Thursday, January 31, 2008

Why McCain: Judges and Taxes

I stumbled across a series of articles on RedState on "McCain on the Issues" that are definitely worth the read, two specifically that I found encouraging are the articles on Judges and Taxes:

On Judges:

Sen. McCain voted for every Republican nominee for the Supreme Court during his time in the Senate. He voted for Judge Bork, who was opposed by 7 Republicans including Sens. Specter (PA) and Warner (VA) and ultimately lost 42-58. Sen. McCain voted for then-Judge Thomas, who was opposed by 2 Republicans, but was approved 52-48.

...

In the Fall of 2006, Sen. McCain spoke to the Federalist Society and generally pleased the crowd.

Carter Snead, a Federalist Society member who is a law professor at Notre Dame University and former counsel to President Bush’s Council on Bioethics, praised McCain’s speech saying, “I was astonished by how far he was willing to go in broaching the subject of the kinds of judges that he admires. He essentially committed himself to originalism: he used the phrase ‘the original intent’ of the statute or Constitution. He sent a clear message that he shares President Bush’s view of the judiciary. I was surprised by how forthcoming he was.”

...On the campaign trail, he regularly jokes that he wants to “clone Alito and Roberts” to appoint them again.

On Taxes:

Early Record

Sen. McCain opposed President Bush’s tax hike in 1990 and President Clinton’s tax hike in 1993. In 1991 and 1992, McCain introduced legislation that would have raised the required minimum number of votes for a tax hike to 60 Senators. This is particularly important because it shows some leadership on the issue (as opposed to his pro-life record that is devoid of leadership) and an ability to find structural changes that have a longer impact that some other hot button issues.

1998-2008

McCain has an average rating of 82.7 percent in the Americans for Tax Reform scorecard since 1994. This compares to other Presidential contenders as follows: Hunter, 88.5; Ron Paul, 71.9; Obama, 7.5; Clinton, 6.7; Edwards, 5.8.

Here are some of McCain’s votes on major tax issues over the last decade.

* Require super-majority for raising taxes (1998)
* Phasing out estate tax (2000)
* Eliminate marriage penalty (2000)
* Against increasing tax deduction for college tuition (2001)
* Against Bush tax cuts (2003) (see below)
* Extending tax cuts on capital gains and dividends (2005 & 2006)
* Permanent repeal of estate tax (2006)
* Repeal Alternative Minimum Tax


Although many folks have their reservations on McCain, this is an area where they shouldn't worry so much. His record is strong here.


Related:

Even More Timetables

Last nights debate once again addressed the timetables issue which has been visited and revisited since Huckabee brought it up in a debate earlier this month.

From last night's exchange:

HOOK: Yes. I'd like to start with Governor Romney.

Obviously, Iraq is still a major issue in this campaign, and over the last few days there's been a real back-and-forth going on here. Senator McCain has said over and over again that you supported a timetable for a phased withdrawal from Iraq.

Is that true?

ROMNEY: Absolutely, unequivocal -- if I can get that word out -- unequivocably, absolutely no. I have never, ever supported a specific timetable for exit from Iraq.

While many have agreed that this is indeed false, that wasn't the question. The question was whether or not he supported timetables for withdrawal, not a specific date, specific dates, or specific timetables. Romney's answer attempts to deny anything of the sort by denying a specific. Romney's own comments at the time seem to paint a different picture.

From that earlier interview (video and full quotes available here):

QUESTION: Iraq. John McCain is there in Baghdad right now. You have also been very vocal in supporting the president and the troop surge. Yet, the American public has lost faith in this war. Do you believe that there should be a timetable in withdrawing the troops?

MR. ROMNEY: Well, there's no question but that -- the president and Prime Minister al-Maliki have to have a series of timetables and milestones that they speak about. But those shouldn't be for public pronouncement. You don't want the enemy to understand how long they have to wait in the weeds until you're going to be gone.

You'll see the question was about whether he'd support a timetable for withdrawal to which he answered that we must have timetables, but they can't be public because we don't want the enemy to know when we're gone. I mean if gone doesn't mean withdrawal, even though that's what the question was... it is at best he was trying to sit on the fence on this issue. He went on to say he wouldn't support a law establishing timetables... but for the reason that it would be public. Not that he'd oppose timetables altogether.

I think McCain is being misleading by trying to make it sound similar to the Democratic plans for timetables, but as far as whether he supported secret timetables, it's Romney's own words.

He seemed to be spot on with the idea that he was fully behind it and took the political risks of supporting the surge fully whereas Romney initially refused to comment on it due to his place as governor and later seemed to hedge his bets. As was noted on Bloomberg earlier:

For Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney, the difference between ``real'' and ``reasonable'' is the distance he's traveled on President George W. Bush's Iraq war policy.

In April, Romney said Bush's plan to send about 30,000 additional troops to Iraq had a ``real chance'' of succeeding. On July 26, he was more equivocal, saying in an interview: ``I don't give that a high probability, I give it a reasonable probability.''

It's a valid issue even if McCain is going out of his way to present it worse than it is. Romney in turn has done the same on many of McCain's stances, but I guess that's politics. As long as we can see through the muck, we can still make the right decisions.


Related:

Why McCain: Part Two

To be fair, I’m not a conservative. I see little value in the status quo unless the status quo is founded upon good principles that make good sense and especially if history affirms that they make good sense.

I’m a liberal. I’m a liberal in the classical sense of the term. Not the hijacked Democratic version of neo-marxist democratic-socialist nonsense. I believe the Constitution is a living, breathing document because we can amend it for changing times and changing needs. Not just ignore the parts we don’t like later. If we can do that for provisions we don’t like, are we truly a government of law, or by appointed men (Supreme Court)?

I’ll happily quote founders like Madison right and left (I'm a member of the Federalist Society for crying out loud!), and selectively quote other founders like Jefferson whose aristocracy sometimes lent him to make statements that seem a bit too idealistic. He did trumpet some great ideals… and it is best that he be remembered for the Declaration of Independence more so than advocating “States Rights” at the expense of liberty of States’ inhabitants.

I have a mind of my own, but that mind has come to appreciate the principles enshrined in our Constitution and proved through the test of time.

McCain is not my ideal. But he is the closest candidate to my ideals in the running given my priorities. One may think that a guy like me who has libertarian leaning views for the central government may lean more strongly to the Ron Paul camp… but I am not so naive that I believe that a foreign policy two centuries out of date and crafted for a runt nation trying to protect its existence should be applied to the super power we’ve become. The Constitution does not so limit our foreign policy in spite of Paul’s rantings.

The complaints against McCain have been superficial at best to me. We’re in a time of war and the disagreements seem to distract from that as opposed to embrace that THAT should be our number one priority and the other issues, while important, are secondary.

You may very well know my pain. Watching innocent civilians faced with the choice of burning alive in those buildings or jumping to their deaths to escape the inevitable agony. You may very well know my broken heart as one of the most vicious regimes continued to brutalize and oppress his people while we sat on a perfectly valid reason for war against that regime… and the Clinton Administration argued eloquently at the threat posed by Iraq and its WMDs and the possibility that they may arm terrorists and how it was in material breach of the ceasefire agreement. And a limited bombing campaign was all that resulted. You may very well know my pain of watching the wounded and disfigured veterans at the VA hospital here at Danville or in your area proudly proclaim they’d do it again if that’s what it took. You may very well know my pain in watching the country slowly slip towards defeatism as what we fought and bled for is tossed aside as some pointless misadventure that we should abandon.






You very well may know my pain.

But if you know my pain then you can never make the conflicts we’ve undertaken against those regimes that supported our enemies and those regimes that violated our post war agreements while it brutalized its people some second tier importance as those conflicts rage on.

All of the GOP candidates with the glaring exception of Ron Paul at least had the right policy for Iraq. John McCain, in spite of his baggage knows, understands, and literally bleeds how I feel about the conflicts right now. His policy stances happen to be more in line with my own than other candidates but the differences hardly disturb me.

His views on federal judges alone, which include strict constructionist such as my personal hero, Clarence Thomas, but also recent appointees Roberts and Alito. There is little reason to doubt him even with the "Gang of 14" complaints as he was fighting for a compromise to ensure they got the vote they deserved and fought behind the scenes for them. I see no adverse legacy from McCain beyond the most qualified man to be Commander in Chief at a time of war and continuing to swing the court back to interpreting the Constitution for what it says, not what the public fads of the day wishes it said.

I hope the words of one of the most notable conservatives of the modern era may sway you more than I:

"Let’s grow up, conservatives! If we want to take this party back, and I think we can someday, let’s get to work." - Barry Goldwater, encouraging his supporters to work for Nixon in 1960.

We, as those who care a great deal for the defense of America’s ideals, must come together after the beating that movement got in the last election, and compromise to ensure its survival. Reagan would have won regardless of whether or not Jimmy Carter would have mangled the economy and left us with foreign upheaval that is inching towards becoming nuclear threats to us and our allies later. Being frustrated with your options in an election is one thing… losing hope in American ideals to the point you’d capitulate to enemies of those ideals is unacceptable.

Champions of those American ideals will live on to carry on the good fight regardless of who wins in November. If we hand it to those who absolutely oppose them it will only make the battle to reinstate and protect them even harder later. I don’t know about you but I’d rather live on to face the battle of correcting some of McCain’s faults than the laundry list of faults of a Clinton or Obama administration with a Democratic Congress to ensure those faults are enshrined in law with Supreme Court Justices to help set them in stone.

But maybe I’m a bit of a maverick.


Related:

Why McCain: The Nitty Gritty

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Boycotting Logic

Many have argued that a vote for McCain is somehow synonymous with a vote against the Republican party being the conservative party and therefore they feel obligated to abstain from voting for McCain in the general election in spite believing that the Democratic front runners would be worse.

The idea is that if they abandon their principles with their vote their party will continue to stray away from those principles.

Some have been swayed by the idea that we are currently at war and ensuring we have the best Commander in Chief at the helm as possible is a higher priority than other policy differences for now. Some don't buy into this argument due to long term party goals taking priority. I can't see this being possible, but apparently it is.

Worse, I couldn't disagree more with those who believe that boycotting the general election will somehow sway the party back to their cherished principles.


Scenarios:

Let's say that McCain eventually seals up the nomination for President, obviously without their vote. Let's take a look at the major contested primaries he's fully competed in so far, New Hampshire, Michigan, South Carolina, and now Florida.

In each and every race the bulk of his support has been Republicans, with his support being made up of ever increasing majorities of Republicans as you go down the list. This trend is likely to continue if he ends up winning the nomination with stronger and stronger support.

If he wins the nomination it will then become apparent that one doesn't need this particular segment of the very conservative voting block to win the nomination. Given McCain's ability to appeal to conservatives generally, Republicans generally, independents generally, moderates generally, and to many crossover Democrats/liberals... as well as many other voting segments out there... there is a good chance he could go on to win the presidency without their support too.

What will this segment have proved? That they're irrelevant? How will that convince other Republicans to swing back towards their principles?

What if their lack of support is enough to throw the election to Hillary or Obama in the general election. Will the other Republicans who supported McCain feel beholden to the segment of Republicans who intentionally stayed home to ensure this happened? Will it convince those voters that they should embrace the principles of the folks who just got Hillary in charge of armed forces during a war? Or would it be more likely to cause resentment.


Who are they really hurting?

It's one thing to try to teach "the party" a lesson. It's a monolithic entity with figureheads and spokesmen, etc. It's quite another to realize that the party is more accurately all of the voters who disagreed, it would be those other Republicans who would feel punished by such vindictive actions, or inaction as it were. Worse, there's the possibility that such behavior is interpreted as putting party purity ahead of the needs of our troops during a time of war. Such methods aren't typically the best way to convince people to move to one's viewpoint.

Libertarians bang their head against this wall time and time again, election after election, and with the same results. You'll hear their current figurehead, Ron Paul, spout on and on about how he's the only true Republican/conservative/etc in the race right now. And his followers assure us that they won't vote for any of these other phonies in the general! Yet they are dismissed fairly easily by the overwhelming bulk of the party as fringe extremes of the party not needed to win the general election... so their threats of inaction ring hollow.

As well intentioned as some of the anti-McCain folks are about saving the party, their methods in this case may do more harm to ensuring the party comes back to the principles they consider non-negotiable under any circumstances.

Supporting the flawed candidate while being candid about whatever reservations they may have and working towards producing a better candidate for the next election cycle will not only ensure the "greater evil" does not win, but also ensure that the bulk of the party considers them a necessary ally, not a fringe group of spiteful antagonists. Advocating stronger adherence to their cherished principles will sell much better to those that view them as being on the same team.

For those who still can't bring themselves to pull the lever for their nemesis, I'd strongly recommend still at least voting for independent or third party candidates that come closest to your views. Not voting isn't a protest vote at all... non-votes just get lumped in with all of those who didn't bother or didn't care. As such, non-votes are the least likely to be factored into the consideration of those interpreting the results.

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

McCain Takes Florida


Fox and CNN Call It: McCain

So yes, McCain can win in a closed GOP primary.

So yes, McCain can win among independents and crossover liberals/democrats.

So yes, McCain can win in November.


Race called with a little over 50% reporting with McCain up 4% and roughly 52,000 votes.

What a primary!
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-- UPDATE 1:10 AM --
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Florida Results at CNN:




And some interesting exit poll data also from CNN (Click image or here for larger image):



So we can learn that McCain matched Romney in Republican support, did well among conservatives, especially those describing themselves as somewhat conservative, though not horribly among those describing themselves as very conservative.

Amazingly enough McCain did the best with voters on the economy, the top issue among voters lately. The immigration issue where much of the anti-McCain rhetoric gets the most heated was the top issue for only 16% of voters... and McCain still managed to get 25% of their support, as well as 26% of those that would rather see illegals deported as opposed to temporary worker programs and paths to citizenship (the majority of voters).

Also interesting is that moderates and self-described somewhat conservatives made up the majority of the voters and McCain won over both groups even in a closed primary. And even though very conservative voters favored Romney generally, they also favored McCain and Huckabee (Rush's "RINOs") in nearly the same amount. The exit polls also show that Rudy's supporters were evenly split between McCain and Romney on their second choice whereas Huckabee's supporters favored McCain heavily as a second choice.

All good signs for not only a strong McCain momentum in the primary but a broad coalition of support for the General election.

Why McCain: The Nitty Gritty

I've been supporting McCain since the end of May of 2007. I've caught a great deal of flak over my preference and spent most of my time supporting a candidate who appeared doomed as his campaign nearly died as the year progressed. I was shocked by the comeback and elated at the same time. I've heard a lot of people jump on board because he is electable in recent weeks, but my support goes far deeper than the match-up polls that show him as the toughest GOP candidate for the Dems to beat as that can easily change in the upcoming months...


Inheriting a War:

First and foremost, the issue on my mind are the conflicts we are currently engaged in. There simply is no other candidate who has been involved in foreign policy issues as intensely and extensively as John McCain in the Senate and on the Armed Services Committee. While some bash his early education as being inadequate, it is hard to dismiss his hands-on education in actually dealing with foreign affairs for decades.

The conflicts we're fighting and the crucial foreign relations between not only our allies, but also our strategic allies and enemies will require someone who doesn't just rely on experts at the State Department but someone with a well rounded understanding of the issues to make the best decisions on the information that they're given when a decision must be made.

Perhaps if we were in state of peace, with few threats to stability around the world that could affect us, then a smart candidate will have the luxury of playing catch up. But the current wars, conflicts, and dangers aren't going to go on break while the next President tries to catch up on decades of foreign policy issues.

We have no choice but to switch horses mid-stream in this election... term limits (among other things) have our current horse stuck in the mud. That doesn't mean we should jump on to an untrained horse that we'll have to train in the middle of the stream to get across before we drown. We want that trained horse that already knows how to get across that stream.

I cannot knock any of the other candidates for lack of service or lack of family serving, it is a volunteer military under civilian control for a reason, but I can certainly trumpet the fact that McCain has learned first hand the costs of war and knows first hand not only the personal sacrifice but also the sacrifice of families of military service members during conflicts as he has children who have/are serving.

He will put his principles before politics when it comes to war as his unpopular but needed support of the surge has shown.

But the Commander in Chief is not the only Role of the President. On other executive powers I believe that McCain is also the best of the bunch.


Appointing Supreme Court Justices:

Probably the second most critical issue for me as a Constitutionalist are appointments to the Supreme Court, far more than any actual legislation they may or may not support. And as much as some fear that he'll use McCain-Feingold as some sort of litmus test for Justices, it hardly appears this is, or every will be the case. He has supported strict constructionist in the past and today, regardless of whether he felt they support any of his pet projects, as the National Review points out:

McCain called [John Roberts and Sam Alito] “two of the finest justices ever appointed to the United States Supreme Court.”

As McCain made a point of telling the audience in Columbia, “there may be as many as three vacancies on the United States Supreme Court” in the next presidential term. “It’s going to be a very, very important responsibility of the next president.”

His judges, he implied would be in the mold of Thomas, Alito and Roberts and, he vowed, “would strictly interpret the Constitution.”

Anyone who's known me long enough knows that Clarence Thomas is a personal hero of mine and knows that above almost anything else I will vote for a President that gets the best judicial nominees to get us closer to the limited central government described in the Constitution.

But there is the role of the president in legislation. Here McCain has some issue but he also shines in other areas.


