Monday, July 06, 2009

The Afghan Offensive and Michael Jackson

In case you haven't heard (the media is a little busy with other serious matters at the moment) there is a major offensive going on in Afghanistan right now and we have been suffering some limited casualties in the process. Obviously the media would be reporting on this if there wasn't something far more critical to the American people going on:


(Click on the image to enlarge it enough to see that they do at least mention something happening in Afghanistan.)

TIME magazine on-line had an interesting article describing the different approach being implemented in our current offensive:

So far, so good in the first major offensive of President Barack Obama's war in Afghanistan. For the past four days, 4,000 U.S. Marines and 650 Afghan soldiers have been fighting their way into the southern reaches of Afghanistan's Helmand River valley, hoping to clear out insurgents there. But other than in one limited area of fierce resistance, the fighting has generally been restricted to small-scale skirmishes in which few Taliban have been killed because most of the insurgents appear to have slipped away — as guerrillas tend to do when confronted by overwhelming firepower. More important to U.S. goals, however, is that no civilians have been hurt, since the purpose of the operation is to secure the local population against the Taliban.

...

Aware of the danger, McChrystal has made the protection of civilians the central tenet of his new approach to fighting the Taliban, even going so far as to limit the use of aerial bombardment to the most extreme circumstances — a turnabout for U.S. ground forces that have grown dependent on air support. McChrystal has also declared — in a soon-to-be-released tactical directive — that soldiers should hold their fire if there is even the slightest risk of a civilian presence in the target zone. "Suppose the insurgent occupies an enemy home or village and engages you from there with the clear idea that when you respond, you are going to create collateral damage," explains McChrystal. "He's going to blame that on you. Even if you kill the insurgents, what happens is you have made the insurgency wider. You are going to run into more IEDs. You are going to run into more insurgents, [and] at the end of the day, you are going to suffer more casualties."

As of today CNN is reporting some of the results of this new strategy of avoiding bad PR as part of the military strategy and tactics:

After the Marines began taking fire from insurgents in the town of Khan Neshin, in south Afghanistan near the Helmand River, the militants ran into a multiple-room compound, the U.S. military said.

Unsure of whether civilians were inside the compound, the Marines had an interpreter talk to the insurgents, said an official who asked not to be named because he was not authorized to speak publicly. After some time, a number of women and children left the compound, the military official said.

The released hostages told the Marines that there were no more civilians inside the compound, Pelletier said. But the Marines held their fire anyway, the official said. About 4 p.m. (7:30 a.m. ET), in the midst of the standoff, another group of women and children emerged from the compound, the official said. The Marines continued to hold their fire and wait out the insurgents, the official said.

Finally, a screaming woman emerged from the compound with a bullet wound to her hand, Pelletier said. Then, another group of women came out, covered from head to toe according to custom, he said, with a couple of children in tow. The Marines attended to the wounded woman while the others walked away.
Don't Miss

When the Marines went into the compound, they discovered that it empty, Pelletier said. That's when they realized the fighters had dressed up as women to escape, he said.

Hopefully this embarrassing example will not end up typifying our newly sculpted efforts there. Taliban and al Qaeda elements sending out the women and children only for it to turn out those women and children are helping the enemy gain more collateral damage by leaving some "martyrs" behind to hurt American PR. Or Taliban sneaking out of harms way by pretending to be innocent bystanders.

This new strategy has accepted as fact, even though begrudgingly, that the onus is now on us to ensure the safety of civilians that the Taliban and al Qaeda elements intentionally put in harms way... instead of the blame logically and realistically going the other way around.

The policy seems well intentioned, but in the end appears to play right into the enemy's hands in their attempts to build international pressure on us to restrain our forces and give their fighters an advantage in their asymmetrical warfare.

The whole mess has me very damn worried for our men out there who should be the tip of the spear, not the diplomatic pen. Leave the PR to the bureaucrats.

Sunday, July 05, 2009

Comic Relief: Health Care Amendment

To help Obama out with his health care proposal and make it more tolerable to the public in general, I'm suggesting an amendment that makes new requirements for nurses and their uniforms:





I think I'm already running a little bit of a fever.

(images from Scavenge Costumes & Lingerie)

Tuesday, June 30, 2009

Toys for Troops Revving Up Again

From gnightgrl's blog on the 3rd season of the project:

What is most important about this update, and what continues to amaze me is this: I received the names of 27 soldiers this week that wanted beanies or could use a care package or a letter from home. I put out a shout out with that fact on Facebook, and enough people stepped forward that there was a care package heading out to each of those names...in 2 hours' time. Cookies and letters were mailed that same day!

