while someone appears to be making a Bellamy salute:



Stay classy, CNN. Stay classy.

The winner of the best cable coverage of the RNC?

C-SPAN

They just played the bullshitting they were covering... instead of feeling somehow obligated to add to it several times over.

Thursday, September 04, 2008

ZOMG HOME RUN!!!11!!!



Or if you're CNN:

ZOMG HITLER!!!111!!!



...

But I'm sure that was just a coincidence...



Because photographers and editors never use framing to push their biases...

ever...

*cough*

Wednesday, September 03, 2008

Joke of the Day

HOW THEY COULD HAVE KEPT THE PALIN PREGNANCY STORY OUT OF THE PRESS:



Leaked it that John Edwards was the father . . .


(huge hat tip to instapundit)

Tuesday, September 02, 2008

Uncle Mom

We've seen this all before. Angry left-wing activists and diehard Democratic partisans going full tilt against someone who is in a societal group that they feel is and should be on their side.

We've seen it with Clarence Thomas and Condi Rice being depicted as Uncle Tom's.

We've even seen it with Hillary delegates who Obama's own political godfather called an Uncle Tom.

We've seen it this election where gun owners and religious voters were depicted as duped by the GOP to vote against their own interests during the 'bitter' comment flareup.

And we've seen it with conservative women figures and voters, who they just can't contemplate may disagree with them subjects they consider fundamental to women's rights.

And now they're attacking Palin for having a daughter in a tough situation and making a choice to take responsibility for her actions, with love and support of her family. Pretty much the ideal of the social conservative movement... recognizing we're all sinners, recognizing that love should be unconditional, and doing the right thing to protect innocent life.

To the religious right this is a story of heroism. Not embarrassment.

To the left-wing NARAL types, Palin is just an 'Uncle Mom.'

And that's just sad.

Monday, September 01, 2008

Supporters to Obama: We Want Blood Not Hope!

While the anti-Palin trolls that flooded the interwebs after the news of Palin's daughter's pregnancy broke (not unexpected with all of the buzz it generated in democratic and left-wing blogs and on-line forums in general) all generally believed that this story was the crushing blow to the McCain campaign and that evangelicals would abandon the ticket in droves...

They forgot several major issues with the religious right:

1) A story about a young woman who keeps her baby in light of societal pressures otherwise is a hero story to them. They regularly use such stories to note there is a much better way: life.

2) By their own arguments on the religious right, it judges others... not themselves. While an unfair generalization, you'd think they'd take their own talking points to heart on the issue.

3) Their candidate faced endless problems with his previous campaign tactics with a woman and his supporters' rhetoric only helped complicate his ability to distance himself from accusations that he was disrespecting Hillary as a woman. Now his supporters are deliberately attacking a female VP pick on her mothering skills and her daughter's virtue on the national stage to make policy points and for political advantage.

The fact that this all started on their end by a seriously convoluted conspiracy theory that Sarah Palin had somehow faked her own pregnancy earlier this year helped reveal the dubious intentions by the hundreds of Obama supporters who commented in no uncertain terms their absolute disgust at women who hold conservative views.

They've actually stooped to equating them with "sex-traitors."

CNN for their part broke the story by following these angry Obama fans' lines of attack. The had their reporter noting the pregnancy and at the same time going through a laundry list of talking points against social conservative views on the subject and making implications against Palin's judgment... and THEN they handed it over to the analysts.

And here's Bill Bennett's response:



I have no problems with arguing against any of these issues, but to use these attacks on Palin and her daughter as a soapbox to stand on to push this point of view is not journalism, and it sure as hell ain't going to help Obama.

Most of the stated justifications for pulling this crap comes from the belief that if they don't do it, the Republicans will... and they'll lose. Which makes it very difficult to believe that they really buy into this 'new kind of politics' or the 'hope' of it. If anything the message they're sending to Obama is loud and clear: We want BLOOD, not hope!

Obama Supporters Sink to New Lows

Instead of heeding a call to put politics aside and do what they can for any needed relief effort for the gulf region... a call made by both campaigns. Obama supporters just couldn't resist this juicy tidbit:

ST. PAUL (Reuters) - The 17-year-old daughter of Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin is pregnant, Palin said on Monday in an announcement intended to knock down rumors by liberal bloggers that Palin faked her own pregnancy to cover up for her child.
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...

A senior McCain campaign official said the McCain camp was appalled that these rumors had not only been spread around liberal blog sites and partisan Democrats, but also were the subject of heightened interest from mainstream news media.

"The despicable rumors that have been spread by liberal blogs, some even with Barack Obama's name in them, is a real anchor around the Democratic ticket, pulling them down in the mud in a way that certainly juxtaposes themselves against their 'campaign of change,"' a senior aide said.

Soon after the announcement, concern trolls and moby's began popping up on chat channels, forums, blogs, and e-mails to news outlets to spread the news in the least favorable ways imaginable. Celebrating their victory.

While the moby tactic is to mimick outraged conservatives and Republicans, if you look closely you'll notice the IPs, e-mails, nicks and handles match Obama Supporters, or are new members/joiners of forums/blogs/etc who unlike any of the regulars just had to, today, let them all know how they "as lifelong republicans," "Hillary supporter," "family values voter," etc, feel about this outrage and their disappointment in McCain's judgment (note the Obama surrogate talking point) in the pick.

Yeah.

Congratulations Obamaniacs. The seething hatred behind your efforts and the sheer joy in your celebrations of humiliating a child going through a difficult enough time... all for political gain.

Could you honestly get any lower? (besides suggesting that McCain's comment about a peacetime presence is the equivalent of being a heartless warmonger... or suggesting because he preferred a different version of the GI Bill improvements he didn't care enough about veterans... or...)

The answer is most certainly yes. How low? I don't even want to imagine, but I'm sure we'll all find out.

Stay classy!


-- UPDATE 2:41 PM --

Obama himself is staying above this fray:

"I have said before and I will repeat again: People's families are off limits," Obama said. "And people's children are especially off-limits. This shouldn't be part of our politics. It has no relevance to Gov. Palin's performance as a governor or her potential performance as a vice president. So I would strongly urge people to back off these kinds of stories. You know my mother had me when she was 18 and how a family deals with issues and teenage children, that shouldn’t be a topic of our politics."

Obama stated he was offended by the insinuation his campaign had anything to do with it, and pledged firings if he finds out otherwise.

Will Obama supporters actually listen to him this time? Or will they continue to argue that they're his trench warriors doing what must be done because he has to keep his hands clean while claiming the moral high ground?