Fiscal Conservatism:

Personally I think all of the GOP candidates are bit weak in fiscal conservatism, but I lean a bit libertarian on limiting the central government. And though Paul may be the best option on this particular issue, Paul really blows on more important issues of foreign trade and defense (among other elect-ability issues).

McCain is notorious for his battle against pork barrel spending. Claiming, verified by factcheck.org, that he has never pushed for pork barrel spending for his own State and even the National Review pointed out that he "has always been strong on the issue of containing pork-barrel spending" even while complaining about his votes on the Bush tax cuts.

McCain has been ripped on extensively for his tax votes during Bush's first term. You'll rarely hear too many complaints outside of his first term as there is little outside of an increase in federal cigarette taxes to complain about. The tax watchdog group, Americans for Tax Reform, gave McCain a lifetime rating of 82.7%, just slightly under the choice of many strong conservatives, Fred Thompson, who weighed in at 83.75% (democrats generally weighed in at single digits).

And the evil monkey on McCain's back? The Bush tax votes? Not so much. McCain proposed and supported an alternative set of tax cuts to Bush's at the time and was willing to support the Bush tax cuts with spending cuts. So he was never against tax cuts, just for tax cuts that benefited the middle class more than the upper class, and would have supported all of the above with reasonable spending cuts.

If that's not the definition of a fiscal conservative I don't know what is. Unfortunately many in the GOP seemed to believe they could "starve the beast" with tax cuts. That limiting federal revenue would somehow reduce spending from lack of funds to spend... which we learned only resulted in more federal borrowing with increases spending, and the associated deficits and debt that came with it.

McCain is both sides of fiscal conservatism... tax cuts and spending cuts. We need to give this man the veto pen.


Pragmatism in Environmentalism:

Two words: nuclear power. McCain is huge proponent of nuclear power and ending the nonsensical de facto prohibition on nuclear power expansion in the United States.

Four words: reasonable global warming stance. I know this issue drives many conservatives up the wall but one must look at how McCain frames the discussion. First off he readily admits that the scientists pushing this issue may be wrong with his "but what if we're wrong" explanation. The worst part of having a reasonable, key word reasonable, environmental policy is ensuring a cleaner future for the next generation. Unlike Democrats who are trying to capitalize on this issue and pass irresponsible legislation and push unthinkably backwards treaties like Kyoto, McCain's description of protecting the environment falls more in line with the reasonable standards and evolution of policy as the Bush Administration yet doesn't turn off many independent and moderate voters who think Republicans are just sticking their fingers in their ears on the scientific data.

If you've read Bush's energy policy you'll find that McCain is pushing to continue the funding of alternative energy research to help get us less dependent on energy sources that are produced in a region full of our ideological enemies. He is not however so irrational on the subject that he pushes alternative energies at the sacrifice of free market principles.


War on Terror Issues:

Prisoner mistreatment. Some think McCain is too weak on this subject even though his demands for US policy are in line with current policy on military detainment of prisoners and he has openly stated he will do what is necessary to get information from a prisoner who has critical information on stopping an inevitable attack and take full responsibility for that decision. Such a position ensures we maintain the moral high ground and continue to stand as a beacon as the shining city on a hill to the world. Would such a public policy prohibit covert operations necessarily? Absolutely not. Many covert operations defy public policy as deemed required. This is the stuff that we'll never hear about in our lifetimes and I strongly doubt that McCain has any weakness when it comes to doing what is necessary even if his public statements about public policy seem overly idealistic to some.

Closing Camp X-ray. Prisoner of War detention centers have almost always been beyond the jurisdiction of any Article III court for Habeas petitions and criminal prosecution of combatants is general frowned upon by our treaty obligations. Closing Gitmo isn't only good policy, it's necessary if we're going to ensure that combatants we detain are kept out of our court system and kept in the jurisdiction of military control during a time of war. Until the Court make up ensures that combatants captured in war are outside of their jurisdiction to meddle, detentions will have to continue in foreign theaters in or near the area of conflict.

McCain's foreign policy experience in dealing with military issues in the Senate has encompassed every terror threat the United States has faced in recent years, long before 9/11, and how the U.S. military is equipped to respond to such threats and regimes that support these subnational militant groups.


Immigration:

This is a sore spot for many conservatives but mainly over the idea that McCain is somehow uninterested in securing the border. The compromise bill that many have painted as McCain simply capitulating to the Democrats was a compromise bill, not a capitulation bill that demanded border security be implemented prior to the reforms in the bill. Both issues were brought in the same bill to get conservatives on board with reforms by ensuring border security got priority and to get Democrats on board by ensuring such border security came with needed reforms.

The utter failure of immigration reformers to convince people that the border security provisions would actually be implemented as the bill stated (reasonable given the failure of the federal government to do so in the past) has led many reformers, McCain included, to support addressing the border security issue prior to any reform bill as opposed to packaged with one. Some consider this a flip-flop, but it would require ignoring what the bill actually said.

A multitude of conspiracy theories have emerged about him supporting open borders, which his record on the issue doesn't support... about him supporting a North American Union, which doesn't have support by any significant figure in our government, McCain included... about him supporting destroying US sovereignty and annexing the Unites States to Mexico, a completely unsupportable accusation... to him supposedly having secret deals to support open borders because some of his Hispanic contacts support far more extreme reforms than McCain has ever advocated, as if that was somehow proof of McCain's true viewpoints. Somehow this never applies to his far more conservative contacts, friends, and endorsers... but I digress.

Some will never vote for him because he won't deport all the illegals. None of the current GOP candidates has said this is feasible. The closest any other candidate has come is Romney who used to consider fines and paths to citizenship reasonable to address the illegal immigration issue, but as of late has only supported "amnesty" (as he calls it) for up to 20% of illegals while temporary permits for illegals matched with a policy of them getting in line outside of the U.S. for citizenship for the rest apparently. To date it doesn't appear he's gone on record on how temporary those permits would be, nor how he'd deal with the severe supply/demand issues driving the illegal labor market by those looking for temporary work, not permanent residence.

Somehow there are people out there who believe Romney is more trustworthy on the issue when he has changed his tune as the primary season drug on. The Chicago Tribune referred to him as a "toothless hunting dog" on the issue because his record, like on his gun supporting claims, turned out to be nearly empty compared to his current rhetoric. Some will never see McCain as anything but the devil on this issue because he was the face behind the proposals they despise... and they'll vote for people who've had or have similar policies just to spite that devil.

It causes some really vindictive and smearing comments to be made that are reminiscent of the "anybody but Bush" BDS hysteria in 2004. I can only hope the Tancredo crowd isn't in the majority on this issue and most can put other priorities ahead of something that is practically a non-issue given the other candidates' stances on it.


Campaign Finance Reform:

I didn't like it, but McCain, Thompson, Bush 43, and many others did like it, and so far the Supreme Court has generally left it untouched with the cases thus far. While some worry that the Court will never limit it, I believe it will, and I believe that McCain's standard for strict constructionists will ironically end up in its limitation. While some have pointed to it as a major assault on free speech, others have pointed to its sheer ineffectiveness at stopping any scrupulous campaign funding for causes. They can't both be right.

Some have gone further to say it was a direct assault on pro-life causes or gun rights causes. I'm sure there are some unions that feel the same way since they had to reorganize how their political wings were funded through voluntary donations for political causes, just as the NRA has. As a life member of the NRA and an activist for 2nd Amendment causes for longer than I can remember, McCain-Feingold was barely a blip on the radar as far as assaults on free speech or gun rights for me as an individual or the NRA as a whole, regardless of how much the leaders complained about it.

But speaking of guns...


The 2nd Amendment:

A big deal for me personally. And one of McCain's weaker points in my opinion. McCain was a proponent of gun locks being required to be sold along with firearms. A law that made little sense since people too irresponsible to lock of their guns when they should would still be unlikely to lock them up if they bought one. All it would do is make guns slightly more expensive to purchase with little payoff.

The other big issue was the "gunshow loophole" that would have required background checks on many private transfers of firearms to ensure that guns sold to people at gunshows weren't to prohibited persons. I don't think this law does much good. We have to do that at gunshows here and it is a pain in the butt, but it doesn't cause any major problems. Obnoxious, yes, a huge deal? I don't think so. I still don't like it because it doesn't seem to address an issue where there is any statistically significant problem nor does it appear to do anything to stop illegal gun purchases generally since such transfers are statistically rare at gun shows.

There is one issue that sends chills up my spine though, and that is the Assault Weapon Ban. McCain has generally opposed this ban. He opposed it when it first got signed into law in 1994 and voted against the bill focused on reauthorizing it 10 years later and his voting record and rhetoric have opposed such a ban, and bans in general except one glaring exception: he voted for a bill that had been generally killed by being poison pilled with amendments, including a provision to authorize the assault weapon ban. It only got a handful of votes, including McCain, for reasons unknown. The bill had many good provisions to prevent frivolous lawsuits against gun manufacturers and to reaffirm that the 2nd Amendment protects an individual right to keep and bear arms, but it also had his gun show loophole in it which is the only issue I can find him talking about at the time. Given his record on the AWB in the past this appears to be a fluke and not a sign that he actually supported something he has always opposed prior to and since, but it's a black mark on his record nonetheless.

It might be enough to drive me to other candidates but the only viable candidate left with a strong 2nd Amendment record is Mike Huckabee, and he's not very viable at this point and I disagree with him on too many other issues and matters of record.

Thompson would have been the next best choice on the matter but he's now out of the race. He was my 2nd choice for this primary season in which I was hoping for a viable alternative to McCain when his campaign seemed pretty dead to rights.

Giuliani has a horrible record on guns which included the impetus for stopping frivolous lawsuits on the gun industry among the other heavy restriction on gun ownership he upheld as NYC mayor. But in the presidential race he has flip-flopped on that and though his reasoning was suspect, he has a much better record on keeping his campaign promises than the next guy.

That next guy is Mitt Romney who both signed an Assault Weapon Ban into law a few years ago but also stated strongly that he supported the federal law. Today he has moderated his gun stance to just considering bans of firearms he deems are too lethal for law enforcement while not backing off his prior support of the Assault Weapon Bans. With a Democratic congress still being likely if he was in office the last person I want with the veto pen is a guy who not only signed gun bans into law but makes it clear he's not against doing so in the future.


Elect-ability:

This is at the bottom of the list as it doesn't really matter to me at all. I supported McCain all through his campaign being in the gutter, on the ropes, etc. I'm voting for him because I think he's the best candidate in the race. But elect-ability is important to some, so I might as well point out why I think McCain is strong on this subject too for the general.

First things first: If, and that's a big if, he can win the Republican primary then he obviously has the support of enough Republicans, conservatives, and Republican leaning independents and conservative Democrats in the open and closed primaries to do well among this group in the general.

Second: Unlike almost all the other GOP candidates McCain has earned the respect of independents and moderate/conservative Democrats who might be inclined to lean Republican to avoid the blatant left turn the Democratic front runners have made in this current election cycle.

Third: Unlike many other candidates, McCain's perseverance on the immigration reform issue may actually win back many in the Hispanic community who supported Bush by 44% in 2004 but have overwhelmingly run to the Democratic side due to the heated rhetoric on immigration that brought all kinds out of the woodwork, not just in Washington but also in Main Street USA all over the country. As evenly divided as elections have been lately that is a significant (and growing) segment of the population to lose.

Fourth: The "taking our ball and going home" folks seem to be strongly outnumbered by those who realize that all of the GOP front runners have flaws that are matched on the other side of the ticket by either similar or worse policies in those issue areas, not to mention being worse in most other areas as well. Given the strong appeal of McCain to moderates and independents the small minority that decide to forgo voting due to their passionate views on single issues will be more than made up for.

Finally the polls, while too early to be definitive, have been indicating that McCain would be the strongest against the Democratic front runners, long before he was the front runner (again).

The key is winning the GOP nomination to ensure he can get support from his own party. If he can, I think he can win the general. If he can't the discussion becomes moot anyways.


Age:

I think he'll hold up just fine given his genes. Thanks for asking you little jerk.


Swearing Like a Sailor:

Sometimes, yes. He was one. I've heard of a President and Vice-President having their moments without the Navy excuse...


Family:

He had a rowdy youth. Been faithfully with his current wife for decades and has had successful and patriotic kids who have served their nation with distinction.


I've run out of irrelevant topics. The relevant ones seems pretty well covered. But that pretty well sums it up for me. I hope it works for others as well, but I know we'll never all agree on this one. Hopefully we can be civil when we disagree though.

Florida Primary

Going in the polls show a dead heat between McCain and Romney:



With independents out, early voting starting while Rudy was still higher up in the Florida polls, and the recent tenaciousness of the rhetoric between McCain and Romney that seems to favor Romney more in reaction... I'd wager that Romney has the best odds of winning tomorrow, but it's really hard to say.

Of course as Romney tries to be all things to all people... it sometimes backfires excruciatingly so: The Second Black President.

So McCain still has a shot since Romney is his own worse enemy... sometimes more so than McCain is to himself.


-- UPDATE 6:30 PM --

The polls from Real Clear Politics had some last minute additions this morning, so I updated the chart to show the latest and greatest polling prior to the primary opening.

The Second Black President

Mitt Romney:



...

I uh...

dayum...

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Priorities Revisited



Yeah yeah, I know... it's Montel... give a chance.

Smearing McCain... Again

This time it has to do with a guy named Juan Hernandez who apparently is the all the proof some people needed that McCain is actually supporting open borders and giving up our sovereignty to Mexico! From one of the many rants on the subject:

Dr. Juan Hernandez is the Director of Hispanic Outreach for John McCain’s campaign. In a devastating expose, Michelle Malkin exposed the lurid details of their relationship and of Mr. Clean Government’s own shady ‘Reform Institute’.

Dr. Juan Hernandez is the worst. I can think of no other word than traitor. Liberal, sell-out, or radical just doesn’t do him justice. He is a Mexican living in America, who openly defies American law and dreams of the day when ‘Atzlan’ re-conquistadores reconquer the Southwest. Malkin’s piece even contains an audio clip of Hernandez stating how he wishes all generations of Mexican-Americans think of Mexico first. There is even a picture of Hernandez with McCain’s campaign advisors.

But wait, the nefarious roots of this relationship apparently get worse. It seems Mr. Clean Government has set up his own ‘Reform Institute’. Hernandez is a fellow at the Reform Institute, which is a privately funded institute used by the McCain Campaign to dole out jobs and money to his staffers. The ‘Reform Institute” has adopted an unabashedly open borders position. Why is that? Well, because the 'Reform Institute’ is funded by a liberals and open borders extremists.

The whole relationship between McCain, Hernandez, his “Reform Institute”, his staffers and his donors seems a bit too shady. Of course, it seems all the worse for conservatives considering the fact that the ‘Reform Institute’ is funded by liberals. To think, this is John McCain’s idea of clean government; the same clean government he explicitly stated was a worthy enough goal to sacrifice our first amendment rights.

Unadulterated pure Constitutional freedom of speech or John McCain’s idea of ‘clean government’. You decide...

It'd be hard to get much more over the top than this. The frightening part is that so many people jumped aboard this wayward, sinking ship.

  • Neglecting for a moment that someone on a campaign staff doesn't prove in any way that the campaign or candidate supports every view of someone on the staff.
  • Neglecting that this guy isn't even technically on the staff according to the source and doesn't appear to be associated with McCain except loosely due to this guy's support of immigration reform generally.
  • Neglecting that Tom "Nuke 'em" Tancredo is part of the source on how evil and diabolic this guy is. The guy who practically equated pressing '1' for English as ethnic cleansing and whose views our own State Department under Bush called "outrageous and reprehensible" and "absolutely crazy."
  • Neglecting that the alleged views of this guy who is only loosely associated with McCain at best don't even match the positions that McCain has expressed and supported in words and in votes.
  • Neglecting the irrational and baffling accusations of treason for merely supporting a policy as opposed to actually taking specific actions for enemies of the United States and calls for his hanging, hyperbole or not.
  • Neglecting that absolutely no evidence is offered of the shady relationship that is supposedly so damning.
  • Neglecting that pretty much everything asserted about the information available is an astonishing non sequitur... heck, it doesn't just not follow, it literally leaps totally out of nowhere and demands hangings!
  • Neglecting that the original source provides little to no evidence to back up the conclusions drawn either.
  • And neglecting the overwhelming odor of a hit-piece manufactured out of thin air as if Michael Moore was crafting it in a moment of desperation for another election season movie.

Neglecting all that, a very good argument. Of course by neglecting all that the only thing the argument really says of any significance is "You decide."

I did, thanks!

He Said / He Said

A point by point examination of what McCain said about Romney's comments on Iraq and timetables and what Romney actually said:

McCain: “Last April, Governor Romney said he supported ‘timetables’ for withdrawing our troops from Iraq and keeping them secret."

Romney responding to this question, "Do you believe that there should be a timetable in withdrawing the troops?": "Well, there's no question but that -- the president and Prime Minister al-Maliki have to have a series of timetables and milestones that they speak about. But those shouldn't be for public pronouncement."

I'd say: Accurate.


McCain: "Governor Romney also said that there wouldn’t be any real difference on Iraq policy between the Republican nominee and Senator Clinton during the general election."

Romney: "Come the fall of '08, for all of Hillary's rhetoric, she's not going to be demanding a dramatically different course in Iraq than the Republican nominee will."

I'd say: Misleading.