I have always told the soldiers on our mailing list that people here want to do something to help out, and that all we need is a little direction: A name, an address will usually do it. I will be proud to be able to send them yet another letter telling them about the great 2-hour accomplishment, and that "we mean it, now! Give us your name and tell us what you need!"

There are soldiers out there busting their asses in desert heat, missing their families, and checking empty mailboxes.

We can't have that.

I have names. I have addresses. I have suggestions.

ljstewart@gmail.com

Hit me up. I'll help you help.

If you're unfamiliar with this project, check out their website at http://www.toys-for-troops.com/ and see it for yourself.

Thursday, June 25, 2009

Solidarity - Updated



An interesting live-blog of the protests thus far available here. Today's live blog only here.


Updated on Sunday, June 28, 2009 with a new link for the daily liveblogging on Iran. The one I used before tried to load way too much at once and seemed to be causing problems. The new link, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/tag/iran-liveblogging, allows people to click on any specific day including today's post.

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Oh Fox...

The latest in a long line of "innocent mistakes":



We can add this to their many "innocent mistakes" that follow and interesting trend (compliments of DU.com):











Though as my previous posts on cable news and media bias in general show, they're hardly alone in being unprofessional yahoos.

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Iranian Proxy Wars

Really amazing look at some of the internet pathways the Iranians are using to get information out to the outside world amidst the government clampdown on information:

Here's a geographic visualization of the proxies, drawn in Google Earth. In the first one, we've drawn Iran in green, with some of their domestic network sketched in white, and their major international connections drawn in red. Each of the colored arcs represents a single open web proxy; they are "fountaining" out of a cable landing or Internet traffic exchange point that makes approximate sense for their Iranian Internet routing. For example, all of the web proxies in Europe are drawn from the Marseilles termination of the Sea-Me-We-4 cable. The web proxies in Turkey are drawn in light blue, radiating from Ankara, where the Iran-Turkey gas pipeline passes through on its way from Bazargan. Those unusual Iranian proxies emerge from Tehran, and so forth.

third_2.png

If we rotate the globe, you can see how the countries of Asia are doing their part to keep the bits flowing in Iran. India, China, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, and Japan are all visible sources of web proxy activity.

third_3.png


I'd like to be able to say that these maps are a measure of the strength of the democratic impulse and volunteer spirit in all the countries of the world. But that might be a stretch. You see, looked at another way, an open proxy is a security hole, something you might find in a machine that's been compromised, or at the very least, badly administered. Security purists think of them as the "unlocked gun cabinet" of the Internet — a resource for anyone who wants to abuse a website, commit fraud, cover their tracks.


They had a more global map that shows the large role US proxies are playing in getting around the censors:

world_proxies.png


Just thought I'd share.

Monday, June 22, 2009

Comic Relief: Taunting Hippies

A little gem from the inbox linking to a photog that appears to be dedicated to passive aggresiveness:

soyfuckers anonymous

Nice!

Veterans Checks Being Sent Out

Got the best kind of confirmation on the matter today as I was checking my bank balance and saw the latest direct deposit for the $250 Recovery Act/Stimulus payments for eligible veterans.

I had seen some comments on other threads from Saturday with folks stating they had just received theirs but not by anyone I could personally confirm with or personally knew.

If you haven't received your payment yet and you were notified that you were eligible by the VA, the deadline remains June 30th, but I'd stay on the look out for the direct deposit or check in the mail (depending on how you normally receive your VA checks) this week. As far as I know everyone who has called to inquire about the checks has been given the same routine as the letter and told that they need to wait until July 10th without receiving payment to inquire as to what went wrong. If you have that kind of patience, great, but be prepared to get brushed off until then if you do call.

Previous post with further information on the questions raised by vets on when exactly these payments were going out (many of whom are hitting hard financial times just as many Americans are lately) is available here: Veterans Checks by June 30th?

Sunday, June 21, 2009

Two Views on Iran and Obama's Distance

Both articles below are worth the full read, imo, especially for those who are still weighing their own views on the matter and debating what may result if the movement fails and we did too little, or if doing too much dooms it to failure.

The first is from BBC News and takes a more favorable view of Obama's caution:

Despite some debate within the administration and vocal criticism of President Obama by Republicans accusing him of being weak for failing to taking a strong moral stand, there is generally a sense the White House has chosen the right tone so far - one it has carefully developed based on close consultations with Iran experts, inside and outside the administration.