McCain: "I understand if Governor Romney has changed his mind given the obvious success of the surge. But the fact is, like on so many other issues, Governor Romney has hedged, equivocated, ducked, and reversed himself."

Romney initially on the surge: "I'm not going to weigh in. I'm still a governor. I'm not running for national office at this stage. I'm not going to weigh in on specific tactics about whether we should go from 140,000 to 170,000. That's something I expect the President to decide over the next couple of weeks and announce that to the nation. I want to hear what he has to say."

Romney later on the surge: "I don't give that a high probability, I give it a reasonable probability."

I'd say: Accurate.


McCain: "The only people who are owed an apology are the men and women fighting for our country in Iraq, who have a right to expect their leaders to stand by them and their mission not just when it is easy, but when it matters most — when it is hard."

I'd say: Matter of opinion.


McCain's claims were for the most part accurate, but obviously misleading on the claim that Romney's plan didn't differ from Hillary's or the Democrats... he took that statement out of context. On the other issues it was pretty fair and/or matters of opinion.

Romney should respond that the timetables he suggested would have been greatly different than those proposed by Democrats that did not keep them secret nor did they necessarily rely on milestones. Instead he's arguing that he never supported a specific date... something McCain didn't suggest. It just makes Romney look like he can't address the initial claim to me or wants to avoid it. Romney did the same thing when Huckabee brought up the timetable issue in the debates. He denied it, but only in as much as it didn't involve a specific date for withdrawal.

He has never denied, because he can't, that he supported timetables. He always addresses a strawman issue of whether it was public/secret or a specific date(s) were involved.


References:

Full text of McCain's comments:

“Last April, Governor Romney said he supported ‘timetables’ for withdrawing our troops from Iraq and keeping them secret. When he suggested secret ‘timetables,’ General Petraeus’ new strategy in Iraq was just starting. Opponents of General Petraeus’ strategy all argued that we should not increase troop levels, but establish ‘timetables’ for withdrawing our forces from Iraq. It was clear at the time that some were hedging their bets on Iraq, positioning themselves politically by being deliberately vague on their support for General Petraeus’ new strategy.

“Governor Romney also said that there wouldn’t be any real difference on Iraq policy between the Republican nominee and Senator Clinton during the general election. Well, Senator Clinton advocates withdrawal from Iraq within 60 days. Should that be the policy of the Republican nominee in November? Would it be Governor Romney’s?

“I understand if Governor Romney has changed his mind given the obvious success of the surge. But the fact is, like on so many other issues, Governor Romney has hedged, equivocated, ducked, and reversed himself.

“The only people who are owed an apology are the men and women fighting for our country in Iraq, who have a right to expect their leaders to stand by them and their mission not just when it is easy, but when it matters most — when it is hard.”


Text of Romney's Comments on Timetables:

QUESTION: Iraq. John McCain is there in Baghdad right now. You have also been very vocal in supporting the president and the troop surge. Yet, the American public has lost faith in this war. Do you believe that there should be a timetable in withdrawing the troops?

MR. ROMNEY: Well, there's no question but that -- the president and Prime Minister al-Maliki have to have a series of timetables and milestones that they speak about. But those shouldn't be for public pronouncement. You don't want the enemy to understand how long they have to wait in the weeds until you're going to be gone. You want to have a series of things you want to see accomplished in terms of the strength of the Iraqi military and the Iraqi police, and the leadership of the Iraqi government.

QUESTION: So, private. You wouldn't do it publicly? Because the president has said flat out that he will veto anything the Congress passes about a timetable for troop withdrawals. As president, would you do the same?

MR. ROMNEY: Well, of course. Can you imagine a setting where during the Second World War we said to the Germans, gee, if we haven't reached the Rhine by this date, why, we'll go home, or if we haven't gotten this accomplished we'll pull up and leave? You don't publish that to your enemy, or they just simply lie in wait until that time. So, of course, you have to work together to create timetables and milestones, but you don't do that with the opposition.

Video:


Romney's Comments on Hillary's Iraq War Stance:

"Taken in the direction that Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama or John Edwards would take us, we would end up as a second-tier power," Romney said. "We would end up down the road having a weaker military, weaker economy, weaker family structure and on the pathway to being Europe, and that is unacceptable."

Romney said he has spent his adult life making difficult decisions in business, running the 2002 Winter Olympics and being the Massachusetts governor.

"I think I'm relatively unique in the field as someone who has actually dealt with a wide array of very challenging circumstances in the private sector and public sector," he said.

Romney said he could foresee no "reasonable circumstances" under which he would call for a military draft. He predicted that the Iraq war will not be "the big, dividing issue in '08, believe it or not.

"Come the fall of '08, for all of Hillary's rhetoric, she's not going to be demanding a dramatically different course in Iraq than the Republican nominee will," Romney said.

He said that by next fall, U.S. troops will "be playing more of a support role" and "the gap (between the political parties) will not be as huge." He said almost all Republican candidates have criticized President George W. Bush's handling of the war, while Clinton, who he assumes will win the Democratic nomination, "voted to go into Iraq" and should not "pretend like you were in a different place.

"I'm not convinced they're going to beat us on this," he said.


Other Links:

Romney on flip-flopping on surge support at Bloomberg.com.

Interview dodging surge question with Human Events.

Romney responding similarly to Huckabee making the same charge: Timetables Again. Also see the video above.

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Obama Landslide Victory?

CNN and Fox have already called the election for Obama by overwhelming numbers based on the exit polls alone. Not a single vote counted yet.

Either Obama really nailed it... or there's going to be some damn embarrassed pollsters.





-- UPDATE 9:22 PM --



With the results in now it appears that the landslide was indeed impressive for Obama.

With 99% of the precincts reporting not only did Obama win a majority of the votes...

Obama got more than double the votes of Hillary who finished in a distant second!

Full results from CNN:

Timetables Again

Romney is once again denying that he ever suggested timetables for withdrawal in Iraq. I wrote on this before, but since it is being brought up again here's the low down on the issue again:

Technically True

Romney used those words to lessen the appearance of flip-flopping again in his attacks on John McCain when he was forced to admit that McCain never supported amnesty and the other candidates joined in agreement. I'm going to borrow his wording to defend him in this apparent flip-flop:



Notice that his defense was that he didn't suggest timed withdrawals for a certain date. It's technically true because he never specified a certain date. He sure as heck suggested timetables being part of the withdrawal plan though. Huckabee was right but Romney pulled some Michael Moore tactics while technically not lying about what he did not say, but certainly leaving the impression that he never said anything of the sort. Very deceptive.

This tactic is starting to get painfully tiresome.

For McCain to claim that Romney was being just as bad as the Democrats is not true since the timetables he suggested wouldn't be let known to the enemy, at least not intentionally. We are all fully aware that the young Iraqi government will have a great deal of problems keeping such information secret with the competing factions there and many ears in the government who are sympathetic to the insurgency.

But it's also absurd for Romney to dismiss it all as totally bunk. It'd be far more honesty for him to just admit it was an idea, but not something he was supporting as a policy. It seems he'd rather turn the issue against McCain than simply defend himself even though it opens himself up to looking like the dishonest one.

Here's an excerpt from CNN's coverage of the issue:

(CNN) – A fired up Mitt Romney demanded John McCain apologize Saturday for recently saying the former Massachusetts governor had once supported a timetable for withdrawal from Iraq – part of the latest back and forth between the two Republican candidates leading up to the crucial Florida primary.

"I don't know why he's being dishonest," Romney told reporters in Lutz, Florida. "But that's dishonest. To say that I have a specific date is simply wrong and is dishonest and he should apologize. That is not the case, I’ve never said that."

Campaigning earlier in Fort Myers on Saturday, McCain said, "In the conflict that we’re in, I’m the only one that said we have to abandon the Rumsfeld strategy and Rumsfeld and adopt a new strategy. Gov Romney wanted to set a date for withdrawal, similar to what the democrats are seeking which would have led to the victory by al Qaeda in my view.”

...

On Friday, McCain's campaign circulated the transcript of an interview from April, in which Romney seemed to support a private timetable.

"Well, there's no question that the president and Prime Minister al Maliki have to have a series of timetables and milestones that they speak about, but those shouldn't be for public pronouncement," Romney told ABC in April.

It should be interesting to see how this is spun one way and another if nothing else.

Edwards: Ambulance Chasing to the End?

Okay... I've been confused on why Edwards thinks he has any chance, or what he could possibly be up to by staying in the race if he knows his campaign is doomed.


The Conspiracy Theory

My conspiratorial side was thinking that perhaps he's got wink/nudge deal with Hillary for the VP spot and he's trying to pull away support from Obama to that end. We all know he's been content with the VP spot in the past, even if not necessarily enthusiastically so.

He seemed fairly enthusiastic though.

What else were Edwards and Hillary whispering about when we weren't listening in?

Okay, okay, enough conspiracies...


The Ambulance Theory

My more rational side is thinking he's taking to his old ways of ambulance chasing the other two candidates. Some morbid hope that either Hillary's or Obama's campaign will collapse and he'll be able make a killing on their campaign's battered remains as the supporters look elsewhere.

Does he really offer anything that isn't totally covered either by Hillary's campaign or Obama's campaign? It doesn't seem so. But if one of them were gone he might be under the impression he could add a large portion of their supporters to his own. Perhaps he believes that the reason people haven't gone overwhelmingly to Hillary or Obama is that voters find something wrong with one or the other and they'll flock to a 3rd option... him... just to avoid that unfavorable quality.

Perhaps there's something else I'm overlooking? Beats me. South Carolina polls close in just a little over three hours... and I need some popcorn.

South Carolina: Part II

The Real Clear Politics poll averages shows that Obama should hopefully have this in the bag:



We've learned the hard way this primary season that the polling is extremely difficult to apply to this new primary schedule and the new variables in the races affecting turnout though. What we have learned is that the expectations-game has certainly played a role and winning a race you were sure to win isn't as helpful as winning a race you were almost certain to lose. And nothing hurts more than losing a race that you were expected to win... realistically or not.

This seems at first glance to be painfully unfair. If a candidate is what you want does it matter how they did in prior State primaries? Has the candidate changed any since that vote to make another candidate more appealing?

Perhaps not to anyone who is deeply involved in the process and made up their mind long ago on who they feel the best person is to lead the country. But among people who care about who may end up leading the nation, but unsure on who is the most viable to win the nomination versus others and how they feel that may play out against the other party... it could definitely shift their support, if nothing else in donations.

Even among those who are very involved, it can certainly have an effect macroscopically on them whether it is worth sending off more donations when it's starting to look hopeless for their preferred candidate.

My pick? Both? Kind of?

So here's to Obama winning and meeting expectations in South Carolina... if nothing else to keep the Clintons from running away with the nomination and keeping the fight going. I must admit, as much as I like to watch Hillary lose to more genuine candidate, that I think that feeling is shared by many leaning towards the Republicans this year... making her the weaker opponent for the general against our preferred candidates. So do I want to see Clinton lose? Sure. But I'd rather see her lose to McCain than Obama.

We already know how the troops generally feel about Hillary.

Somehow I have this funny feeling they could respect Obama a great deal more.

I could be wrong...

...(glancing at photo again)...


...but I doubt it.

So it's not that I mind seeing Clinton lose to Obama. She most certainly deserves to with the crap she's been spouting. Given the Democrats' penchant for picking weak candidates lately over better qualified/electable ones... it's not looking too hot for Obama.

This problem already killed off their two most experienced/qualified candidates. And one who was fairly likable to boot. Perhaps Richardson will end up with another executive appointment instead?

Oh well. nationally it still looks like a good portion of the likely Democratic voters would rather appoint the GOP's nemesis...



At least it'll keep late-night TV Hillarious.

Friday, January 25, 2008

Romney Flip-Flops Again!

-- Bump -- Originally posted 1/24/2008 at 8:54 PM

At tonight's debate on MSNBC Romney says he would not support any "new legislation" on guns, going completely against what he said just a couple months ago on supporting the Assault Weapons Ban...

But he still supports that...

But...

Well, I guess it's the same problem as ever... nobody knows what the hell this guy supports for certain.

From about a month ago:

GOV. ROMNEY: I supported the assault weapon ban. I…

MR. RUSSERT: You’re for it?

GOV. ROMNEY: I assigned–and I–let me, let me describe it.

MR. RUSSERT: But you’re still for it.

GOV. ROMNEY: Let’s describe what it is. I signed–I would have supported the original assault weapon ban. I signed an assault weapon ban in Massachusetts governor because it provided for a relaxation of licensing requirements for gun owners in Massachusetts, which was a big plus. And so both the pro-gun and the anti-gun lobby came together with a bill, and I signed that. And if there is determined to be, from time to time, a weapon of such lethality that it poses a grave risk to our law enforcement personnel, that’s something I would consider signing. There’s nothing of that nature that’s being proposed today in Washington. But, but I would, I would look at weapons that pose extraordinary lethality…

MR. RUSSERT: So the assault ban that expired here because Congress didn’t act on it, you would support?

GOV. ROMNEY: Just as the president said, he would have, he would have signed that bill if it came to his desk, and so would have I. And, and, and yet I also was pleased to have the support of the NRA when I ran for governor. I sought it, I seek it now. I’d love to have their support. I believe in the right of Americans to bear arms…

So he doesn't support it now? Or does he?

Oh and for our Mitt faithful, no he didn't have the support of the NRA, ever... that was a big fat lie, just like his lie about being a lifelong hunter. He signed up as a "life member" of the NRA prior to his announcement of running for president. I've been a "life member" of the NRA far longer than him. And I've never distanced myself from the NRA, Reagan, etc to suck up to voters when it was expedient for me.


-- UPDATE -- 1/25/2008

I've been accused of taking Romney's comments out of context to show a flip that never happened. I think I need to send some folks some coupons to Lens Crafters... but let's see if reason will help:

I'm not sure what context I left out that shows any consistency here. Feel free to compare the debate statements to the interview statements and explain how this wasn't a blatant flip in the debate statement alone, let alone when matched with his prior interview statements above (or his own dismal record on guns that make even McCain's look stellar in comparison... hard to do, but Romney was signing "assault weapon" bans into law a few years ago... not last decade... but last election cycle).

I also, like the president, would have signed the assault weapon ban that came to his desk. I said I would have supported that and signed a similar bill in our state. It was a bill worked out, by the way, between pro-gun lobby and anti-guy lobby individuals. Both sides of the issue came together and found a way to provide relaxation in licensing requirements and allow more people to -- to have guns for their own legal purposes. And so we signed that in Massachusetts, and I said I'd -- I would would support that at the federal level, just as the president said he would. It did not pass at the federal level.

I do not believe we need new legislation.

I do not support any new legislation of an assault weapon ban nature, including that against semiautomatic weapons.

So he supported new legislation... but he does not support any new legislation.

And they don't see the flip?

Especially since just a few weeks ago he was suggesting that he supported the "assault weapon" ban in both MA and federally and that he would have signed it, and went on to say he'd support new legislation:

And if there is determined to be, from time to time, a weapon of such lethality that it poses a grave risk to our law enforcement personnel, that’s something I would consider signing.

So does he support new legislation or not? Well he's the master wordsmither so what can we figure out?

He supported the "assault weapon" ban and he supports new legislation, just not any legislation that is currently proposed?

And though he outright stated that he supported the assault weapon ban before but now he doesn't support it... that's not flip-flopping? And they feel comfortable with this explanation when he was extra careful to say he didn't support any "new legislation" which he's qualified in the past as being what is currently being proposed. Not what may come up in the future.

Yeah. Nothing to see here, move along...

Something To Be Proud Of

I cannot bring myself to sell out our national security and the safety of our troops by abstaining this year and essentially saying, "Sure Hillary, here you go, screw the troops!"

I hope that Rush, DeLay, and others can get off their high horse and come to the same realization this lowly blogger did.

But for all my passion on the primaries, nothing comes close to the pride that comes with this:

If you do a google search for: hillary lied



With or without quotes, with the 2nd link you'll get an article I wrote a while back about her absolute deception on her Iraq war position.

If you do a google search on: misleadership



The 3rd link that comes up is an article I wrote about Nancy Pelosi and Ted Kennedy lying their butts off about being misled... amazingly enough they bought into Iraq being a threat with WMDs before Bush was even in office nor did they believe Bush misled them on anything they claim today.

One thing to keep in mind during this primary race is who the enemy is. And it isn't each other by a long shot. Sometimes it helps to have a good reminder of that.

Thursday, January 24, 2008

Elect-ability

I've recently heard people rip on McCain for claiming to be electable in his new ad. Yet there was utter silence when Romney was making the same claims.

I'll let you make the call (you'll note that McCain has been the top dog and Mitt at the bottom in head-to-head polls for months now, this isn't a recent development with McCain's recent surge. Click the link to Real Clear Politics to verify):



This isn't the "drive by media" as some talking heads put it... this is objective pollsters over an extended period of time.

And there's a damn good reason for it, in my honest opinion.

Glock21 Endorsements...

...by the cars they drive (and other factors):

#1

John McCain: The Cadillac of Candidates (in my humble opinion)





#2

Rudy Giuliani: The Limo of Candidates (yeah, he doesn't own a car, damn city folk)





#3

Mike Huckabee: The candidate with all the extras you don't desire or need.




#4

Mitt Romney: The Candidate that is all flare that doesn't fulfill any of the promises the dealer bullshitted you on.




#5

Barack Obama: The Chrysler of candidates... all looks, no substance... make damn sure you have a warranty.




#6

Hillary Clinton: A Ford by any other name... will probably cost you more and have the same quality control issues.




#7

John Edwards: The candidate the 2nd America could never afford without pandering class warfare through wealth distribution and other bullshit.




#8

Ron Paul: Another geriatric paleoconservative driving a Buick with conspiracy theories on what the Jews and Blacks are doing to destroy society that you wish would just fucking die so civilization could evolve... but preferably not while driving into you.




On second thought... I refuse to endorse Paul at all... not even eighth... please just drive off a cliff. I'd rather have a socialist that has at least a 3rd grade level understanding of American foreign policy past the 19th century. Thanks.

(Hat tip to the Chicago Tribune for the candidates' car facts.)

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Comic Relief





Christopher Titus on race relations:

McCain Oops!

Okay... to be fair, even my preferred candidate screws up sometimes:



And sometimes the candidate I absolutely oppose is involved with a prank by his kid that makes him seem like not such an uptight yahoo:



Meh, what can you do?

Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Priorities

You know it isn't easy admitting to being wrong. But I was wrong. Very wrong.

I had hit my limit with Romney's gun banning, dishonesty, and nasty tactics and got to the point where I would not vote for him in the general election if he won the nomination.

Then I read this response to people saying the same thing about John McCain on RedState:

"There are 160,000 American GIs in Iraq and another 30,000 in Afghanistan, it is unimaginable to believe that Rush, Delay and the others would leave those children in the hands of Obama or HillBill."

Talk about a reality check. I started to violate my own principles on this election: Iraq comes first. Shame on me for letting such petty squabbles come before our nation's security and the needs of our military forces in a time of war.

I couldn't have been more wrong on this. Even with the rationale that my vote probably won't matter being in an overwhelmingly blue state, it would be against every last principled bone in my body if I didn't do everything possible to support the best candidate on these issues, even with my severe doubts on his sincerity. Doubts trump a sure bet for bad policy currently coming from the other side of the aisle right now.

McCain is still my first pick. Rudy is now my second pick with Thompson being out of the game, officially or unofficially. But I will support any of the current GOP candidates except Paul in the general election versus Hillary, Obama, or Edwards who I believe will put our nation and troops in greater danger with naive policies.

To not oppose them isn't a principled stance. It's abandoning our national security and troops to their horrible foreign policy stances. I just can't do that.

Monday, January 21, 2008

Rush's RINOs

This is supposedly from Rush's latest “Rush in a Hurry” e-mailing on the election:

On Today’s Show…

“I can see possibly not supporting the Republican nominee this election, and I never thought that I would say that in my life.”

Show Highlight: McCain and Huckabee are running on the idea that Reagan conservatism is outdated, and needs to be redefined to fit their liberal positions. Mitt, Rudy, and Fred want to advance that legacy.

The Drive-By Media think that their chosen candidate, John McCain, beat Rush in South Carolina. Wrong. McCain got less of the vote than he did in 2000. It is telling, however, that liberal newspapers and the liberal media are ready to coronate McCain as they did Huckabee, but Romney, Thompson, and Rudy are always finished. Don’t let the media pick your candidate, folks. . . .

Bill Kristol has been on the McCain Bandwagon since 2000. Now, he says that we should just shut up about John McCain. Oh, really, Bill? How come it’s liberals, not conservatives, deciding who can speak? (Hello, McCain-Feingold.) I never tell anyone to shut up, but then, I’m not afraid of debate. . . .

First off, I sure as heck won’t let Rush unpick my candidate any more than I'd let the media pick my candidate. These theories that McCain is somehow getting supported by the media (is he watching/reading the same media I am?) is preposterous. The idea that McCain and Huckabee aren’t conservatives because they aren’t ideal conservatives is equally preposterous.

It's not just liberals voting for these guys... it's actual conservative voters who seem to disagree with him. Rush thinks these candidates are out of touch with conservatives, but the primaries so far suggest that he is the one who may be out of touch with conservatives along with many of his devout dittoheads.

To drive this point home, here are the entrance/exit poll breakdowns of conservative voters in Iowa, New Hampshire, Michigan, and South Carolina:

  • Rush's RINOs: IA: 46%, NH: 42%, MI: 43%, SC: 61%
  • Rush's Picks: IA: 44%, NH: 48%, MI: 45%, SC: 36%

If you're like some conservatives and include Rudy in the RINO list then the "true conservatives" have yet to beat the so-called RINOs in any of the major primaries so far. If you do include Rudy then it's close, but the so-called RINOs are roughly even with the "true conservatives" among actual conservative voters.

People need to make up their own mind, not let the talking heads, Rush included, do it for them.

MLK on Justice

From a Letter from a Birmingham Jail:

Moreover, I am cognizant of the interrelatedness of all communities and states. I cannot sit idly in Atlanta and not be concerned about what happens in Birmingham. Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere. We are caught in an inescapable network of mutuality, tied in a single garment of destiny. Whatever affects one directly, affects all indirectly. Never again can we afford to live with the narrow, provincial "outside agitator" idea. Anyone who lives inside the United States can never be considered an outsider anywhere within its bounds.

...

We know through painful experience that freedom is never voluntarily given by the oppressor, it must be demanded by the oppressed. Frankly, I have yet to engage in a direct-action campaign that was "well timed" in view of those who have not suffered unduly from the disease of segregation. For years now I have heard the word "wait!" It rings in the ear of every Negro with piercing familiarity. This "Wait" has almost always meant "Never." We must come to see, with one of our distinguished jurists, that "justice too long delayed is justice denied."

A martyr for the cause of liberty. 40 years later. Keep the dream alive.

Sunday, January 20, 2008

Romney's New Focus

Romney is now focusing primarily on his record in the private sector for economics and job growth. Probably a smart move since when he focused on his record in Massachusetts economists and factcheckers were quick to point out his record in government was dismal.

Time for another redirection from the Michael Moore of the GOP... first he was the Reagan emulator, then the candidate of change, then the guy falsely claiming his government record shows he's good on the economy, and now the guy changing that to touting his private sector experience.



My response: If you're great at creating jobs in the private sector, stay there! I don't want your Massachusetts record of slow job growth, slow economic growth, greater regulation, higher fees/taxes etc applied nationally.

If you need to keep misleading the nation on nearly every issue you run on, you don't really deserve the job, now do you?

Go home.



Related Posts:

Dr. No Chance

Some Ron Paul supporters are continuing to claim that their candidate is viable and not a bottom tier candidate due to his 2nd place finish in Nevada. I'm here to crush their dreams of some grand reversal of fortune.



First of all, the Nevada contest was overwhelmingly uncontested. Romney being the only viable candidate actually campaigning there ran away with a majority of the votes with Paul coming in a far distant second over 35 points behind. Paul was the only GOP candidate to even run TV ads there and all of the other candidates were focusing on South Carolina which had far more relevance to whether or not the candidates could win in Southern States.

This explanation will be unsatisfactory to many Paul supporters. He got the silver! They see the national polling putting Paul at 4.1% as a fluke that doesn't reflect reality, after all he did better in Nevada than the polling showed, and just look at those internet polls his minions overwhelm!


Here's a look at the record on Paul, polling, and actual results:

Paul in the primaries has been on par with his polling:
  • South Carolina polling: 4.4%, results: 4%
  • Michigan polling: 5.8%, results: 6%
  • New Hampshire polling: 8.2%, results: 8%

Ron Paul in caucuses has typically been above polling, but mainly beating candidates not strongly campaigning in those States:
  • Nevada polling: 7.3%, results: 14%
  • Iowa polling 7.8%, results: 10%
  • Wyoming was the odd one out since he got zilch

The upcoming States are overwhelmingly primaries, not caucuses, and those caucus States tend to be smaller with few delegates. The polling for Paul in the primaries has been accurately predicting his horrible showing in them. People still holding out hope for Paul are deluded.

Saturday, January 19, 2008

Horrible Day

Sadness:



Grief and Worry:



Anger:



Disgust:



Confusion:

"The economy continues to top the list of the public's biggest concerns..."


Empty Promises at Election Time:




They don't make pain killers for the sickness I have today.

Thursday, January 17, 2008

Good News for Vets

Okay, it was good news. From the AP:

Bush Releases Billions More for Vets

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Bush on Thursday released $3.7 billion in emergency money that Congress requested to care for veterans, including those returning from Iraq and Afghanistan.

Bush released the emergency funds even though he said he thought the money should have been considered as part of the normal appropriations process. The emergency money was tucked in a $550 billion government spending measure that Congress passed last month before leaving for the holidays.

"While I believe that these funds should have been considered as regular appropriations, the men and women who have sacrificed for our country should not be held hostage to budgetary wrangling in Washington," Bush said in a letter to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

This a follow up from the original call to action, and the reports that it would be signed that didn't seem as certain.

Ghosts of Carolina

CNN and the Washington Post are reporting (here, here, and here) that Fred Thompson, Mike Huckabee, and Mitt Romney are all attempting to paint McCain's "truth squad" against any smear campaigns in South Carolina as living in the past, fighting against ghosts, and/or playing the victim.

But according to the same Washington Post article the attacks have already begun:

McCain Takes the Fight To Negative Opponents

Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, January 17, 2008; Page A10

As Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) campaigned in South Carolina yesterday, he confronted crudely produced fliers attacking his war record and a blitz of robotic phone calls twisting his position on abortion, attacks he said were reminiscent of the political kneecapping he endured in the state eight years ago.

A group calling itself Vietnam Veterans Against McCain circulated the leaflet accusing the presidential candidate of collaborating with the enemy during his years as a prisoner of war in Vietnam. Another group called Common Sense Issues, which has financial backing from supporters of rival GOP candidate Mike Huckabee, the former Arkansas governor, paid for 1 million automated telephone calls in South Carolina describing McCain as a proponent of medical tests on fetuses and amnesty for illegal immigrants.


The attacks in 2000 got progressively worse than this, but implying that a well known war hero, who suffered through horrible injuries and torture when he was shot down and held prisoner for years, is instead a traitor... that's pretty nasty stuff to say the least. It's a bit difficult to see how the other candidates can downplay that with a straight face.

After all of the attacks on Clinton on Bush for either draft dodging or not doing enough to serve their country, you'd think that Romney of all people would be first in line to decry these attacks on military credentials to avoid inviting smear campaigns about his draft deferment and none of his sons serving.

Sometimes I just don't get it.

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Romney with Strong Liberal Support

Unfortunately IP over at Illinois Pundit predicted a narrow victory for McCain yesterday. I say unfortunately because even he admits his predictions rarely pan out. I was hopping he was just going to be wrong on the narrow part... turns out he was wrong on both the narrow and victory part. Drat!

Romney told the people of Michigan exactly what they wanted to hear: a lie, sculpted especially for them. His millions spent on disseminating dishonesty finally paid off for once.

But did he have some help from liberals and Democrats? Absolutely. Though it doesn't appear to be the deciding factor:



Romney pulled a very large amount of the Liberal and Democratic vote considering his current views. It could be that the DailyKos strategy helped solidify his numbers in Michigan. But as I said, it wasn't the deciding factor. He did very well among Republicans and Conservatives with McCain coming in second this time. Compare to New Hampshire where McCain won over Republicans and conservatives in general here: McCain Spin Begins.

Overall very disappointing. Not due to the McCain loss... his numbers weren't all that terrible, just not good enough this time. Also disappointing is the means by which he lost. As one Michigan blogger put it:

Exit polling indicates that the biggest issue... THE issue on voters minds was the economy and they thought that Mitt Romney could do a better job bringing us back than John McCain. Could it be that economic optimism, even if it isn't necessarily rooted firmly in reality, is exactly what we wanted to hear? Looks that way.

Experts agreed: Economists: Romney Full of Mitt

Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Could be a Close One

The Michigan Primary is already in progress and the last minute polls show that Romney may have an edge in what may be an extremely close race:



The intensity of this stretch of the campaign seems to have gotten the better of the campaign a bit as evidenced by a mailer sent out to potential supporters that goes on the attack against Romney. As factcheck.org points out, it isn't the fairest of attacks, nor is one of the accomplishments as big of bragging point as implied. It seems strange to me that with the plethora of Romney flubs, specifically Michigan relevant ones, they'd harp on one that is fairly easy to dismiss. Also with McCain's strong record on spending cuts why they'd pick one that he wasn't as diligent on.

My guess is they thought it would be more appealing/convincing to voters, but I'd prefer they kept the "Straight Talk Express" on a steady course. This just invites accusations of hypocrisy.

NY Times Sensationalism

Though I've ripped on Fox a great deal here and elsewhere for their sensationalist tactics, today it is the New York Times turn for being ripped on. In an irresponsible piece that attempts to imply that our veterans coming back from Iraq and Afghanistan are dangerous murderers and apparently bad drivers they completely dropped the ball by failing to compare the numbers to the general population.

Fox was actually the objective ones:

The New York Times published a lengthy article Sunday alleging that veterans of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars are responsible for 121 killings since their return from combat. The Times wrote the veterans have left — "a cross-country trail of death and heartbreak."

But the Times did not compare its anecdotal statistics for military personnel against the averages for the general population. Powerline.com reports that the figure of 121 homicides out of a conservative estimate of 700,000 returning veterans over six years works out to a mere fraction of the national average for homicides committed by males aged 18 to 24.

The Times' figure for veterans involved in fatal automobile accidents is also not placed in context with members of the general driving population — who are 12 times more likely to be involved in a fatality than Iraq and Afghanistan veterans.

Newsweek chimed in on the debate as well:

The article approaches its statistical findings as thus:

Clearly, committing homicide is an extreme manifestation of dysfunction for returning veterans, many of whom struggle in quieter ways, with crumbling marriages, mounting debt, deepening alcohol dependence or more-minor tangles with the law.

But these killings provide a kind of echo sounding for the profound depths to which some veterans have fallen, whether at the bottom of a downward spiral or in a sudden burst of violence.

In the short amount of time since the article was published there's been a strong backlash against the paper, citing worry that it perpetuated the stigma of veterans returning home as crazed and unstable. The first criticisms of the paper's investigation seemed to come from the article itself, as it quoted the Pentagon's reaction to the reporters' findings:

The Pentagon was given The Times’s roster of homicides. It declined to comment because, a spokesman, Lt. Col. Les Melnyk, said, the Department of Defense could not duplicate the newspaper’s research. Further, Colonel Melnyk questioned the validity of comparing prewar and wartime numbers based on news media reports, saying that the current increase might be explained by “an increase in awareness of military service by reporters since 9/11.” He also questioned the value of “lumping together different crimes such as involuntary manslaughter with first-degree homicide."

It refused to take a strong position either way on the resulting debate. Larry Scott of VA Watchdog.org and other military publications went a step further:

Why not a series about the 1.5+ million veterans who have come home and gone back to their families and jobs and reintegrated into society with little or no difficulty?

Because it doesn't make for a good headline. It doesn't sell papers.

The Times and other papers have, generally, done an excellent job chronicling the problems some veterans are facing. The issues of homelessness, joblessness and post-traumatic stress disorder have been given lots of ink. And, that's not a bad thing. The public needs to know.

Should The Times have published this story about 121 veterans who murdered? I don't believe in censorship of the press. So, The Times has the right to print what they want.

But, did this story accomplish anything other than to feed the public's desire to read more about those "wacko warriors" who kill overseas and then come home and kill again? No. This story was just a piece of sleazy, sensational journalism wrapped in psycho-babble and plastered across the front page of the #1 newspaper in the country.

I find myself strongly in agreement with him.

Funny Yet True



If there's some confusion on this, read up here on the DailyKos supporting Romney.

(Hat tip: TheSquire and RedState for finding this before I did)


--UPDATE 4:17 AM --


Bumped to the top

Romney Rhetoric vs. Record

A copy of a contrast between Romney's positions while running against Kennedy has been floating around as proof that he's always been a principled conservative in spite of his many flip-flops that have gotten so much attention. Here's that image (click for zoomed view):



But is this accurate? I'd say no. Let's go through the list and contrast it with his actual record and I think you'll find that his record is, at best, mixed:

  • Rhetoric - Support Death Penalty

    Record - Did little to nothing to fight the Massachusetts death penalty until after early signs of his aspirations for the presidency. - citation #1, citation #2

  • Rhetoric - Tough on Gun Crime

    Record - Tough on gun ownership period, including bans. - citation

  • Rhetoric - Tough on crime

    Record - Violent crime did not go down significantly compared to national averages and murder rates actually increased. - citation

  • Rhetoric - Tough on welfare

    Record - See for yourself at MassResources.org and make up your own mind.

  • Rhetoric - Real-World Job Creation Experience, Bringing Jobs to Massachusetts

    Record - Good as a business man, below par compared to most States while a politician. - citation #1, citation #2

  • Rhetoric - Opposing Tax Increases / Balancing Budgets

    Record - Initially refused to support the Bush tax cuts. Increased taxes and fees dramatically to help balance a budget that wasn't nearly as in the red as he claimed (based on projections that were known wrong long ago) - citation#1, citation #2

  • Rhetoric - Good on foreign policy.

    Record - Avoided foreign policy issues as much as possible and now claims such experience isn't important anyways. At least up until recently was provably ignorant on modern U.S. military issues. - citation #1, citation #2, citation #3

  • Rhetoric - Tough on immigration.