The challenge has been threefold:

  • keeping faith with the hundreds of thousands of Iranians who have taken to the streets without undermining their credibility in a country where the US is routinely called the "great Satan"
  • condemning the violence used to quell the protesters without cutting off all chances of talks with Iran should the current leadership remain in power
  • maintaining a cautious tone in referring to the protesters without ending up on the wrong side of history should the opposition emerge on top at the end of the struggle

The measured approach and offer of talks, which was repeated this week, may have also been highly unnerving for Iran's hardliners, who are more used to hostility from the West and whose positions were solidified during the Bush administration, which included Iran in the "axis of evil".

"In offering negotiation and conciliation, [President Obama] has put the region's extremists on the defensive," wrote Senator John Kerry in the New York Times on Thursday.


The article went on to give Obama partial credit for the creation of a situation where the Iranian people had a stronger opportunity to unite against the regime:

Authoritarian regimes often use outside threats, real or perceived, to rally their people around and silence internal dissent.

President Ahmadinejad's core appeal as the man defending Iran and standing up to the West was suddenly undermined by Washington's repeated calls for dialogue and gestures such as President Obama's message for Iranian New Year and invitations to Iranian diplomats to attend 4 July celebrations held by US embassies around the world.

''Whereas the Bush administration united Iran's disparate political factions against a common threat, Obama's overtures have accentuated the deep divisions and incongruities among Iran's political elites,'' said Karim Sadjadpour, an Iran expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.


An interesting opposing view on the situation comes from Dr. Walid Phares of Fox News:

But how will the Khomeinist “war room” break up the uprising? What is their plan?

One would assume that after a thorough review of the real opposing forces on the ground, and after having secured what they believe is a solid allegiance by the Pasdaran and Bassij commanders along with assurances they may have obtained that Iran’s armed forces will remain distant from the crackdown, the regime will proceed in several directions:

- Put pressure on Musavi and the leading reformer figures such as Rafsanjani and Khatemi

-Deploying the militias and security forces across the capital and in other cities

- Taking back Tehran block after block while trying to avoid an international media backlash

- Arrest and neutralize student and civil society leaders; and at the same time, insure that Western Government, particularly the United States would remain distant from “meddling in Iran’s business.”

...

But is it true that a strong U.S. position in favor of the Iranian democracy movement would create a backlash against America? The reality is that those who are advancing this argument are in fact trying to shield the Iranian regime in the West. The Khomeinist propaganda machine is unleashing all doubts possible about international support to the demonstrators. In fact, the tipping point against the ayatollahs’s militias is precisely a world outcry in defense of the uprising. Presently there are no neutral Iranians who could be irritated by American or Western verbal support to democracy in Iran. The argument is inserted in the debate to confuse the public and mollify outside solidarity. What can shift the ground against the oppressive Pasdaran is precisely this, if a wide majority of Iranians feel the international community is, at least morally, on their side.

As for myself, I personally feel that both views have at least some validity but without a better understanding of the variables at hand (made nearly impossible with the media clamp down) it's difficult to say which is the most accurate gauge of the situation and thus recommends the wiser approach.

Neda...

From CNN.com:

Amid the hundreds of images and videos of Saturday's brutal crackdown on protesters in Iran that flooded the Internet, it was the graphic video showing the death of a young woman that touched a nerve among those following the events in Tehran for more than a week.

Like most of the information coming out of Tehran, it is impossible to verify her name, Neda, or the circumstances of her apparent death, captured close-up on a bystander's camera.

CNN ran a pixilated version of the video, which was posted on YouTube. It shows a woman in jeans and white sneakers collapsed on the street, as the person with the camera -- most likely from a cell phone -- runs toward her and focuses on her face.

One blogger posted that Neda was protesting with her father in Tehran when pro-government Basiji militia opened fire and shot her in the heart.

I believe this youtube video is the one the CNN article is referring to. Warning shouldn't be necessary here, but this video appears to show the tragic death of a young woman shot through the heart. If you don't think you can stomach that, don't click it.



Though it may be impossible to confirm this story in the near future given the chaos and media restrictions right now, it appears that, at least for now, this young woman will have become a martyr for the dissident's cause regardless. Even small steps towards freedom, such as demanding more influence in one's own governance, is not without its casualties... especially against tyrannical regimes. It's never easy to bear though.

Friday, June 19, 2009

Comic Relief: Deficits Matter

One of the big complaints by the GOP right now are deficits. Which has been matched with complaints right back from Democrats about their own deficit spending and hypocrisy:



Of course the tables have turned and now it's the Democrats doing even more annual deficit spending than they were complaining about in the years before. So to make a slightly more comprehensive political cartoon on the subject, I shamelessly photochopped the above one with another one:



Seems a bit closer to the truth, in my opinion.