    Record - Considered plans to let illegals stay reasonable with fines and certain conditions and did absolutely nothing about sanctuary cities during his term. - citation #1, citation #2

  • Rhetoric - Supported a Woman's Right to Choose

    Record - Later opposed it, then allowed it and did little to fight government subsidized abortions including appointing pro-choice judges. citation #1, citation #2, citation #3

  • Rhetoric - Opposed government takeover of health care, employer mandates and increased taxes.

    Record - Supported a government solution to health care by putting the mandates on individuals themselves or face additional taxes and raised taxes generally anyways. - no citation required on the health care plan, he freely admits it, citation on taxes #1, and citation #2


What Romney says and what Romney does are often extremely different, in effort and definitely in results. His biggest changes seem to have come primarily as he came closer and closer to affirming his intentions to make a White House run, but significantly later than such aspirations were suspected.

Monday, January 14, 2008

Romney's Record Ripped

The American Spectator laid into Romney's record today... and didn't pull any punches, specifically on his changed tune on automobile efficiency (I know, I know, flip-flopping, what else is new, right?):

Mitt's Mythical "Mass. Miracle"

By Deroy Murdock
Published 1/14/2008 12:08:08 AM


"Michigan is like the canary in the mine shaft," Republican White House contender Willard Mitt Romney told voters in Warren Friday. "What happens in Michigan is going to happen to the rest of the country." He also claims in a campaign commercial, "I understand how the economy works. There's a lot we can do to strengthen Michigan."

One could take Romney seriously as an architect of economic redevelopment if he had displayed such skills as Massachusetts governor. Instead, his reign was a parade of economic stagnation and retreat. He even advocated an SUV-tax increase that would have hammered the very same domestic automotive industry he now says he champions.

...

Indeed, candidate Romney promised to "rework" Massachusetts' automobile excise tax to favor fuel-efficient vehicles. As John Gregg explained in the September 5, 2002 Milford Daily News, lower taxes on such cars "could be offset by higher charges for new gas guzzlers, the campaign acknowledged." Romney also called for a 10-year sales-tax holiday for hybrid gas/electric cars, such as the Toyota Prius. At the time of Romney's proposal, such vehicles were much likelier to roll off of assembly lines in Yokohama than Ypsilanti.

"This is a substantial tax savings for the buyers of these vehicles," Romney's spokesman, Eric Fehrnstrom, told Gregg at the time. "We want to encourage their purchase."

Romney's idea won immediate applause -- from the Left.


...

As Michigan voters consider Mitt Romney's prescription for economic renewal, they would be wise to repeat these words: Don't try this at home.

From the horse's mouth: Romney on supporting more fuel efficiency for automobiles... flip and flop:



The AS article goes into further detail of his anything-but-conservative record as Governor, including more details of his big government health care policy solutions, poor record on jobs, economic growth, and hundreds of millions of increased corporate taxes/fees.

Andrew Sum and Joseph McLaughlin of the Center for Labor Market Studies at Boston's Northeastern University placed Romney's rule beneath their statistical microscope. Let's hope what they discovered is not contagious.

"Our analysis reveals a weak comparative economic performance of the state over the Romney years, one of the worst in the country," the researchers wrote in the Boston Globe. Specifically, they found:

* As U.S. real output grew 13 percent between 2002 and 2006, Massachusetts trailed at 9 percent.

* Manufacturing employment fell 7 percent nationwide those years, but sank 14 percent under Romney, placing Massachusetts 48th among the states.

* Between fall 2003 and autumn 2006, U.S. job growth averaged 5.4 percent, nearly three times Massachusetts' anemic 1.9 percent pace.

* While 8 million Americans over age 16 found work between 2002 and 2006, the number of employed Massachusetts residents actually declined by 8,500 during those years.

"Massachusetts was the only state to have failed to post any gain in its pool of employed residents," professors Sum and McLaughlin concluded.

...

Romney also doomed Massachusetts by hiking taxes and fees, which fouled that state's business climate.

"Tax rates on many corporations almost doubled because of legislation supported by Romney," Boston Science Corporation chairman Peter Nicholas wrote in the January 6 Boston Herald. Romney boosted taxes on subchapter S corporations owned by business trusts from 5.3 percent to 9.8 percent, a four-fifths increase. Nicholas called this "an important disincentive to investment, growth, and job creation."

"Corporate taxes went up $210 million under Romney," the Herald editorialized. "And we wonder why companies look north, south, east and west, anywhere but Massachusetts, to expand?"

While Romney sped a $275 million capital-gains tax rebate, scored property-tax relief for seniors and secured a two-day, tax-free shopping holiday, he imposed $283 million in business "loophole closures" and $501.5 million in increased fees on marriage licenses, gun registrations, gasoline deliveries, real-estate transfers, and more. Under Romney, the Tax Foundation calculated, Massachusetts fell from America's 29th most business-friendly state to No. 36.

I still hear some Republicans refer to Romney as the conservative candidate. And I still can't believe my ears.


Related Posts:

Romney Snubbed!

From FoxNews:

Former Michigan Gov. William Milliken has announced his endorsement for John McCain, less than two days before Michigan’s primary and just hours ahead of a major economic address was to be delivered by McCain rival Mitt Romney at the Detroit Economic Club.

Milliken endorsed McCain in 2000, when the Arizona senator defeated eventual nominee George W. Bush by more than 100,000 votes in the Michigan Republican primary. Milliken served as lieutenant governor under Gov. George Romney, Romney’s father, from 1963-1969. He was then elected governor and held the post until 1982, becoming the longest serving governor in the state.

“I have long admired Senator McCain for his straight talk and service to the country,” Milliken said in an announcement released late Sunday by McCain’s campaign. “There’s a real sense of integrity in the firm positions he takes, even though they are not always popular. I don’t agree with him on all issues, but I like his well-earned reputation of saying what he means, and meaning what he says.”

Romney met with Milliken after a rally last year in hopes of gaining his support, but Milliken’s decision to back McCain does not come as a surprise to either side, as he is known for holding more moderate positions than Romney.

Yet another nice endorsement to go along with McCain's massive list including 93 Reagan alumni, major newspapers in Iowa, New Hampshire, Michigan, South Carolina, and Florida, over 100 Generals/Admirals, former Secretaries of you name it, and countless others.

The polls are showing that the race in Michigan is still tight and Romney has a good chance of being able to finally pull off a win with his multi-million dollar investment.



Related Posts:

Paul: Scumbag or Idiot?

On a follow up to this post on the newsletters published by Ron Paul for years under his name that contained racist, anti-Semitic and pandering to conspiracy theorists and right-wing militias.

Many are claiming that they do not constitute proof of him being a racist or anti-Semite, etc.

They may very well be right given the lack of evidence of such beliefs beyond these old newsletters. The problem is that while he continues to pander to conspiracy theorists, most notably on the Alex Jones radio show, he seems wholly unable to deny responsibility for these pandering newsletters or any involvement in them, even in his own response to this story re-emerging.

Would it be so hard to deny any involvement? Any responsibility? Yes. Because he was involved, he was responsible. According to who? According to him.

As he states in his own response:

For over a decade, I have publicly taken moral responsibility for not paying closer attention to what went out under my name.

And he doesn't deny awareness or involvement with those publishing the letters in his name, as noted by CNN:

Paul said the editor of publications "is responsible for daily activities." But he also cited "transition" and "changes" and said that some people were hired to write stories "but I didn't know their names."

The presidential hopeful described the newsletter revelations as a "rehash" of old material dug up by his opponents because he is gaining ground with black voters due to his stance against the war in Iraq and the war on drugs.

From a Paul supporter at the National Review Online:

But that aside, no amount of messenger-attacking can diminish what he's unearthed in Ron Paul's old newsletters. He did well to dig it up, it's good reporting. And it is like a gut-punch to read the racist material they contained within the timeframe of 1988-1992.

...

But was Paul so uninvolved that he was completely unaware of this material over the course of three or four years? I do not believe that Ron Paul is a racist, but that sort of absenteeism would be...well, it requires a suspension of disbelief, that's for sure. Did he ever read it? Did any of his close friends ever read it and say something to him? Who was writing the newsletter at that time? Was this content eventually discovered? Was the writer fired? His spokesman couldn't help me with these questions yesterday. The campaign should try harder to answer them, instead of writing this off as "old news."

Some are willing to give Paul the benefit of the doubt. That none of his supporters ever brought up the vile nonsense he was having published bearing his name and that he had no idea that the editor in charge would allow ghostwriters to write such vile nonsense in his name and that Paul himself bears no responsibility even though he says otherwise.

But if you assume all this, and believe that Paul had absolutely no intention of pandering to the scum of the Earth... then the only option left is to assume that he's so incompetent, so bafflingly stupid, that he'd appoint such people to work on his behalf.

Not a compelling argument to elect someone who makes the most important appointments in the nation.

So which is it? Is Paul a smart guy who happens to pander to conspiracy theorists, racists, anti-Semites, and other scum... as evidenced further by his total lack of reservations of taking political donations and support from known white supremacists and conspiracy theorists to this day?

Or is he a god damn idiot who can't be trusted to appoint a guy to run newsletter publications, let alone the highest offices of the Executive and Judicial branches?



You make the call.

Sunday, January 13, 2008

Economists: Romney Full of Mitt

The pundits haven't been shy about this, so it's good to see this in Michigan news headlines. The Detroit News reporting:

Experts back up McCain's jobs claim

Michigan economists predict a bleak future for manufacturing, workers in the state.

Ron French / The Detroit News

Economists say there's little debate on the dust-up over Michigan's economic woes that has two leading presidential candidates arguing over one of the state's prime kitchen table issues: Are the state's manufacturing jobs ever coming back?

"The relentless trend in Michigan and the United States is that manufacturing jobs will continue to decline," said Dana Johnson, chief economist for Comerica Bank. "Nothing is going to stop that trend."

At a debate in South Carolina Thursday night, Mitt Romney, a Michigan native and former governor of Massachusetts, attacked Sen. John McCain of Arizona as a pessimist over comments he made earlier this week. McCain told a crowd in Grand Rapids that the thousands of manufacturing jobs that had left the state in recent years are gone forever. "I disagree," Romney said. "I'm going to fight for every single job in Michigan."

...

Anyone believing manufacturing jobs will return to Michigan is "in a time warp," said Littmann, who is a supporter of former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani. "And you don't want those jobs, because they're susceptible to increases in automation."

Romney is pandering, and as I noted earlier today, is throwing millions of dollars to play on the desperation of Michigan voters who deserve better than false promises.

Romney Still Trying To Buy Presidency

CNN is reporting:

[Mitt Romney] has spent more than $2 million on ads in that state, compared to John McCain's $360,000 and Mike Huckabee's $40,000.

Two new polls out of Michigan Sunday continue to show Romney and McCain are locked in a tight race for the top spot, while Huckabee is in a close third. A McClatchy/MSNBC poll puts Romney 8 points ahead of McCain, while a Detroit Free Press survey has Romney up by 5. Meanwhile, a Detroit News poll released Saturday showed McCain with a statistically-insignificant 1-point edge over Romney.

Meanwhile conservative pundits haven't been shy in noting Romney's dishonest pandering about the state of jobs in Michigan's battered manufacturing industries.

Romney might just pull off a win here, and it'd be a damn shame.

Good News, I Think

According to a couple sources now:

President Bush will approve $3.7 billion in “emergency” funding for the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, a veterans advocacy group official said Thursday.

Congress included the provision for the additional funding in the omnibus spending bill it passed in December to fund most federal government agencies in 2008. The emergency funding provision requires the president’s approval before any money can be sent to the VA.

Joe Violante, national legislative director for the Disabled American Veterans organization, said he had confirmation from VA officials that the president plans to approve the funding when he returns from his trip to the Middle East on Wednesday.

Ten veterans groups pleaded for Bush to approve the additional funding in a joint letter sent to the White House last week.

Much of the money is earmarked to expand services at VA hospitals, build new facilities and conduct research. Another portion is designated to hire more claims processors to cut down a nationwide backlog of more than 600,000 benefits claims.

The legislation requires Bush to approve the funding by Jan. 18 for the VA to receive it. A White House spokesman said Thursday that the administration has not publicly commented on whether the president would approve the funding.

It's that lack of official confirmation that has me a bit unsure if this is accurate. Prior to today I had only seen this reported in the Congressional Quarterly but without any source and another article citing that unsourced article.

Hopefully this is accurate given that the deadline is roughly 5 days away now.

This is a follow up to a call to action from a couple weeks ago.

Saturday, January 12, 2008

Even More Good News For McCain

In addition to my earlier post today about McCain getting an army of "Reagan alumni" endorsing him and polling showing that he tops the charts of Republicans who would be enthusiastic or satisfied with him winning the party's nomination... the poll also showed:

art.romney.mich.gi.jpgWASHINGTON (CNN) -- The Republican presidential field appears to face a tough general election fight in a CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll released Saturday.

According to the survey, both of the Democratic front-runners, Sens. Hillary Clinton of New York and Barack Obama of Illinois, hold mostly double-digit -- and statistically identical -- advantages over Republican presidential candidates Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani and Mike Huckabee, drawing greater than 50 percent support in each hypothetical matchup.

The Republican candidate who gives Clinton and Obama the closest race in the new poll is Arizona Sen. John McCain, who is essentially tied with both: He draws the support of 48 percent of those surveyed to Clinton's 50 percent and Obama's 49 percent.

...

The poll contained some worrying news for Romney: 62 percent of those surveyed say they will definitely not vote for the former Massachusetts governor in the general election, compared with just 13 percent who say they will definitely support him -- the worst showing of any of the major candidates.

One word: ouch!

More Romney Dishonesty

He really just can't help himself. He really epitomizes the old joke on how to know when a politician is lying. Here is factcheck.org on Romney's lips moving during the debates:

Mitt Romney Romney puffed up his economic record in Massachusetts with some false statistics:
Romney: As to my record in the state of Massachusetts, I'm very proud of the fact that after many, many months of declining job growth, I took over the state and helped turn that around. And in my years as governor, we kept adding jobs every single month after we saw that turnaround.
That's just not true. Payroll jobs in Massachusetts hit their low point in December 2003 at the end of Romney's first year in office. And the number of jobs declined in seven of the remaining 36 months of his term, as measured by total nonfarm employment, seasonally adjusted, which is the standard measure of payroll employment used by economists and journalists. The claim that jobs increased "every single month" is false.

Furthermore, Romney's job record provides little to boast about. By the end of his four years in office, Massachusetts had squeezed out a net gain in payroll jobs of just 1 percent, compared with job growth of 5.3 percent for the nation as a whole.

I understand he feels pressured to pander to the good folks in Michigan who have been hard hit by the reduction of manufacturing there, but... he apparently feels pressured to pander to anyone and everyone, using deception and dishonesty.

More on the deception part:

Romney played loose with the facts about his abortion record.
Romney: My term as governor was decidedly pro-life. On every decision I could make as governor, I came down on the side of life. And that's why the Massachusetts Right to Life Association awarded me their leadership award after my term as governor.
It is true that Romney vetoed several bills that violated the anti-abortion position, including one that would have provided funding for embryonic stem cell research and another that would have made the morning after pill available without a prescription. As we've pointed out before, the Legislature overrode those vetoes, but Romney did indeed adopt a number of anti-abortion positions as governor. He neglects to mention, however, that in October 2005, he signed a bill seeking greater access to family planning services for low-income individuals – access that would have included availability of that same morning after pill.

It’s also a significant stretch to say that the Massachusetts Right to Life Association gave him an award. For starters, the award was given by the Pioneer Valley Regional Chapter of Massachusetts Citizens for Life. The chapter does represent the entire western half of Massachusetts, but it is nonetheless one chapter of the organization, and not the entire group, as Romney suggests. In fact, Massachusetts Citizens for Life President Mildred F. Jefferson put out a press release specifically to refute the suggestion that MCFL had somehow endorsed Romney.

McCain on the other hand was vindicated on one of his prior claims that he made again at last night's debates:

John McCain McCain again said that he had "never asked for or received a pork barrel project or earmark for my state." We previously wrote about three gray areas from McCain’s past that could be considered earmarks by some. But Citizens Against Government Waste told us that McCain’s actions in all three incidents were not requests for earmarks. We have now consulted Taxpayers for Common Sense, another watchdog group, which agrees with that assessment. Vice President Steve Ellis told us: "Plain and simple. The red flag about McCain getting earmarks is really red herring."

So far into the Michigan foray, Romney is still shooting expensive duds while McCain has mostly risen above it. Romney got the first question at the debates and I was dumbfounded that he so blatantly ignored the lessons of Iowa and New Hampshire. His first statements were an attack on John McCain and pandering to those who lost jobs in the manufacturing turn down in Michigan with exaggerations and lies.

No wonder Romney is at dead last among voters in who they'd be enthusiastic or satisfied with as the nominee and first place among those who would be dissatisfied or upset.



Related Posts:

More Good News For McCain

On top of his already extensive list of endorsements from over a hundred generals and admirals, former Secretaries of State, former Secretaries of Commerce, former Secretaries of the Navy, former Secretaries of Homeland Security and Veterans Affairs, nearly every major newspaper so far, and numerous others...

Now McCain is getting endorsements from 93 former members of Reagan's administration:

Heavy hitters from Reagan era back senator

By Jennifer Harper
January 11, 2008

Lawrence Eagleburger, George P. Shultz, Marlin Fitzwater, Robert Mosbacher, Alexander M. Haig Jr., Margaret Tutwiler, Gen. P.X. Kelley, Dan Coats — the list is weighty with stalwarts from another political era.

The Reagan era, that is.

There are 93 self-proclaimed "Reagan alumni" who worked for the former president and who now insist that Sen. John McCain of Arizona has compelling Gipper-esque qualities and is the sole candidate who could unite a fractious Republican Party.

"There has been some back and forth about which of the Republican candidates was most like Ronald Reagan. An unusual number of Reagan administration alumni began to look to John McCain. In Congress, he led the fight to limit government, lower taxes, cut spending and keep families strong," said Arthur B. Culvahouse Jr., who served as White House counsel from 1987 to 1989 and is now chairman of the law firm O'Melveny & Myers LLP.

"McCain also doesn't have a sense of entitlement. He's motivated by obligation. Like Reagan did, he sees government service as an honor and a privilege," Mr. Culvahouse said.

"I think Reagan would have agreed with McCain that we must win in Iraq. Both of them had long-held beliefs that were not negotiable," he added. "John McCain is the only candidate who can rally the Reagan coalition of conservatives, independents and conservative Democrats needed to defeat the Democratic nominee."

And if that wasn't enough the latest CNN polling not only has McCain in the lead nationally for the Presidential nomination, those polled overwhelmingly say they would be enthusiastic or satisfied with John McCain winning:



This is an improvement over November where he came in behind Giuliani. Good news all around going into Michigan. Hopefully the McCain momentum can keep building and knock Romney and the DailyKos out of the picture.

Thursday, January 10, 2008

What a day!

Richardson dropped out. No surprises there.

DailyKos's Kos is organizing his minions to skip the irrelevant Democratic Primary to vote for Mitt Romney in an attempt to hurt the GOP.

Ron Paul's ties to racist and anti-Semitic publications under his name surfaced.

The Fox South Carolina debate showed Thompson's first impressive debate performance.

The Fox South Carolina debate showed that Mitt Romney learned nothing from his previous defeats as his first statements were just more attacks and pandering.

And Obama and Kerry got gay married:



Okay, that's not true...

But speaking of smear campaigns, today factcheck.org released a rebuttal to the smear e-mail campaign against Obama's heritage. The smear campaign which came from unknown origins, has been floating around the net fairly heavily.

Paul's Ugly Past

CNN has picked up on the Ron Paul newsletter story:

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- A series of newsletters in the name of GOP presidential hopeful Ron Paul contain several racist remarks -- including one that says order was restored to Los Angeles after the 1992 riots when blacks went "to pick up their welfare checks."

This is a copy of one of the "Ron Paul Political Report" newsletters, which has stirred controversy.

NN recently obtained the newsletters -- written in the 1990s and one from the late 1980s -- after a report was published about their existence in The New Republic.

...

The controversial newsletters include rants against the Israeli lobby, gays, AIDS victims and Martin Luther King Jr. -- described as a "pro-Communist philanderer." One newsletter, from June 1992, right after the LA riots, says "order was only restored in L.A. when it came time for the blacks to pick up their welfare checks."

Another says, "The criminals who terrorize our cities -- in riots and on every non-riot day -- are not exclusively young black males, but they largely are. As children, they are trained to hate whites, to believe that white oppression is responsible for all black ills, to 'fight the power,' to steal and loot as much money from the white enemy as possible."

In some excerpts, the reader may be led to believe the words are indeed from Paul, a resident of Lake Jackson, Texas. In the "Ron Paul Political Report" from October 1992, the writer describes carjacking as the "hip-hop thing to do among the urban youth who play unsuspecting whites like pianos."

The author then offers advice from others on how to avoid being carjacked, including "an ex-cop I know," and says, "I frankly don't know what to make of such advice, but even in my little town of Lake Jackson, Texas, I've urged everyone in my family to know how to use a gun in self defense. For the animals are coming."


From The New Republic that dug up the old newsletters published in his name:

But, whoever actually wrote them, the newsletters I saw all had one thing in common: They were published under a banner containing Paul's name, and the articles (except for one special edition of a newsletter that contained the byline of another writer) seem designed to create the impression that they were written by him--and reflected his views. What they reveal are decades worth of obsession with conspiracies, sympathy for the right-wing militia movement, and deeply held bigotry against blacks, Jews, and gays. In short, they suggest that Ron Paul is not the plain-speaking antiwar activist his supporters believe they are backing--but rather a member in good standing of some of the oldest and ugliest traditions in American politics.

As if his chances weren't slim to none already. This might even sink his Congressional seat.

Supply and Demand with Foreign Labor

USA Today is noting the economic problems and labor shortages caused by Oklahoma's new strict regulations and crackdowns on illegal aliens and employers who hire them:

Strict immigration law rattles Okla. businesses
PARK HILL, Okla. — Autumn had arrived in eastern Oklahoma, and workers at the sprawling Greenleaf Nursery were prepping for deadly frosts. They needed to ship plants, erect greenhouses and bunch trees together to protect them against the cold.

But in late October, about 40 employees disappeared from the 600-acre nursery about an hour's drive from Tulsa. "Some went to Texas, some went to Arkansas," nursery President Randy Davis says. "They just left."

Why did the workers, all immigrants, flee? "Those states don't have 1804," Davis says.

In a matter of weeks, "1804" has become part of the Sooner State's lexicon. It refers to House Bill 1804, the Oklahoma Taxpayer and Citizen Protection Act of 2007, arguably the nation's toughest state law targeting illegal immigrants.

...

Widespread reports of vanishing employees and schoolchildren suggest thousands of illegal immigrants have left Oklahoma for neighboring states or their native countries. Cotton gins, hotels and home builders have lost workers. Restaurant and grocery store owners complain of fewer customers.

Some businesses and lawmakers are warning that the economic effects will hit consumers hard. Having a smaller pool of workers for certain jobs will cause delays and create competition among employers, leading them to raise wages and prices, Davis and others say.

Republican state Rep. Shane Jett, who opposed 1804, offers a more dire prediction. Without changes, the law "will be the single most destructive economic disaster since the Dust Bowl," he says.

...

"There is no job that an American citizen is unwilling to do," he says. "They're just not willing to do it at the wage rates that are being paid to illegal aliens."

But some employers say it's hard to hire citizens in their industries.

"We have extremely low unemployment. … The people in southwest Oklahoma who want to work are working," says Tom Buchanan, a cotton, cattle and wheat farmer in Jackson County.

Chris Ellison, manager of the Motley Gin cotton gin in Hollis, lost eight of 16 workers since Nov. 1. He says the loss sent his overtime costs soaring.

"I would love to hire 20 U.S. citizens here," Ellison says, but "local people are not going to quit a job to work three weeks during the year."

Both men say they obey U.S. laws and check workers' identity documents, but they acknowledge that some may have fake papers.

"We are not documents experts," Buchanan says.

Like farmers and landscapers, builders say they're struggling.

Earlier in 2007, Portillo Construction, which specializes in masonry and stone work in the Tulsa area, employed about 15 people, co-owner Natanael Portillo says. All were immigrants.

"On Nov. 1, not one employee showed up for work," he says.

He has since hired several laborers but lost a contract on a house, he says. "We're looking at between a $15,000 to $20,000 loss" for 2007, Portillo says.

Home builder Caleb McCaleb, who works in Oklahoma City and Edmond, says his framer lost 30 of his 80 workers, his painter lost 10 of 35 and his landscaper lost 15 of 40. That has put homes three or four weeks behind schedule.

"If we continue to lose workers, we are going to have to raise prices," he says.

Cocina De Mino has seen its Hispanic clientele decline, especially on Sundays, Wagner says.

"After church, usually at 2 or 3 in the afternoon, they (would) bring their family. It's usually groups of eight, 10 and 12," he says. "Those groups are not coming in."

At Plaza Santa Cecilia, a mall filled with Hispanic shops in Tulsa, Simon Navarro's customer base has evaporated. Navarro, owner of a money-wiring service, says 500 people would come in every day to send money to relatives in Mexico and Central America. "Now," he says, "I have 100."


Further evidence that illegal immigration crackdowns must be matched with higher legal immigration quotas at a pace that allows for labor demands to be filled. The myth that there are enough Americans able, willing, or even in the geographical proximity of the jobs that would be lost by deporting all of the illegals falls flat with basic math and comparing the number of unemployed, the types of jobs the unemployed are in between and the sheer magnitude of the jobs currently occupied by illegals. There just aren't enough Americans to fill in once they're gone.

We need an immigration policy that makes sense, not just pander to the hysterics.

DailyKos for Mitt Romney

The DailyKos is pushing to get Democrats and liberal independents to vote for Mitt Romney to help drag out the GOP race, and presumably because Romney polls the worst against the Democratic front runners in match up polling.

And when I say the DailyKos is pushing it, I mean the head honcho, Kos himself.





-- UPDATE 7:09 PM --

And as if I haven't laid out enough reasons to oppose Romney in the general election, I just stumbled across a Giuliani supporters scathing critique of Mitt Romney that has cataloged far more deceptions and flip-flops than even I have:

"The Trouble With Mitt Romney" series Parts 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5.

Part 3 covers the flip-flops, but the whole series is worth the read if you got the time. Here's just a taste:

1. Abortion

Ben Domenech has gone into detail here and here about the collision between Romney's 2006 claim, while running as a committed pro-lifer, that he "never called myself pro-choice" and his 2002 position, which included declaring that "If the question is whether I will protect and defend a woman's right to choose, my answer is an unequivocal 'Yes,'" vowing that "I respect and will fully protect a woman's right to choose." and sending his running mate out to declare that abortion should be a non-issue in 2002 because "[t]here isn't a dime of difference between Mitt Romney's position on choice and [NARAL-endorsed] Shannon O'Brien". He even filled out Planned Parenthood and NARAL questionnaires in 2002 pledging to uphold Roe v Wade and support public funding for abortion.

Romney also appeared to change his position on stem cell research between 2002 and 2005, shifting from statements that appeared to suggest a broad, unqualified support to a more nuanced position that supported the destruction of IVF embryos but opposed cloning. But it's arguable that that's more a matter of coming out with a clearer position on an issue he had fudged in the past than actually altering his position.

2. Immigration

Leon Wolf has covered Mitt's immigration flip-flop in some detail. Romney initially supported, and then later became a vocal foe of, the Bush/McCain-Kennedy approach to comprehensive immigration reform. (More here). As I noted in the last installment, he also never did squat about sanctuary cities in Massachusetts, an issue about which he now professes to be deeply offended to the point of calling for federal funding to be cut off to coerce such cities to drop their policies.

3. Guns

Alphecca has a look at Romney's shifts on gun control, having supported the assault weapons ban and Brady Bill in the past and gone from saying "I don't line up with the NRA" to becoming a card-carrying member. Mitt has changed his tune significantly on guns. (More here).

4. The Bush Tax Cuts

Romney's shift on taxes is perhaps more a matter of political strategy than a genuine alteration of his positions. Romney now campaigns in favor of making the Bush tax cuts permanent, but as recently as 2003, during the battle in Congress for the larger part of those cuts, he pointedly refused to support them - sending his press secretary out to say that he would not be taking a position on the issue - and signalled that he was open to supporting a federal gas tax hike, with both positions earning praise from Barney Frank.

One related issue that deserves a little discussion here as well is the minimum wage. Romney has been accused more than a few times by left and right alike (see here and here) of flip-flopping on the minimum wage, especially after he campaigned on a promise to raise the minimum wage in Massachusetts and then vetoed a bill to do just that in 2006. Romney does, however, appear to have been genuinely consistent from 1994 through 2007 in arguing that the minimum wage should be indexed to inflation to provide for annual increases, a position consistent with his veto of an increase from $6.75 to $8/hour and counter-proposal of $7/hour. Romney's position is anything but friendly to business and economic growth, but he has been consistent.

5. Campaign Finance Reform

In 1994, Romney was for a variety of campaign finance reforms (go to about 1:25 in this video), including spending limits, abolishing PACs, and gift limits:



Now, he's posing as a champion of free speech, penning op-eds against McCain-Feingold and cheering the Supreme Court for its WRTL decision striking in part a McCain-Feingold issue ad ban.

The Washington Post details the extent of Romney's transformation on this issue:

"MY FEAR," former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney said at the Republican debate this month, "is that McCain-Kennedy would do to immigration what McCain-Feingold has done to campaign finance and money in politics, and that's bad." Mr. Romney has turned campaign finance reform into one of his stump villains -- which represents a dramatic . . . turnabout from his days running for office in Massachusetts.

Massachusetts Romney called for spending limits on candidates and a 10 percent tax on campaign contributions for state elections to finance publicly funded campaigns. Massachusetts Romney wanted to abolish political action committees because they wield too much power, and he bemoaned the influence of money in politics.

This isn't just a flip since 1994, but since 2002:

The Hill reports that in 2002 Mitt Romney advocated radical campaign finance reform:

"Mr. Romney campaigned in favor of clean elections, which provides public money to candidates for state office who meet strict fundraising requirements," the Telegram & Gazette reported. "But he suggested an alternative funding method. Instead of providing campaign funds from state coffers, his plan would tap 10 percent of the fundraising of candidates who choose to raise money privately."

Romney advocated taxing political contributions to support candidates who stayed within spending limits.


It never ends.


Related Posts:

Obama Smear Campaign

Factcheck.org released its analysis of the smear campaigns against Obama floating around the internet in blogs, chat rooms, and e-mail forwards:

Sliming Obama
January 10, 2008

Dueling chain e-mails claim he's a radical Muslim or a 'racist' Christian. Both can't be right. We find both are false.

Summary

If these two nasty e-mail messages are any indication, the 2008 presidential campaign is becoming a very dirty one.

One claims that Obama is "certainly a racist" by virtue of belonging to Chicago's Trinity United Church of Christ, which it says "will accept only black parishoners" and espouses a commitment to Africa. Actually, a white theology professor says he's been "welcomed enthusiastically" at the church, as have other non-blacks.

Another e-mail claims that Obama "is a Muslim," attended a "Wahabi" school in Indonesia, took his Senate oath on the Koran, refuses to recite the Pledge of Allegiance and is part of an Islamic plot to take over the U.S. Each of these statements is false.

These false appeals to bigotry and fear remind us of the infamous whispering campaign of eight years ago, when anonymous messages just before the South Carolina primary falsely accused Republican candidate John McCain of fathering an illegitimate child by a black woman.

I've seen these and other provably false smears on-line quite a bit already. Bigots and racists and dirty political shills will stoop to anything.

The Experience Candidate



Of course with Biden and now Richardson dropping out, experience is pretty well out of the Democratic primary...

New Seal (Part II)

Heard some folks rehashing an old internet picture that had a crying baby front and center... here's a twist on the same image:




Original version of this joke image here:

Tuesday, January 08, 2008

McCain Spin Begins

McCain wins New Hampshire... and almost immediately it's being reported that he won because of independents and people are arguing that he has no chance among real conservatives in later primaries.

But is this true?

The exit polls show us:



McCain came in second with the overall conservative vote and third in the very conservative, just behind Huckabee.

But what do these numbers tell us?

  • McCain got the strongest support from independents and moderates than any other candidate. This is extremely helpful in general elections where independents and moderates make up a large portion of the general election voters.

  • McCain got the strongest support from Republicans than any other candidate.

  • McCain had more conservative supporters than moderate or liberal supporters.

  • In spite of what Rush Limbaugh and other pundits have claimed, a huge portion of "very conservative" voters came out for McCain and Huckabee.

  • Romney got the most support from "very conservative" voters but not from gun owners, not from religious voters, not from people who want to reduce the deficit, and didn't do significantly better on taxes, with McCain coming in a strong second in taxes.


A good win for McCain, no matter how much people attempt to spin the results to justify their attempts to paint McCain as a liberal.

They obviously despise McCain on previous disagreements that they cannot see beyond. Fortunately the voters clearly can. Even on immigration most voters opposed the more extreme views. And the ones that held the extreme views? They mostly voted for candidates labeled "weak" on immigration by the extremists.

The extremists are losing and will probably only get more desperate, more deceptive, more hysterical, and more spiteful than what we saw in New Hampshire with the Romney/Tancredo segment.

McCain Wins or Premature Call?

Fox News is now projecting McCain winning 37% to 28% over Romney with Huckabee and others trailing at 13% or less.

Problem is that only 12% of precincts are actually reporting... in Iowa they called it way early as well if you remember.

They're taking a big risk, imo, relying far too heavily on exit polls and computed odds while fully realizing that small odds exist that they could be completely off.

Not that I mind that McCain may have won. But I'd like to be a little certain before I get my hopes up or down.

Obama/McCain Early Leaders

Starting off well for Obama and McCain in the NH Early Voting:


Obama: 16
Edwards: 3
Hillary: 3
Richardson: 1

McCain: 10
Hucakbee: 5
Paul: 4
Romney: 3
Giuliani: 1


From the New Hampshire Union Leader:

12:30 am: Obama and McCain take early leads

By CLARKE CANFIELD
Associated Press Writer

Residents of two tiny towns stayed up late to give Barack Obama and John McCain early victories in the New Hampshire presidential primary.

Voters in two small New Hampshire villages, Dixville Notch and Hart's Location, cast the initial ballots just after midnight Tuesday.

In Hart's Location, Democrat Obama received nine votes, Hillary Rodham Clinton received three and John Edwards received one. On the Republican side, McCain received six, Mike Huckabee received five, Ron Paul received four and Mitt Romney one.