Thursday, June 18, 2009

Comic Relief: Worst Job Ever

I'm still not ready to comment either way on the Iranian election protests. I support the inalienable right of all people for self-government, but I'm still on the fence as to whether Obama is being reasonably cautious or overly cautious in keeping our official tone low key on the subject. I've been endlessly frustrated with the arguments that too strong of a showing of support will undermine the movement there and perhaps even result in a swift and brutal crushing by the regime. Not because those arguments aren't without merit, but because it's quite possible that they're right.

Regardless of the official US stance though I believe the American people should stand in solidarity with Iranians who want something closer to self-government, a concept that exists at the very foundation of our national heritage.

As for Obama? I certainly don't envy this part of his job.

And on that note: "Worst Job Ever" humor and Scantily Clad Women:



We now return you to cold harsh reality, already in progress...

VA Priority 7/8 Enrollment Adjusted

While there's still no new news that I've seen on Recovery Act checks for veterans beyond the latest June 30th deadline, another interesting VA item popped up into the news recently. From VA Watchdog.org:

In January of 2003, to save money, then VA Secretary Anthony J. Principi ordered his agency to stop enrolling Priority Group 8 veterans. These are veterans with no service-connected disabilities and whose income / assets is above certain geographic thresholds. Official VA definition is:

Group 8: Veterans with income and/or net worth above the VA national income threshold and the geographic income threshold who agree to pay copays.

Today ( June 15, 2009 ) the rules change.

The income threshold will go up by 10% thus allowing over 250,000 more veterans into the VA health care system. A full explantion is on this VA page.

An example: If your threshold was $28,000, add $2,800 ( 10% ) and the new threshold is $30,800.

NOTE: If you are a Group 8 veteran who has been turned down, don't assume anything. Find out for sure if you qualify. The VA has an enrollment calculator you can use to find out for sure. Go to this VA page, enter all your info, and see if you now qualify.

If I'm running the numbers right through the VA calculator linked above, then this means veterans in our area making roughly less than $35,000 per year or so (not accounting for deductions or other income that may apply) can enroll in the VA system for fairly reasonable co-pays. I'm not sure what the threshold was previously but some quick math based on the increase and new cutoff puts it below $32,000 per year.

More handy information on this was in the above link from the Star-Telegram article on the subject:

The details

Beginning Monday, the VA will increase its income threshold by 10 percent, opening up VA care to an estimated 266,000 more veterans nationwide.

"This gives the veterans a little bit more flexibility in the amount of income they can have," said Chris Sandles, assistant chief of medical administrative services with the VA’s North Texas system.

For example, in the Fort Worth area, including Johnson and Parker counties, an unmarried veteran can now earn up to $39,820 a year and get medical care from the VA.

In Dallas and Denton counties, that same unmarried veteran can now earn up to $40,975 a year. In Hood County, the amount is $38,610. The income threshold goes up as the number of dependents rises.

Veterans who applied for treatment this year and were denied will be automatically enrolled, if they qualify. Veterans denied in past years will have to reapply with more recent income proof.VA officials can only estimate the number of veterans who will now qualify and will seek service this year, but the number they arrived at was 2,200, or about 2 percent growth.

The power to cut off Priority 8 veterans (those veterans without any service-connected disabilities with higher income) has always been a bit controversial since the VA health care system first expanded enrollment to pretty much all veterans back in the 90s. It became a burning topic when that power was employed in 2003 during war-time, as the Clinton era legislation was intended to ensure health care access for lower income vets and those with service connected injuries/ailments. In 2003 the issue went beyond just returning service members from current wars but also the same issue affecting health care programs in general these days: the wave of elderly with rapidly increasing health care needs booming into the rolls.

You'll have some folks argue that veterans have earned access to VA care regardless of income, and others who argue that during a resource crunch like we're facing today we should not jeopardize access for those who truly need it, depend on it, etc by making promises we can't keep so we can include those who can realistically afford their own private health care. One side sees it as a inherent obligation to all vets... the other envisions longer wait times for veterans missing limbs or financially desperate so that some accountant who served a short stint as a desk clerk back in the day can save some money on health insurance.

After the massive spending spree of both Bush and Obama to save the economy from the recession that made the VA budget look like chump change in comparison, many would probably now argue that if we can spend like there are no repercussions for long term gain, why not for veterans? Fully fund it already!

With Obama's promises of finally establishing universal access to health care and his continuance and expansion of the Bush spending sprees, this 10% move seems pretty meager and certainly hard to explain. He's essentially continuing the policy under Bush's VA to block enrollment of some vets that was criticized endlessly over the years, but with a slightly higher cutoff. If the policy was bad and unnecessary why continue it at all? In the context of pushing for universal health care it seems to make even less sense.

Veterans have been thrown a bone. Are they now being expected to roll over?