In Dixville Notch, on the Republican side, McCain received four votes, Mitt Romney two and Rudy Giuliani one. On the Democratic side, Obama received seven votes, John Edwards two votes and Bill Richardson one vote.


It's a nice start... be nice if the finish ended up similarly.


-- UPDATE 6:28 AM AND 8:15 AM--

Here's the [LATEST] polls going into the New Hampshire Primaries... McCain's lead got slimmed down a few points from yesterday... it could be a rough day:






Time to cross some fingers...

Obama Stomps Romney

Romney has been arguing that he is the best suited to take on Barak Obama than any other Candidate. But do the match-up polls reflect this? See for yourself:



It appears that the polling shows that Romney is the least likely to be able to beat Obama. In fact Obama stomps him in every recent poll.

So who has the best numbers versus Obama? You guessed it:



It doesn't appear that Obama is the "senator killer" Romney made out.

Why McCain?

One argument:

JohnMcCain.comNew Hampshire Union Leader: "His Record, His Character, And His Courage Show Him To Be The Most Trustworthy, Competent, And Conservative Of All Those Seeking The Nomination."

"What is most compelling about McCain, however, is that his record, his character, and his courage show him to be the most trustworthy, competent, and conservative of all those seeking the nomination. Simply put, McCain can be trusted to make informed decisions based on the best interests of his country, come hell or high water." (Joseph W. McQuaid, "John McCain Is The Man To Lead America," New Hampshire Union Leader, 12/2/07)


But take your pick:



JOHN McCAIN: "THE MAN TO LEAD AMERICA"

Over 20 New Hampshire Newspapers and 5 Iowa Newspapers have Endorsed John McCain For President

New Hampshire Newspapers Iowa Newspapers

Michigan

  • Detroit News: "The Detroit News Endorses McCain"
    • "[W]e believe Arizona Sen. John McCain is the candidate who is best qualified to lead the nation. ... McCain's longtime presidential ambitions are at last aligned with the needs of the nation." "
  • Detroit Free Press: "Sen. McCain Would Make Strongest GOP Nominee"

And you can always ask these guys:


Former Secretaries of State
Lawrence S. Eagleburger, Former Secretary of State
Alexander M. Haig, Former Secretary of State
Henry Kissinger, Former Secretary of State, New York
George P. Shultz, Former Secretary of State, California

Former Cabinet Secretaries
Jack Kemp, Former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Former U.S. Representative, New York
Robert Mosbacher, Former Secretary of Commerce, Texas
Peter Peterson, Former Secretary of Commerce, New York
Anthony Principi, Former Secretary of Veteran Affairs, Maryland
Former Governor Tom Ridge, Former Secretary of Homeland Security, Pennsylvania
James R. Schlesinger, Former Secretary of Defense

Former National Security Officials
Tom Kean, 9/11 Commission Chairman, New Jersey
Robert C. "Bud" McFarlane, Former National Security Advisor, Washington, DC
R. James Woolsey Jr., Former CIA Director
Robert Inman, Former National Security Advisor and Deputy Director of the CIA

Former Navy Secretaries
William Ball, Former Secretary of the Navy, South Carolina
John Lehman, Former Secretary of the Navy, New York

Former Ambassadors
Chuck Cobb, Former Ambassador, Florida
Sue Cobb, Former Ambassador, Florida
Fred Malek, Former Ambassador, Virginia
Ron Weiser, Former Ambassador, Michigan
Al Hoffman, Former Ambassador, Florida

FORMER POW'S
Commander Ed Alvarez, (ret), Maryland
Captain Mike Cronin USN (ret), Maryland
Colonel Bud Day, MOH USAF (ret), Florida
Commander Paul Galanti USN (ret), Virginia
Lt Colonel Orson Swindle USMC (ret), Virginia
Click here to read about more military Veterans who support John McCain and click here to read the endorsements of over 100 Admirals and Generals.

BUSINESS LEADERS
John Chambers, CEO of Cisco
Carly Fiorina, Former CEO of Hewlett-Packard
James Huffines, Banking Executive
Frederick W. Smith, CEO of FedEx
Dax Swatek, President of Swatek and Associates
John Thain, CEO of Merrill Lynch

ATTORNEYS GENERAL
Steve Carter, Indiana
Troy King, Alabama
Rob McKenna, Washington
Henry McMaster, South Carolina
Mark Shurtleff, Utah
Wayne Stenehjem, North Dakota

FIRST RESPONDERS FOR McCAIN
Sheriff Lee Baca, Los Angeles County Sheriff
John S. Dempsey, Captain, NYC Police Department (Ret.)
Tom Kean, Former 9/11 Commission Chairman
Frank Keating, Former Oklahoma Governor
Robert "Bud" McFarlane, Former National Security Advisor for President Ronald Reagan
Mr. Edward D. Mullins, President of the Sergeants Benevolent Association of New York City
Tom Ridge, Former Secretary of Homeland Security

U.S. SENATORS
Sam Brownback, Kansas
Richard Burr, North Carolina
Susan Collins, Maine
Lindsey Graham, South Carolina
Jon Kyl, Arizona
Joe Lieberman, Connecticut
Trent Lott, Mississippi
Gordon Smith, Oregon
Olympia Snowe, Maine
John Thune, South Dakota
John Warner, Virginia

FORMER U.S. SENATORS
Dan Coats, Indiana
Peter Fitzgerald, Illinois
Slade Gorton, Washington
Phil Gramm, Texas
Warren Rudman, New Hampshire
Mike DeWine, Ohio

U.S. REPRESENTATIVES
Spencer Bachus, Alabama
Mike Castle, Delaware
Lincoln Diaz-Balart, Florida
Mario Diaz-Balart, Florida
Jeff Flake, Arizona
Ric Keller, Florida
Mark Kirk, Illinois
Ray LaHood, Illinois
Steven LaTourette, Ohio
Dan Lungren, California
Todd Platts, Pennsylvania
Chip Pickering, Mississippi
Peter Roskam, Illinois
Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, Florida
John Shadegg, Arizona
Chris Shays, Connecticut
John Shimkus, Illinois
Fred Upton, Michigan

FORMER U.S. REPRESENTATIVES
Steve Bartlett, Texas
Jim Courter, New Jersey
Joseph J. DioGuardi, New York
Chuck Douglas, New Hampshire
Greg Ganske, Iowa
Tom Loeffler, Texas
Joe Schwartz, Michigan
Dick Zimmer, New Jersey

GOVERNORS
Mitch Daniels, Indiana
Jim Douglas, Vermont
Jon Huntsman, Utah
Tim Pawlenty, Minnesota

FORMER GOVERNORS
William Clements, Texas
Tom Kean, New Jersey
Frank Keating, Oklahoma
Jim Martin, North Carolina
John McKernan, Maine
Walter Peterson, New Hampshire
Tom Ridge, Pennsylvania
Buddy Roemer, Louisiana
Jane Swift, Massachusetts

Monday, January 07, 2008

Clintina



Don't cry for me Hillarina
The truth is I never liked you
All through Billy's days
Your mad persistence
Don't keep your promise.
This day's Obama's.

End the Absurdity

I was sick of writing about Romney days ago. But every time I think I've done the last post on this yahoo he says or does something completely dishonest or baffling, typically involving the candidate I support.

Yesterday was one of those days. After watching Romney's interview and debate comments I felt compelled to point out the deceptive tactics he was using in the debates. I was done. Then while searching for the debate transcripts to source my comments (still not available as of my last search) I stumbled across this gem on townhall.com:



Yeah, it was that bad.

I'm sorry I watched it because I'm once again compelled to right more about this scumbag.


What Romney Has Been Saying

A weekend of debates and interviews and advertisements where Romney said McCain supported amnesty, supported a form of amnesty, didn't technically support amnesty, didn't support the legal definition of amnesty, supported what Americans may informally refer to as amnesty, supported making all illegals permanent residents, making most illegals permanent residents, supported making some illegals permanent residents, supported giving illegals Social Security benefits, supported giving Social Security benefits to former illegals, that McCain's posture does is say all illegals could stay permanently, etc... numerous times of almost every explanation.

Romney has also been going back and forth on what his ads did or did not say, whether he even knows what his ads did or did not say, and even whether or not he supports amnesty... often with similar variations of qualifiers such as "technically" or "form of."

This is over the span of just two days, yes two days. And that's just what I noticed.

Almost all the other candidates have pointed out that it wasn't an amnesty, many of the interviewers have even pushed him about how he was trying to define amnesty, and McCain has been constantly attempting to correct him over it.

And now he's making a total ass out of himself to maintain this tortured blathering. Why in the Sam Hell would anyone go through this much crap instead of just saying what he thought?


The Need to Mislead

Because it would take away his buzzword: amnesty.

amnesty: the act of an authority (as a government) by which pardon is granted to a large group of individuals

Amazing how quickly a dictionary kills the argument. Romney may fully disagree that McCain's bill wasn't harsh enough, wasn't fair enough, etc but it sure as hell isn't an amnesty by any technical, legal, or dictionary definition of the word.

But admitting that would hurt Romney's buzzword and ability to mislead the public about what McCain supports. If he's taken it this far, he obviously isn't going to stop. Do we really want a Michael Moore candidate that will mislead, intentionally give false impressions, and outright lie to gain public confidence for himself or his policies? I certainly hope not.


But McCain Said (and guess who else)

Yes, yes, we've all heard the 2003 quotes of McCain talking about how a part or component of immigration reform would have to include amnesty for certain specific illegals who qualified. But that's not the plan he came up with and supported and it's not even what Romney is claiming McCain supports, i.e. amnesty for all or at least most illegals. Romney fans will let Romney define, re-define, re-re-define, etc what amnesty is or what McCain supported with the actual bill that came years later or today.

Someone dug up a couple older quotes where McCain appears to be contradicting what he said a couple years later and what he continues to support today, but lacking enough context to know what he meant by that (which if Romney has taught us anything could be about anything). We don't know if he misspoke, slipped up, etc.


What We Know

What we do know is that when McCain did come up with an immigration plan he supported in Congress, Romney called it reasonable and said it was not amnesty, though he did not feel the same way about the final bill later. Though Romney now erroneously refers to the original plan as a partial amnesty he still claims to think it was reasonable.

Wait, wait, wait...

Did I just say that Romney thought and still thinks that "amnesty for 10 percent, 20 percent of the illegal aliens" was reasonable?

Yes, yes I did. Because that's what he said yesterday to Chris Wallace.

This must be bad, because Romney makes amnesty sound bad, and his supporters think amnesty is bad... but since none of the above can figure out what an amnesty really is or is not, I can't really say why it's bad because I don't know what the hell they mean by it anymore. But we do know it's bad, according to them.

I'd hate to be Romney when Tom "Nuke 'em" Tancredo finds out he's endorsing an amnesty supporter like Romney.

Romney might not appreciate this goon calling him scary, a dangerous candidate, or someone to be feared yapping to the media every chance he gets.


Related Posts:

Technically True

Romney used those words to lessen the appearance of flip-flopping again in his attacks on John McCain when he was forced to admit that McCain never supported amnesty and the other candidates joined in agreement. I'm going to borrow his wording to defend him in this apparent flip-flop:



Notice that his defense was that he didn't suggest timed withdrawals for a certain date. It's technically true because he never specified a certain date. He sure as heck suggested timetables being part of the withdrawal plan though. Huckabee was right but Romney pulled some Michael Moore tactics while technically not lying about what he did not say, but certainly leaving the impression that he never said anything of the sort. Very deceptive.

This tactic is starting to get painfully tiresome.


Michael Moore Would Be Proud

It couldn't get much more blatant with the "amnesty" issue that Romney continues to bring up constantly in the debates, his ads, and through his immigration fear-mongering buddy, Tom "Nuke 'em" Tancredo.

In Saturday's debate Romney told McCain and the viewers, "I don't describe your plan as amnesty in my ad. I don't call it amnesty. What I say is -- and you just described what most people would say is a form of amnesty."

Now this statement may seem inherently contradictory about what he's said. But notice how he pins it on "what most people would say." Does it really matter what other people say if it isn't accurate as he pointed out earlier? Not really. But the wording allows him to call it amnesty without technically stating it as his own claim.

With his "contrast ads" which he describes as pointing out where the candidate's differ on their position he misrepresents McCain's view (admitting as much in the debate Sunday) and then "contrasts" that with his opposition of "amnesty." The direct implication is that McCain supports it and he opposes it. But does he call it that? No. He merely states what he opposes and leaves the viewer with the impression that it is something McCain supports. More Michael Moore style tactics.

And of course when Tancredo goes on the air and attacks McCain with outrageous accusations that isn't Romney saying it either. A deception trifecta.


But Did He Lie?

Why does he have to go through all of this to make these accusations but avoid any blame for saying it himself? Because as he openly stated in the debates, McCain didn't support an amnesty and what he did support Romney noted: "I saw your plan along with Senator Cornyn's plan and the Bush plan. I said they were all reasonable."

The problem with flip-flopping is it makes it really hard to trash people on the things you weren't so vehemently against years ago without making yourself look bad. As Romney exemplifies time and time again, he will use any amount of deception necessary to prevent further flip-flopping accusations and to keep them from sticking when they do happen.

Leaving a false impression with information that is technically true may not be a lie, but it sure as heck ain't honest. It's deceptive and misleading and absolutely intentional. If an honest and accurate portrayal of the facts doesn't help the Romney campaign get elected, it's probably because he shouldn't be elected.


-- UPDATE 1/7/2008 5:51AM --

I was wrong. Apparently they weren't talking about the ads I had seen before. Apparently they were talking about a newer ad. Romney wasn't just deceptive about earlier ads, he lied his butt off about a newer ad. He claims he never saw it, then waffles horribly when pressed on the issue:




Pathetic. Absolutely pathetic. Transcript link and further commentary here: here.


Related Posts:

Sunday, January 06, 2008

Toothless Hunting Dog

More on Romney's use of Tom "Nuke 'em" Tancredo to literally frighten the hell out of people about John McCain. I found another great fear mongering quote from after the debates last night by Tancredo in the Boston Globe:

"'I have to be honest. I felt great about no longer being a candidate every moment until the immigration debate came up tonight,' said Tancredo who was in the debate spin room for Mitt Romney. 'John McCain is the most dangerous candidate out there.'"

I'm not sure if Romney's use of this scumbag to do his dirty work is more desperate or more pathetic.

The Chicago Tribune had a great appraisal of this situation yesterday:

So Tom Tancredo, a backbench congressman who appears to live only to bully immigrants, ran a commercial that claimed, "Islamic terrorists now freely roam U.S. soil," and ended with a backpack exploding in a shopping mall. The Colorado Republican congressman's "Before-it's-too-late" campaign to terrorize us into electing him president was thankfully interrupted by his withdrawal from the race, but Tancredo endorsed Mitt Romney on the way out.

Romney was a worthy recipient of the Tancredo mantle because Romney ran commercials that aired more than 12,000 times, mostly in Iowa and New Hampshire, promising to be rough and tough when it comes to illegal immigration. Romney used the debates and his commercials to blast his challengers, John McCain, Rudy Giuliani and Huckabee, for being soft on illegal immigrants. (All the while, Romney suffered from that peculiar hypocritical blindness that this issue seems to engender. Romney, it turns out, once employed a landscaper who used undocumented workers to landscape Romney's stately Massachusetts home. Romney continued to use the landscaping firm after that was reported, but dismissed the company when it was caught a second time using undocumented gardeners.)

...

This is consistent with national polling. In 20 of 22 separate public opinion polls conducted between March and December, somewhere between 55 percent and 83 percent of the respondents favored some form of earned legal status. In the remaining two polls, the majority favored this option.

Immigrant bashing just does not move votes. The 2006 elections were a disaster for anti-immigrant demagoguery. Not only did the issue fail to stave off the Republican loss of the House and Senate, but leading Republican anti-immigrant campaigners such as Reps. J.D. Hayworth of Arizona and John Hostettler of Indiana and Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania all lost their races. And in a telling portent of the future, Latino support for the GOP dropped to 26 percent from 44 percent.

...

Is there a take-home lesson that Republican leaders and politicians should learn from Iowa? Yes. Voters are concerned about our broken immigration system, but they want sensible solutions, not just loud barks from a toothless hunting dog.

The "toothless hunting dog" seemed to come from his lies about being a lifelong hunter, mentioned earlier in the article.

Saturday, January 05, 2008

Romney in Bed with Scum

From the NY Daily News:

YO, AMIGO! ROMNEY TAPS TANCREDO

It’s worth noting that on the eve of the big debate here in New Hampshire, Team Romney rolled out also-ran Tom Tancredo, the hardline Colorado congressman whose entire – albeit pretty brief – presidential campaign was based on one issue: Stopping illegal immigration.

The Romney campaign sent out a special reminder to reporters about the news conference, at which Tancredo and law enforcement officials were to "contrast Gov. Romney's record and proposals to end illegal immigration with that of other candidates."

It was a direct shot at rival John McCain, who angered a lot of Republicans by advancing an immigration reform plan that some people called an amnesty program: "John McCain is not simply part of the problem. John McCain is the reason we have the problem," sniped Tancredo at the presser, according to a transcript provided by the Romney campaign.

Tancredo is the candidate who boycotted last month’s Spanish-language GOP forum broadcast by Univision from the University of Miami, saying it’s unfair for people to think they can participate in the American political process if they can’t communicate in English.

I noted in an earlier post that Tancredo was endorsing and shilling for Romney against McCain earlier this week literally trying to scare people away from McCain talking about how much he "feared" him and how "scary" he is several times.

This is the first time I've heard evidence that Romney was not only complacent about being backed by one of the most repugnant candidates of the race (fortunately he has dropped out). If you'll recall this was the guy who claimed that immigrants threatened the survival of American culture in the most dire terms and went as far as suggesting NUKING holy cities which resulted in the State Department having to do damage control and condemn his remarks as "outrageous and reprehensible" and "absolutely crazy."

Not the kind of guy you want to associate with to do your dirty work for you.

Romney's attacks on McCain didn't seem to help him much at all in the debate as McCain threw his "amnesty" accusations back at him, with Fred Thompson and Rudy Giuliani backing him, that forced Romney to admit that McCain did not support an amnesty. This included Romney being quoted as calling such a plan "reasonable" at the time.

Memorable Moments

There were a couple great moments that knocked Romney back a bit and even got him to literally squirm in his chair at times:

  • Romney asking McCain not to characterize his views elicited this response from Huckabee: "Which one?"

  • Romney started explaining how he was the candidate of change. McCain stated they finally agreed on something!

  • Even the moderator got in on the action as he was going through the alleged position changes of all the candidates. When he got to Romney he just said there were too many to list.

  • Giuliani whipped out a big zinger against Romney's Reagan credentials while pointing out that if Reagan was running that Romney would be running equally nasty attack ads against him over immigration.


Winners


Huckabee probably had the best evening of all the candidates. He talked about foreign policy and actually pulled off sounding like he knew what he was talking about, a drastic shift from some of his earlier gaffes. He overwhelmingly stayed positive and explained his positions well without any gaffes or getting hung up by any arguments.

Ron Paul did well on explaining his views, even though he got pounced on once again for his foreign policy views being surrounded by so many people who disagree with him. Thompson did alright on explaining issues outside of an obnoxious cough and inability to appear remotely enthusiastic to be there.

So-So

McCain was probably a bit too aggressive on Romney in spite of the moves generally being defensive. He also seemed to get hung up trying to explain how the free market could help in the health care system. Getting drugs from Canada was may have been a bad suggestion given that conservatives have been defending Bush on the issue so strongly, but it may go over well with independents. Overall he held his own and I'm probably being overcritical since I want him to do a great job and win.

Rudy didn't have a very strong presence tonight but appeared to defend himself well and aided in the sniping against Romney at a couple key moments, which of course made me happy.

Big Loser

I know I'm biased but other commentators made similar comments that Romney was probably the big loser of the debate. His attacks on McCain got him ganged up on by other candidates and defense by none forcing him to back down. He was getting sniped about his dishonesty and flip-flopping from all sides, even the moderator. He got cornered on his health insurance policies by the moderator and dodged and weaved to avoid answering his question about how he would compel everyone to buy health insurance over certain incomes... eventually claiming he'd work with State governments to pull it off.

At times Romney literally squirmed in his seat and had difficulty responding to the sniping. He tried to pull the "nice guy" routine in asking that they not make things personal. A plea that falls on deaf ears to anyone who knows he has one of the biggest scumbags viciously attacking his main opponent on the sly.

The deception, dishonesty, dirty tactics, and scumbag minion will eventually destroy his campaign.


-- UPDATE 1/6/2007 6:48 AM --

Made a couple corrections in the highlights after checking with the transcript to double check my memory. Had attributed a comment to Huckabee instead of Giuliani and noted a McCain statement was made but not with an immediate interruption. Hopefully those two goofs were the only ones.

--UPDATE 1/6/2007 6:01 PM --

Transcript links for the GOP and Democrats.

Surge Continues

McCain and Huckabee are both getting a boost after the Iowa results. Romney is still declining. From Real Clear Politics:



Looking good for McCain so far. Romney may or may not figure out that his dishonesty doesn't pay... but as we learned today, certainly not yet.

Another Romney Flip-Flop

From the CNN Ticker:

(CNN) – Republican John McCain’s campaign responded to a statement by rival Mitt Romney that there was "no way" the Arizona senator could claim to be a candidate of change by sending reporters a 2002 quote in which he said McCain “has always represented change.”

“There’s no way that Sen. McCain is going to be able to come to New Hampshire and say that he’s the candidate that represents change — that he’ll change Washington. He is Washington,” Romney said on the campaign trail Friday.

Shortly afterwards, the McCain camp circulated comments Romney made when he was running for governor of Massachusetts more than five years ago.

“One of the reasons the people of America honor Sen. McCain and why I'm so proud to have him standing with me today is that he has brought American values to the debate on the issues we care about,” Romney said at the time. “He has always stood for reform and change.”

That's just precious.

In response to getting busted out again for flip-flopping and deception, the Romney campaign noted that John McCain described Romney as having "honesty and integrity" around the same time.

Is that evidence of a flip-flop too? Yes, for Romney... who is no longer exhibiting any signs of "honesty or integrity."

Pointing to McCain's description of Romney before and after Romney's flip-flops as being McCain's flip-flops is just absurd. Romney's problems with honesty are a newly discovered and growing problem as is detailed here and on/in CNN, Fox, Boston Herald, Boston Globe, Washington Post twice, Anderson Cooper, Newsweek, Time Magazine, The NH Union Leader, The Concord Monitor, and numerous other examples in these and other media outlets.

Un-fairtax

With fairtax proponent Mike Huckabee winning the GOP Iowa caucus, there has been a bit more buzz on net over what the fairtax is or isn't. The most obvious first place to look is the fairtax.org website which has all sorts of information and even a personal calculator to see how proponents say it will affect you.

But it would probably be a very good idea to counter balance that information and calculator with the Factcheck.org article on the fairtax. Some consider it to be biased against the fairtax but I'm sure people can decide on their own the merits of their information and conclusions. One thing we can say for certain is that fairtax.org is certainly biased for the fairtax and their calculator reflects many of the inherent assumptions pointed out in the factcheck.org article.

  • One basic concept with the fairtax is that it is revenue neutral for the government, i.e. the government still gets the same amount of money as it does under the current system.

  • One way or another we will be paying the same amount in taxes, even though they may be more apparent (i.e. not hidden or mixed with current purchase prices due to corporate taxes and such).

  • If some taxpayers end up paying less, other taxpayers will end up having to pay more, otherwise it won't be revenue nuetral as claimed. This may be offset a bit by reducing some bureaucratic costs but to what degree remains unclear.


I'd argue that the fairtax.org calculator is inherently biased and inaccurate since you can pretty much put in any scenario and end up paying less in taxes according to it. But somehow this tax system is supposed to make hidden taxes apparent and still raise the same revenue? "If it sounds too good to be true, it usually is."

Perhaps only someone evading income taxes, legally or illegally, would see any negative results from the fairtax.org calculator? Their taxes will obviously go up under the fairtax. But will this disproportionately affect the middle and lower income households who currently get various tax credits and/or deductions or the very small percentage of high income tax earners who "cheat" the system with various tax shelter schemes?

Another major concern of mine is that veterans benefits do not appear to be addressed anywhere on the fairtax.org site or by anyone pushing this taxing system. The proposed bill doesn't seem adjust compensation for disabled veterans or any other currently untaxed compensation.

Unfair Tax or just Unclear Tax?

As far as I can tell the fairtax proposal is a "too good to be true" proposal that raises taxes on lower incomes, lowers taxes on higher incomes, screws disabled veterans and probably many others, and being pushed by people who either can't explain it, don't understand it, or are intentionally being deceptive about it. Perhaps I just haven't heard the right explanation yet? I'm a good student with an open mind, so I'd hope that if this is actually a reasonable proposal that someone can convince me.

In the mean time I'm going to continue supporting tax cuts for all incomes and reductions in federal spending to ensure a balanced federal budget.

Friday, January 04, 2008

Missing Precincts?

I've noticed that almost nobody has updated their vote totals for the Iowa GOP caucus past 95-96% of total precincts reporting. CNN and the Des Moines Register both have not updated for the last 80 or so precincts almost 24 hours later.

It's starting to cause some conspiracy theories on Ron Paul blogs. That's the last thing we want, even more conspiracy theories from these guys to spam us with.

I noticed that the Iowa GOP website has more complete totals, closer to 99.6% precincts reporting which I totaled here:



No major changes, which may explain why media sources didn't bother to update. But it seemed very odd that so many didn't even think people would notice or possibly be confused or frustrated over the lack of updates.

It still leaves a similar question remaining but instead of asking where the last 4% of precincts are, it'd still be nice to know where the last 0.4% are.

Romney Still Full Of Mitt

Well the day after Mitt Romney's hopes of an Iowa victory were dashed by Huckabee, some claiming partly due to Romney's negative campaigning... Romney goes right back to his typical deceptive and dishonest tactics.

The Spin

On Fox News this morning Romney started off with deception... attempting to paint the Iowa results as a setback for McCain, but not for himself. This could be chalked up to a mere difference of opinion (that just happens to contradict with almost everyone else's impression) if it wasn't for the fact that Romney further attempted to paint his second place finish as beating and being able to beat candidates who were obviously focusing on other primary states. Not a lie, but hardly an honest portrayal to claim victory over those who weren't really competing with him here.

Granted such spin isn't completely verboten, but for a candidate dealing with some serious honesty issues according to major television and print media outlets nationally, in Iowa, New Hampshire, and even his home State... you'd think he'd be a bit more candid.

I'll let his complaints about McCain being a Washington insider slide in spite of his own prior criticisms of McCain being a maverick. It's not a direct contradiction, but enough of one to be absurd on its face without necessitating further comment.

Rehashing Prior Lies

But it went beyond this spin and right back into full fledged lies. Once again he brought up the immigration lie about what McCain supports. Not skipping a beat to get right back into the negative campaigning. He also went back to his deception by omission on McCain's tax record.

He then had the audacity to whine about McCain's personal attacks against him, feigning victimization and near-disbelief over it. The ad in question was a response to Romney's dishonesty in his so-called comparative ads which noted that media outlets, even in Romney's own backyard, were pointing out Romney was honesty-challenged.

(To point out all the media outlets pointing out Romney's truth handicap would have required too much time for a single ad though: CNN, Fox, Boston Herald, Boston Globe, Washington Post twice, Anderson Cooper, Newsweek, Time Magazine, The NH Union Leader, The Concord Monitor, and numerous other examples in these and other media outlets.)

But that's just McCain's personal attack... *cough*

The Tancredo Technique

Romney's lies on McCain's immigration views make a lot more sense to me now though. Why would he lie about something that can be easily verified as untrue? With the immigration issue it appears specifically geared towards frightening people who are truly concerned about the immigration issue to believe the absolute worst about McCain. And I do mean frighten.

How can I say frighten, you may ask? Tancredo was the infamous xenophobic candidate who not only suggested nuking holy cities (resulting in the state department having to do damage control) but also used numerous scare tactics to gain support on the immigration with prophecies of extermination of American culture and being bred out of the majority.

He's now endorsing and shilling for Mitt Romney. While doing so last night in an interview he made sure to describe McCain as "scary" several times. It appears that Romney is taking some lessons from the master of fear mongering on immigration, his new ally, Tom "Nuke 'em" Tancredo.

Just when I thought it was impossible for me to lose any more respect for Romney...

McCain gets endorsed by well over a hundred generals and admirals, former Secretaries of State, former Secretaries of Commerce, former Secretaries of the Navy, former Secretaries of Homeland Security and Veterans Affairs, nearly every major newspaper so far, as well as many many others.

Romney gets endorsed by one of the most repugnant candidates of the race and starts embracing immigration fear tactics with his help.

This Deception Will Not Stand, Man!

It's a good thing for Mitt that foreign policy experience isn't important in today's chaotic world and that dirty underhanded deception, flat out lies, and fear mongering haven't damaged his chances much... yet.

Hopefully that changes, and soon.

Thursday, January 03, 2008

Ron Paul in Iowa



Yeah, he did better than the polling by a smidge... but still ended up in between the two candidates who were barely campaigning in the State... and hardly the shock and awe promised by his devout minions.

This response was great:

"If you look closely, you can see that Ron Paul's blimp was actually shot down by a black helicopter."

Classic... though no one has ruled out that it was an inside job...

Iowanna Vote

Iowa starts caucusing today. Here's a snapshot of the polls this morning, compliments of Real Clear Politics:





It'll be interesting to see how the results match up after all is said and done. With all the undecideds, the variances in organizational schemes, and the motivation of various candidates' supporters... I'm betting that there may be a surprise or two at least.

Wednesday, January 02, 2008

Time To Act

"The White House is holding $3.7 billion in 'emergency' veterans' funding that must be released by January 18."

From VA Watchdog.org (contact info follows):

VFW Legislative Alert

Ask the [President and Congress] to Release Veterans Funding

Background:

The large funding bill that Congress sent to the president's desk included a sizeable $2.9 billion increase for veterans health care and benefits. There is an additional $3.7 billion in potential veterans funding - funding that would fully meet the needs laid out by the VFW as part of the Independent Budget. VA will receive this funding, however, only if the president declares it "emergency spending." Without that declaration, VA will not get that additional increase.

Action Needed:

You must contact the president to ask him to release the "emergency" funding for VA.

I'd also insert the need to ask your Representatives and Senators to make the same demand here.
The current increase, while appreciated, is not enough, and VA must have the additional $3.7 billion to fully meet the needs of veterans.

The additional $3.7 billion (for a total increase of $6.6 billion) would allow VA to:

  • Hire additional claims processors and train staff to reduce the ever-growing disability claims backlog
  • Treat the tens of thousands of returning service members who put their lives on the line in Iraq and Afghanistan, providing them with all the health care they need, including full mental health coverage and treatment for traumatic brain injuries and other war-related illnesses and disabilities.
  • Care for the hundreds of thousands of sick and disabled veterans from other conflicts, particularly as many of them grow older
  • Begin construction and improve maintenance on a number of VA health care facilities, expanding access and ensuring that veterans receive care in clean, safe, and comfortable locations that meet their needs.
Additional info from CQ, Chesterton Tribune, and the Washington Post.


Local Contact Information:

Tim Johnson's Contact Page

Senator Barak Obama's Contact Page

Senator Dick Durbin's Contact Page

How to contact the president:

Letters:

The White House
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue NW
Washington, DC 20500

Email: comments@whitehouse.gov

Phone: 202-456-1111
Fax: 202-456-2461

For non-locals:

Your representatives and their contact information can be found at Project Vote Smart by entering in your zip code.

Word Wars: The Maverick Strikes Back

McCain's campaign put out this ad in response to the recent comments by Romney that foreign policy experience isn't important in our current global situation:



With an associated fact sheet available here on his campaign website (the NY Post editorial analyzing the various candidates' responses to the Bhutto assassination definitely being worth the read: "That left John McCain as the one candidate who seems to understand that a sound Pakistan policy requires something more than glib slogans.").

But is Romney correct in saying a candidate running for the office of President, the Commander-in-Chief of the armed forces and Chief of State for foreign policy and foreign relations, has no need of foreign policy experience... that it isn't even a measure in selecting a president?

He's correct that one shouldn't be required to be a foreign policy "expert" as even most experts in foreign policy are specialized in a particular nation or region though years of intense focus on studying that specialization. A Presidential candidate has far more other issues to deal with to specialize on a single aspect of the job. The President has multiple resources through various agencies and his own advisers to ensure that he is kept up to speed on the information available, true on almost any other aspect of the job.

But not being an "expert" isn't the same as not needing at least a solid general understanding.

That general understanding becomes critical at times when many policy decisions will involve foreign affairs, such as:

  • Being in the middle of two military conflicts that depend heavily on cooperation from many other nations as well as preventing negative interference by many other nations.

  • When there are numerous problems that could destabilize governments and economies around the world that both our economy as well as our other trading partners and allies depend on.

  • While we're attempting to prevent numerous conflicts from emerging that could lead to such instability.

  • And while continuing to work with allies, strategic allies, and even unfriendly nations and governments to ensure that subnational groups are thwarted in their attempts to attack our interests and cause the same kind of instability.


Now Romney may be right that an "expert" isn't required for this job as there will be a team of real experts to help. But if a candidate has a strong understanding of the foreign affairs of the nation already it is certainly a strong plus given that he won't need a crash course on every issue or crisis during his presidency.

Perhaps if we were in state of peace, with few threats to stability around the world that could affect us then a smart candidate will have the luxury of playing catch up. But the current wars, conflicts, and dangers aren't going to go on break while the next President tries to catch up.

We have no choice but to switch horses mid-stream in this election... term limits (among other things) have our current horse stuck in the mud. That doesn't mean we should jump on to an untrained horse that we'll have to train in the middle of the stream to get across before we drown. We want that trained horse that already knows how to get across that stream.

McCain has been dealing with foreign policy issues for decades and his experience shows through his words and policies. He has the endorsement of one of the greatest minds in US foreign policy, Henry Kissinger. In today's rough waters, McCain's the horse to bet on.


-- UPDATE 2:18 PM --

McCain released another ad at roughly the same time as the one above on the same topic:



It highlights Romney's pathetic attempt to discount one of the major advantages of one of his rivals in an area where he is weak and obviously lacks understanding. But at least it's not Another Romney Lie. That's just getting old, and fast.